On January 23, local time, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) released an investigation report, arguing that after Lai Qingde became the leader of the Taiwan region, once radical "Taiwan independence" measures are introduced, a new Taiwan Strait crisis may break out in the Taiwan Strait in 2024, but surprisingly, they believe that the PLA does not yet "have" the ability to "reunify" Taiwan by force. Seeing such news, people can't help but ask: What kind of medicine is being sold in the gourd of this US think tank? The 60 airfields of the US military have already surrounded China, and will there be war or peace in the direction of the Taiwan Strait?
As for the assessment of the strength of the PLA, the conclusion of this American think tank obviously surprised most people. You know, White House officials and US generals have been promoting the argument that "the People's Liberation Army 'reunification' of Taiwan by force" has been promoted, and some people have even said very specifically, believing that in 2025 or 2027, Chinese mainland will "reunify" Taiwan by force.
In view of such a major reversal, foreign media believe that this has a great deal to do with the latest evolution of the cross-strait situation. Before the election on the island, the Chinese side had already said that the election in the Taiwan region is China's local affair, and external forces have no right to interfere, otherwise it will be interference in China's internal affairs and infringement of China's sovereignty, and whoever wants to pursue "Taiwan independence" on the island of Taiwan will split China's territory and will be severely punished by history and law.
In the face of China's solemn stance, US White House officials openly stated that they adhere to the "one-China" policy and do not support "Taiwan independence." At the same time, the US side expressed its support for cross-strait dialogue, and as long as cross-strait differences are resolved by peaceful means, the US side does not take a position on the final settlement of the Taiwan issue.
After learning of the results of the election on the island, US President Biden immediately stated that the United States does not support "Taiwan independence" and at the same time quickly sent a delegation to Taiwan, the purpose of which is to knock Lai Qingde in person, not to touch the mainland's red line on the Taiwan Strait issue, and to put the United States in strategic passivity.
The fact that the United States has continuously issued warnings to the "Taiwan independence" forces before and after the election on the island will inevitably make the DPP authorities feel full of misgivings and even feel abandoned. Under such circumstances, the United States needs to help the "Taiwan independence" forces regain confidence, and the statement of this US think tank is timely. Obviously, this is a hint to the DPP authorities, you don't have to worry, the PLA is now "not strong enough", and the legendary "military reunification" of the mainland is still early, continue to follow me forward.
Knowing the intentions of the American think tank, let's take a look at its conclusions. You must know that around China, the US military controls 60 airports and has formed an encirclement of China. Once the US military intervenes in a conflict in the Taiwan Strait, the US aircraft carrier group, with the cooperation of the US Air Force, will inevitably appear near the island of Taiwan. In the face of the menacing US military, the PLA can use three tactics to counteract.
First, the 60 available airfields of the US military, not to mention the number of them, but the locations are all determined, and they have already entered the PLA's database, and Zhaohui believes that a variety of attack plans have been prepared. These airports can gather about 1,000 US fighters, and now the Chinese Air Force has hundreds of fifth-generation fighters and nearly 1,000 fourth-generation and a half fighters.
Second, the PLA's Dongfeng-26 and Dongfeng-17 hypersonic ballistic missiles are ready to go. Plus 2 aircraft carriers are already combat-capable, and they have repeatedly appeared near the second island chain. If the US aircraft carrier group dares to approach, it is guaranteed that it will not return.
Third, with the cooperation of amphibious assault ships, the PLA has a powerful capability to seize islands and land on landing. As for the military installations on the island, they will inevitably be subjected to many rounds of "washing" by the People's Liberation Army's long-range rocket artillery and tactical ballistic missiles, and the "Taiwan independence" forces that stubbornly resist should not harbor illusions.
The island of Taiwan is under the complete firepower of the People's Liberation Army, and whether it is war or peace is a headache for the Biden administration. War, without dominance, will even form the final blow to US hegemony. Peace bar, but also unwilling, can not watch China complete reunification. The US think tank has come forward at this time to play some little tricks to appease and fool, so that the DPP authorities will continue to act as pawns of the United States and add some bargaining chips to the Sino-US game. We must remain soberly aware of this.