The Bureau of Culture and Tourism "rolled in", and tourism stocks broke out

On January 15, the three major A-share indexes were mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.15%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.36%, the ChiNext Index down 0.88%, the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index down 3.28%, and the turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 610.9 billion yuan. Northbound funds sold a net of 355 million yuan.

On the disk, the tourism and hotel sectors led the rise, with Dalian Shengya, Changbai Mountain, Xi'an Tourism, Jiuhua Tourism, and Qujiang Cultural Tourism rising to the limit. The retail concept continued to strengthen, and Maoye Commercial won 3 consecutive boards. The semiconductor and component sectors rebounded, Jiejie Microelectronics rose by more than 15%, Xinjie Energy rose by the limit, and Dagang Shares, Star Semiconductor, and Tongfu Microelectronics rose by more than 5%. Huawei's Ascend sector rebounded, and the high-tech development rose to the limit. The defense and military sector was among the top decliners.

Analysts interviewed believe that pessimistic expectations have bottomed out and an inflection point is coming. At present, it has entered the bottom area of investment, and strategically actively does a good job in reverse layout.

Tourism and hotels led the gains

Recently, local cultural and tourism bureaus have "involuted", and tourism-related sectors have continued to make efforts. Today, the attractions and tourism, hotels and restaurants indices led the gains.

In terms of individual stocks, Dalian Shengya, Changbai Mountain, Xi'an Tourism, Jiuhua Tourism, and Qujiang Cultural Tourism have daily limits.

On the news side, in order to further improve the price management of the tourism market and optimize the tourism consumption environment, recently, the Price Department of the National Development and Reform Commission organized a symposium to analyze the overall situation of the national tourism market and prices in 2023, and to study and judge the tourism market and price situation in 2024, especially in the first quarter.

Since the beginning of the year, "Erbin" has continued to explode, and cultural tourism in various places has been revitalized. On the one hand, "competition-style" crazy videos are posted to show their own cultural and tourism resources, and on the other hand, people are shaken online, with "Wang Yibo calling you to go to Luoyang, the capital of God", and "Zhao Liying carrying the banner for 'Hebei Cultural Tourism'", Jilin Cultural Tourism directly moved out of the two-dimensional male god Zhang Qiling.

In addition, the directors of the cultural and tourism bureaus of the three eastern provinces directly participated in the competition: the director of the cultural and tourism bureau of Acheng District of Harbin swept the audience in the "ghost step dance" of the ice and snow world show, the director of Hegang culture and tourism grilled skewers in Harbin, and the director of Shenyang culture and tourism listened to netizens' suggestions online late at night.

Huatai Securities pointed out that local policy support, industrial chain linkage, active guidance of new media and upgrading of scenic spots have made the popularity of ice and snow tourism continue to rise, and Harbin has become a new benchmark for tourism cities and stimulated the vitality of cultural tourism consumption across the country.

In addition, the retail concept continued to strengthen, and Maoye Commercial won 3 consecutive boards, including Kapok Shares, Hermei Group, Guoguang Chain, Haiyin Shares, and Xujiahui Daily Limit.

Semiconductors rebound

The semiconductor and component sectors rebounded, Jiejie Microelectronics rose by more than 15%, Xinjie Energy rose by the limit, and Dagang Shares, Star Semiconductor, and Tongfu Microelectronics rose by more than 5%.

It is reported today that on January 14, a domestic power semiconductor manufacturer issued a "Price Adjustment Letter" to customers, announcing that from January 15, 2024, the unit price of the company's Trench MOS product line will be increased by 5% to 10%. Orders placed before the adjustment date can continue to be executed according to the original unit price and quantity, and new orders need to be confirmed and communicated with the company's business personnel.

According to media sources, a number of A-share power semiconductor companies said today that the company's power product prices are generally stable, and there has been no major change in the downstream market recently. Among them, Star Semiconductors said that the company has not issued a similar price increase letter recently, there is no important change in prices, and the current downstream demand is relatively stable.

In addition, Huawei's Ascend sector rebounded, and the high-tech development rose to the limit.

The national defense industry was the top decliner

The national defense and military industry sector fell first, with Boyun New Materials and Guoguang Electric falling more than 7%.

According to the public information of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Boyun New Materials was on the list due to the daily decline deviation of -7.31% on the same day, and the net sale of institutional seats was 24.6056 million yuan.

The ST plate was active in the afternoon, and *ST Zuojiang touched the 20CM limit.

In addition, on the board mark, Changbai Mountain has 8 boards in 10 days, Jinlongyu has 5 boards in 7 days, and Shenhua A has 5 boards.

The high premium of cross-border ETFs has become the focus

On January 15, the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 0.91% at 35,901.79 points, rising for 6 consecutive days and hitting a 34-year high. At one point, it rose above 36,000 points intraday, the first time since February 1990.

Recently, the high premium of cross-border ETFs has become the focus of market attention. Today, ChinaAMC Nikkei ETF, E Fund Nikkei ETF, Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology ETF, ICBC Daiwa Nikkei 225 ETF, Huaan Mitsubishi UFJ Nikkei 225 ETF, etc., all have varying degrees of premiums.

Huaxing Securities said that in the process of investing in cross-border ETFs, it will be affected by foreign exchange fluctuations, time differences, foreign exchange controls and the A-share price rise and fall system. Among them, due to the implementation of the foreign exchange control system in the mainland, when the scale of cross-border ETFs approaches the upper limit of the foreign exchange quota of fund managers, this will lead to the destruction of the balance between supply and demand in the primary market, and there may be abnormal discount and arbitrage opportunities in the secondary market of cross-border ETFs.

According to the data compiled by the brokerage, except for the Japanese market, which has been relatively hot recently, the overall premium rate of cross-border ETFs in the mainland is not obvious.

The market is in the historical bottom zone

Looking ahead, the interviewed institutions believe that at present, pessimistic expectations have bottomed out, and the inflection point is expected to come.

"Recently, the market as a whole has been in a resistive downward trend, and it has been very grinding back and forth. In an interview with the International Financial News, Xia Fengguang, manager of Rongzhi Investment Fund, believes that the market's pessimistic expectations for the economy may have reached a peak, even if the economy is not so ideal, but the market trend has already fully reflected this. If there is a certain aspect of the policy or economy before the Spring Festival that exceeds expectations, it may induce a rapid reversal of the market. Overall, the market is in the low range of the big cycle.

CITIC Securities believes that the policy increase can be expected, the election event in Taiwan, China, the New Year's Eve effect of funds is still obvious, and the impact on the market is nearing the end; the market valuation has reached the historical extreme area, pessimistic expectations have bottomed out, and the inflection point is coming, so it is recommended to actively layout.

Panyao Asset believes that it should not continue to be overly pessimistic at the moment, but should remain optimistic strategically from a longer-term perspective. At present, it has entered the bottom area of investment, and strategically actively does a good job in reverse layout, waiting for the arrival of the blooming flowers and the summer stage.

Mingyu Assets said that the market as a whole has returned to the bottom of the valuation, A-shares may have a compound structural bottom, the long-term odds are excellent, and more catalysts are needed for the overall upward movement. In terms of market style, before the economic expectations are clearly stabilized, the high dividend dividend sectors represented by coal and electricity may still have room for survival, while continuing to pay attention to the other end of the dumbbell strategy, which is in line with the transformation of the economic structure of the technology growth industry, such as Hongmeng, GPTs, etc. Pay attention to the direction of low valuation quantile, high cost performance, and the possibility of over-falling and rebounding, and subdivide industries such as electric new, building materials, and food and beverage. Focus on other pro-cyclical resource stocks, such as precious metals and aluminum, where share prices diverge more from commodity prices.

Furong Fund believes that the current fundamentals of listed companies are in the stage of shock and grinding, and the valuation of major indices such as CSI 300 and ChiNext Index is also in the historical bottom area, and the decline of the market is limited from a qualitative point of view. Focus on: growth tracks such as semiconductors, communications, pharmaceuticals and other sectors, over-falling power equipment, new energy, high dividends, state-owned enterprise assets such as coal, electricity, telecommunications, etc.

Reporter: Wang Yuanyuan

Editor: Chen Si

Editor in charge: Bi Dandan

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.wx-root[data-weui-theme=dark],body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-theme=dark]{--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc)body:not(.pages_skin_pc){background:#191919; background:var(--weui-BG-2)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .85);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .. 5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){-appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]).my_comment_empty_data{ background-color:#111}}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-6: rgba(0, 0, 0, .. 05);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .4 15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: #e6e6e6}.wx-root,body{--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #ececec}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body: not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, ..1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .126)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--APPMSGCARD-BG: #1E1E1E}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--APPMSGCARD-LINE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .07)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #373737}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([ data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, ..1);-weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, ..1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .. 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--discussInput-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .03)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--nickName-FG: #959595}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .. 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}

div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}