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The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

author:Ink reads spring and autumn

At the end of 2023, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party was investigated by the Special Search Department of the Tokyo District Public Prosecutor's Office due to the "party ticket" scandal, and many members of the largest faction, the Abe faction, were suspected of being investigated, several cabinet ministers were removed, and some parliamentarians were arrested for embezzlement"Collusion of criticism.

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

However, Kishida Kishida's decision was too sudden, and as soon as it was disclosed by the media, it immediately caused a panic in the Japanese political circles, and Taro Aso, vice president of the Liberal Democratic Party, and Toshimitsu Motegi, secretary general of the Liberal Democratic Party, who had always supported Kishida, were extremely angry because they did not know it in advance, and the Aso faction and Motegi faction lawmakers shouted "It's like a bolt from the blue" while fiercely criticizing Kishida, saying that Kishida launched a huge coup d'état in order to protect himself and disregard his "comrades", and the "Kishida Rebellion" became the most important topic of media interpretation on January 19.

The statement of "Kishida's rebellion" is actually a bit strange, and there have been many so-called "so-and-so rebellions" in Japanese politics in the past, which are generally for the purpose of seizing power, so naturally it is not launched by the supreme leader, after all, the decision of the supreme leader should be called a policy, not any "turmoil", therefore, as the president of the Liberal Democratic Party, Kishida announced a decision and was called "chaos", which fully reflects the essence of Kishida's "puppet" fate that has not been manipulated although he is at the peak of power. After all, whether Kishida came to power or was in power, he relied on the support of the Aso faction and the Motegi faction, to be precise, the reason why Kishida Fumio was in power was originally the fruit of the factional politics of the Liberal Democratic Party.

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

However, after enjoying the favor of factional politics for decades and serving as prime minister for more than two years, Kishida himself personally stated his decision to dissolve the faction without consulting Aso and others, and smashed the foundation of LDP politics without mercy or mercy. Moreover, many young parliamentarians who follow factional bosses and hope to get ahead in the political arena have also lost their foundation of reliance and turned into duckweed, feeling that their future is ruined, and they are also full of resentment towards Kishida's ruthlessness and injustice.

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

Of course, some people are sad and some people are happy, and Kishida's announcement of the dissolution of the faction has made many young parliamentarians who cannot find support in the Liberal Democratic Party feel like they have turned over as serfs and sang, because they may no longer be suppressed by the faction in the future, and they no longer need to look at the faces of the faction bosses, and the chances of joining the cabinet may also increase, and the chances of getting ahead may be much more......

It is certain that on the night of January 18, there should not be many LDP lawmakers who can sleep peacefully, happy people are excited to insomnia, angry people are indignant to insomnia, and many people will connect with each other, so the evening of January 18, 2024 is destined to be a night remembered by history, and the Japanese media on January 19 for a whole day was also discussed by analysts about the "Kishida Rebellion" In the evening, a new bulletin came that the Abe faction, which had embezzled the most money from the party, had announced its disbandment, and that the Nikai faction led by former Secretary General Toshihiro Nikai had also announced its dissolution.

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

The Abe faction has 99 parliamentarians, which is the largest faction of the Liberal Democratic Party, and the second-order faction now has 38 parliamentarians, these two factions are the main targets of the Tokyo District Prosecutor's Special Search Department, although the Kishida faction's private party coupon problem has also been exposed, but, at the beginning of the Tokyo District Prosecutor's Office, the target of the search was only aimed at Abe and the second-order faction, and the media did not mention the Kishida faction too much, so people thought that the Tokyo District Prosecutor's office was somewhat colluded with Kishida, and many experts even analyzed that the search of Abe and the second-order faction had some Kishida's help...... Prime Minister Kishida also showed great cooperation with the prosecution's search, not only resigned as chairman of the Kishida faction, but also established the "Political Renewal Headquarters" after the New Year, with himself as the head of the headquarters, and appointed Vice President Taro Aso and former Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga as advisers, promising to reform the Liberal Democratic Party.

It's just that the "Political Refresh Headquarters" As for Kishida himself, he suffered a lot of splint between Aso Taro and Suga, who has no faction, advocated that political reform should start with the dissolution of the faction, while the factional boss Taro Aso insisted that factional politics was not at fault, and young parliamentarians needed the support of factions...... Kishida's attitude looks vague, but, considering that Kishida himself was pushed to the prime minister's throne by Taro Aso, Aso also suppressed Taro Kono, a junior of his faction, so that Kono and Aso are now like enemies, and Toshimitsu Motegi is the most important secretary general of the Kishida government...... Therefore, everyone believes that the final winner of the confrontation between Suga Yoshihide and Taro Aso in the "Political Renewal Headquarters" must be Aso, so it is impossible for the factional political foundation of the LDP to be shaken......

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

However, on January 18, the Asahi Shimbun morning newspaper made a headline on the front page, reporting the news that the Kishida faction had been filed by the Tokyo District Prosecutor, and a few hours later, Kishida announced the dissolution of the Kishida faction. Perhaps, from this point of view, Kishida's decision to disband the faction is called "chaos" and is indeed the source of "chaos".

It was revealed that Kishida made a decision after seeing the "Asahi Shimbun" report, and the time was about 10 o'clock in the morning of the 18th, and at noon, Kishida summoned more than a dozen key members of the Kishida faction to the official residence and conveyed his intention to dissolve the faction. Subsequently, someone leaked the news to reporters, so when Kishida met with reporters at around 19 o'clock, a reporter pretended to ask him "whether he would disband the faction", and Kishida replied, so a bolt from the blue fell on the heads of all LDP lawmakers.

It is said that after seeing the news that the Kishida faction was being investigated, Kishida felt that no matter what he did, he would not be able to get the understanding of the people, so he stretched out his iron fist: close the faction office and fire the staff of the office, in order to win the sympathy of those voters who hate the factional politics of the Liberal Democratic Party. In addition, too many members of the Abe faction were placed under investigation, and some members of the parliament were arrested, and many young lawmakers were criticized by voters in their constituencies simply because they were members of the Abe faction, so these young lawmakers petitioned the leaders of the Abe faction to dissolve the faction, and the second order faction also saw the same trend. In other words, when the news of the dissolution of the Abe faction and the second-order faction reached Kishida's ears in the past two days, the news that the Kishida faction was filed also came out, since the result of the case was the dissolution of the faction, it is better to take the initiative to dissolve the faction when the case is filed, Kishida has always been the most aware of current affairs, so announcing the dissolution before the Abe faction and the second-order faction can be regarded as seizing the opportunity and should be able to gain a wave of favor.

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

Sure enough, although Kishida is still scolded by many people as a fox, saying that he disbanded the faction before the prosecution filed the case to divert the public's attention, but there are indeed many voters who affirmed Kishida's courage in disbanding the faction, and public opinion finally appeared to have mixed reputations, which is obviously much better than the state in which Kishida has been criticized for what he has done. However, Kishida, who relied on the factional power of the Liberal Democratic Party to govern, single-handedly broke the balance of power within the party and destroyed the support point of power, causing the Aso faction and Motegi faction lawmakers who did not participate in the private meeting to cry out one after another, so it should not be too good to wait for Kishida. However, Kishida's purpose has always been clear, that is, to know the times in order to be able to govern, if the Motegi faction is forced to dissolve this time, then the power base of Toshimitsu Motegi, the biggest opponent in the next presidential election, will be weakened, maybe it will be a clever move to use strength......

The "Kishida Rebellion" caused a major earthquake in the political arena and the dissolution of the three major factions of the Liberal Democratic Party, is it a blessing or a curse?

Speaking of which, in order to govern, Kishida is so "renunciated", which can really be called courageous, but although Kishida himself said that his actions are political reforms, all Japanese, whether parliamentarians, experts, media people or ordinary people, think that he is out of selfishness in the government, so Kishida, who has long been rejected by the people and has reached the point of "rebellion", has lost his foothold this time, and should have reached the point of being betrayed by political allies and "leaving". It's just that no matter what the result of Kishida's move is, Japanese historians should not use any beautiful words to describe it.

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