Hu Maoren: There is a state of strategic stalemate in the world pattern

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, between the Western world and the non-Western world, the Western world was on the offensive and the non-Western world was on the defensive. To use Chairman Mao's "On Protracted War", the non-Western world is generally in the stage of strategic defense.

The collapse of the Soviet Union gave the United States and the West the illusion that the Western world was at its peak and could be invincible in the whole world. Although many unjust wars were provoked by the United States. However, in other Western countries other than the United States, there is a kind of psychology of watching the excitement and even taking advantage of the opportunity. At that time, all non-Western countries also believed that the collapse of the Soviet Union had made the entire non-Western countries become fish on the chopping block of the Western world. In the face of such a situation, the vast number of non-Western countries have no effective counter-attack strategy, let alone the strength to resist. At that time, the United States would attack Iraq when it said it would attack Iraq, and if it said it would attack the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, it would attack the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, and for the vast number of non-Western countries, it would pick leeks if it wanted to, and if it said it would shear sheep. No country can stand in the way. In this process, the United States has also sheared Europe's wool, and Europe can only watch without any ability to fight back. The war launched by the United States against the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia was directly aimed at the euro. But Europe's approach was to help the United States fight this war, and the outcome of this battle was a major blow to the new euro.

Since the beginning of the new century, the United States has been hit by the "911" terrorist attacks. From a certain point of view, this is a kind of revenge of some forces of non-Western countries against the overly arrogant Western forces, especially the American forces. Retaliation cannot fundamentally solve the problem, but retaliation makes the United States and the West extremely unpleasant. At the same time, the forces of such terrorist attacks are, after all, a threat to the security of the West. Therefore, the United States must fight this war on terror. Of course, in name only, there are many more unspoken purposes for the purpose of countering terrorism. For example, it is necessary to control the oil resources of the Middle East, to promote the democratic system of the United States and the West in the Middle East and in all developing countries, and to spread the democratic concepts of the United States and the West. So the United States sent troops to Afghanistan first. However, the United States has always regarded Saddam Hussein in Iraq as a thorn in its side, insisting that Saddam Hussein is also a terrorist force, and has listed the destruction of Iraq's legitimate regime as part of its war against terrorism. This practice of the United States has no basis and no reason, and it is just that the United States is showing its arrogance and hegemony. The United States believes that if he does this, no country in the world will be able to help him. He showed the attitude of being fearless and bullying the world.

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, both the United States and the West were hit hard. However, the United States and the West have not learned any lessons from this, but in the financial field, they want to cut the leeks of the whole world, shear the wool of the whole world even more intensively, and expand the crazy strategy in the financial field. In the process, the United States instigated the so-called "Arab Spring" movement, which hastened the compulsion of non-Western countries to bow down to the Western world and bring more non-Western countries into the sphere of effective control of Western forces. Generally speaking, this is a kind of strategic offensive that the United States and the West are constantly waging.

The suddenness of the new crown epidemic disrupted the plans of the West. China's rapid rise has suddenly alarmed the United States and the West. The pace of their strategic offensive was disrupted. In the face of China's rise, they are in an awkward predicament. If they ignore China's rise, they will think they will face a formidable adversary that will disrupt all their strategic offensive plans and may even threaten their hegemonic interests. If they want to resolutely counter China's rise, they only know from the beginning that they want to use force to block and suppress. They tried, but they didn't succeed.

From this time on, the United States and the West no longer knew what to do in front of China. They have no more effective means than to use the old-fashioned hard-line methods of the past. Their old approach has no chance of success in the face of China. But they still have no better way. In this process, the hollowing out of the real economy of the United States, in the process of abnormal expansion of the financial sector, has weakened the strength of the entire West.

The weakening of the Western forces led by the United States has given non-Western countries a new opportunity. In the backyard of the United States, Latin American countries have shown a tendency to turn to the left, and many of these countries dare to tear up their faces with the United States and say "no" to the United States. In the face of such rebellion in Latin America, on the one hand, the United States is unable to spare its hands to rectify Latin American countries, and on the other hand, the United States cannot come up with an effective way to deal with the rebellion of Latin American countries.

African countries are also beginning to see the weakening of the power of the United States and the West, and they are more willing to follow their own path to develop their own economic and social development. To achieve their own development goals, they are more willing to cooperate with China and participate in the strategic concept of jointly building the Belt and Road advocated by China. The United States and the West have used all kinds of slander and slander to attack China, but more African countries are seeing this way of the West more and more clearly. The US and Western systems have not played much of a role in deceiving and deceiving the vast number of African countries.

The motivation of the vast number of non-Western countries to develop and become rich and strong has further stimulated their ambition in the face of the general trend of the United States and the West constantly showing their weakness. Although the strength of non-Western countries is still inferior to that of Western countries in terms of overall strength comparison, they have already seen that they can achieve certain results by withstanding the attacks of Western countries through their own strength. Israel today is not as completely invincible as it once thought. The Palestinian people have suffered defeat in this battle, and if they gather their strength again in the future to fight Israel again, they may deal an even greater blow to the United States and the West and Israel. If such a battle is repeated many times, no one can say that the United States, the West, and Israel will be completely invincible.

On the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the Ukrainian side, supported by the United States and the West, has basically lost the game. Maybe in two or three years, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may not be completely over, but it is basically impossible for Ukraine to turn around. On the Asian front, the Indo-Pacific strategy that the United States is using against China seems to be in some kind of respite phase. Those little brothers in the United States, except for the Philippines, do not seem to have any greater ambition now. Japan is playing its own small calculations. He is not dealing with China to be subordinated to the interests of the United States, but to make Japan itself a so-called normal country. South Korea, on the other hand, just wants to pull the United States to deal with North Korea. South Korea has neither the strength nor the motivation to help the United States deal with China. As for India, the United States has also seen it, counting on India to go all out to help the United States deal with China, and India basically has no such idea. India does not look very happy with China. But India certainly doesn't want to be a pawn of the United States.

Therefore, we can say that on a global scale, the posture between the United States and the West and non-Western countries is shifting from the original state of strategic offensive between the United States and the West and the non-Western world in strategic defense to a stage of strategic stalemate. It remains to be seen how long the parties can hold out at this stage of strategic stalemate. However, it is certain that the United States and the West will not be able to return to the previous strategic offensive state from this stage of strategic stalemate. This possibility is largely non-existent.

(The author is a senior researcher at the Kunlun Ce Research Institute; source: Kunlun Ce Network [author's authorization], revised and released; the picture comes from the Internet, invaded and deleted)