The 2023-24 CBA has come to the 34th round, and more than half of the regular season has passed. So far, based on the performance and actions of each team, which team has a better chance of challenging for the championship this season?
According to the latest points rankings, the Xinjiang men's basketball team and the Liaoning men's basketball team are the only ones, and it is not surprising that the champions and runners-up of this season's regular season will be produced in these two teams. In the second group, from the Guangdong men's basketball team in the third place to the Shenzhen men's basketball team in the seventh place, the relationship between victory and defeat is relatively weak, and the final ranking will be very intense, but several teams will most likely still be ranked at this stage. The third-echelon Shanghai men's basketball team and the Beijing Enterprises men's basketball team, due to their own strength, are difficult to catch up and fall behind. The fourth echelon of the final impact of the top 12 teams is also extremely fierce, from the 10th Beijing men's basketball team to the 15th Tongxi men's basketball team, the strength of victory and defeat is also in the middle of the middle, anyone is likely to go ashore, and everyone is likely to fall behind.
Based on the overall strength of each team and the run-in of reinforcements, which teams are more likely to make it to the finals and challenge for the championship? I think all six teams have a good chance because no team has an absolute advantage in the championship this season.
The first team, the Xinjiang men's basketball team, has a 30% probability of winning the championship. The Xinjiang men's basketball team has made more aggressive reinforcements this season, and they have only one goal, that is, the championship. At the beginning of the season, Wu Guanxi, a strong insider, and Jones, the first foreign aid of the CBA, were introduced, and then Zhou Qi was exchanged for Zhao Rui from the Guangdong men's basketball team through a trade, which completely solved the team's guard problem and interior problem. In addition, with a number of strong forwards such as Abdusalam, Qi Lin, Tang Caiyu, Zhu Xuhang, etc., the lineup is even stronger. A few days ago, he got the former Guangzhou center Li Yanzhe, and the inside line was upgraded again to be more flawless. In the just-concluded game against the Zhejiang Chouzhou men's basketball team, the opponent was bloodied by 32 points. If Coach Qiu Biao can pinch this team well in the remaining games, the Xinjiang men's basketball team will definitely be the biggest favorite to win the championship.
The second team, the Liaoning men's basketball team, has a 30% probability of winning the championship. The Liaoning men's basketball team has completed two consecutive championships in the past two seasons, aiming to hit three consecutive championships and establish its own dynasty. Although there are not many changes in the players in the new season, the most important on-field commander has changed from Yang Ming to Ugo. Ugo led the Liaoning men's basketball team to play some beautiful games this season, but losing three consecutive games in the regular season to the Guangsha men's basketball team was indeed his biggest flaw. Moreover, Ugo's command is more elegant, and the players are easy to slack off on the field and make mistakes, and they can't control the team well. On the other hand, the performance of Fogg, a small foreign aid of the Liaoning team, was very average in the second stage, and the number of mistakes increased. Moreland, a big foreign player, is emotionally unstable, and these are uncertainties. If Liaoning wants to increase its chips to win the championship, it must prepare a third foreign aid. Otherwise, if you want to win strong opponents in the playoffs, it is impossible to rely on young players like Li Huyi and Zhang Junhao to output steadily.
The third team, the Shenzhen men's basketball team, has a 15% probability of winning the championship. The Shenzhen men's basketball team introduced a small foreign player in the second phase, Adams, a player with very good scoring ability. Sallinger, a big foreign aid, looks at the entire CBA, and his ability is second to none, and this foreign aid combination is very strong in the league. Coupled with the big bird Shen Zijie on the inside, the big sniper Gu Quan, the more mature He Xining, and the veteran Zhou Peng pressed the formation, this team is something that no team dares to despise. And Feng Xin, who has just been introduced, has also perfectly integrated with the team and completely solved the team's backcourt problems. The Shenzhen men's basketball team almost reached the finals last year, so this year's Shenzhen men's basketball team has the strength to impact again.
The fourth team, the Guangsha men's basketball team, has a 15% probability of winning the championship. The biggest highlight of the Guangsha men's basketball team this season is the three-kill old rival Liaoning men's basketball team. Liaoning men's basketball team has been the bitter master of the Guangsha men's basketball team in recent years, from Li Chunjiang's coaching to Wang Bo's coaching, whether it is the regular season or the playoffs, as long as the Guangsha men's basketball team meets the Liaoning men's basketball team, it is basically lost armor, and the two runners-up of the Guangsha men's basketball team are also thanks to the Liaoning men's basketball team. And the defending champions with three clean sheets this season are their biggest capital to challenge for the championship. The local players of the Guangsha men's basketball team have excellent ability, Sun Minghui, Hu Jinqiu, Zhu Junlong, Zhao Jiaren, and Zhao Yanhao have strong projection ability. In recent years, the Guangsha men's basketball team has actually had the strength to impact the championship, but injuries and foreign aid selection have always been stumbling blocks for them. Not long ago, the Guangsha men's basketball team made a surprising move, cutting the most athletic Oliver among the three foreign aids, but leaving Okafor and Wharton. If the Guangsha men's basketball team is still this foreign aid combination to compete in the playoffs, then the championship is really getting farther and farther away.
The fifth team, the Guangdong men's basketball team, has a 5% probability of winning the championship. The current Guangdong men's basketball team is really average, except for Zhou Qi, who has an advantage on the inside, there is no advantage in the rest of the positions. Hu Mingxuan's performance on the outside is acceptable, and Xu Jie has obviously lacked confidence recently. In addition to Waters, the three foreign players can be used, and the old combination of Brooks and Weems is really quite old. The front line has changed from invincible in previous years to who sees and bullies today. With such a configuration, if it weren't for a national-level coach like Du Feng and a player's desperate defense, it would be difficult to enter the top four in the playoffs. If the Guangdong men's basketball team cuts Brooks and Weems and brings in a strong swingman foreign player, the playoffs can still be played, otherwise the season will be out early.
The sixth team, Zhejiang Chouzhou men's basketball team, has a 5% probability of winning the championship. Zhejiang Chouzhou can already see their own shortcomings in the just-concluded game against the Xinjiang men's basketball team, and their biggest disadvantage is on the inside. On the inside side, only Yu Jiahao can be used, and Yu Jiahao's pace is slow, he can't prevent blocking and dismantling, and he can't go down quickly on the offensive end, so he can't cause damage. The season reimbursement of Liu Zeyi in the No. 4 position made the Chouzhou men's basketball team, which was not rich inside, even worse. The height of Lu Wenbo in the third position is also at a disadvantage in the same confrontation, which is the problem of the Chouzhou men's basketball team. At present, if the team wants to reach the top 4 or even go further, a strong center must be introduced to the No. 5 big foreign aid.