The Luzun high-speed railway has been on the hot search again recently, and some people even vowed that the high-speed rail will start construction in 2025, but the reality may make many people disheartened.
At the end of 2021, in response to some representatives' application for the planning and construction of the Luzun high-speed railway, the State Railway Administration replied that in 2016, the Luzhou-Zunyi railway was included in the medium and long-term railway planning released in 2016 as a general-speed railway.
The Rongzun high-speed rail channel that everyone misses each other
In other words, the Luzun high-speed railway, which is designed to have a speed of 350km/h, has not been included in the medium- and long-term railway planning so far, and is now only an "interaction" between the cities of Sichuan and Guizhou provinces.
Starting from the Shanghe-Hangzhou high-speed railway, the investment in the construction of the inter-provincial high-speed railway will be shared by the China Railway Group and the local finance according to a certain proportion, and the local investment will account for the majority. That is to say, if you want to build a high-speed railway, you must come up with real money, Luzun high-speed rail is expected to have a total mileage of more than 200 kilometers, Guizhou section mileage of about 180km, according to the current high-speed rail construction cost rough calculation, the estimated total investment of the section is nearly 40 billion yuan, this number is not a small amount for Guizhou, which is already heavily indebted, if the funds of Luzun high-speed rail are not guaranteed, even if it is included in the high-speed rail planning network, the line is unable to carry out preliminary work.
If a high-speed railway does not reach 60% of its capacity, it will lose money
A high-speed railway starts from the establishment of the project, and the follow-up must go through the line exploration and design, feasibility report preparation, feasibility report approval, environmental impact assessment report preparation, environmental impact assessment report approval, preliminary design plan approval, etc., after the above steps are completed, the construction bidding can be carried out, and finally the construction will start. Judging from the progress of high-speed rail construction in China, if you want to complete the above procedures for at least a few years, there are even alternatives that take more than ten years from project approval to feasibility report approval of Hezhan high-speed railway, and of course, there are high-speed rail lines such as Xiongshang high-speed railway and Chengdu-Chongqing middle line high-speed railway. Since the Luzun high-speed railway is an inter-provincial high-speed rail line, the feasibility report and environmental impact assessment report need to be approved by the state, and the progress will be slowed down, so the construction of construction in 2025 is completely nonsense.
Many people classify the Luzun high-speed rail as the Rongzun high-speed railway, so it depends on whether Chengdu values this high-speed rail line. In the case that the Chongqing-Guizhou high-speed railway has not been built, Chengdu will not be cold to this high-speed railway, the passenger flow itself is not high, and the Zigong to Luzhou section, Zunyi to Guiyang section will also appear 200 ~ 250km/h this kind of speed, the efficiency is not high.
After the opening of the Sichuan section of the Chongqing-Kunming high-speed railway in 2024, Luzhou will go south to Guangzhou and no longer bypass Chengdu
Compared with the Chongqing-Kunming high-speed railway, Chongqing-Wanzhou high-speed railway, Yuyi high-speed railway, and Chongqing-Hunan high-speed railway, Chongqing does not seem to be in a hurry to promote the Chongqing-Guizhou high-speed railway, after the opening of the Chongqing-Kunming high-speed railway, the main channel of the high-speed rail from Chongqing to Kunming no longer passes through Guiyang, and once the Chongqing-Hunan high-speed railway is opened, Chongqing to Guangzhou will even "abandon" the current Guiguang high-speed railway, and will use the Chongqing-Hunan high-speed rail to connect the Beijing-Guangzhou high-speed railway. The Chongqing-Guizhou high-speed railway is more connected to Guiyang and Nanning, and it is no wonder that Chongqing will give priority to other high-speed railways.
In March 2021, China Railway further standardized the planning and construction of high-speed rail, made provisions for the high-speed rail planning with a design speed of 350km/h, and clarified that high-speed rail lines connecting provincial capitals and megacities, with a two-way passenger flow of more than 25 million passengers and a proportion of more than 70% of medium and long-distance trains, can be planned and constructed according to the standard of 350km/h. The Luzun high-speed railway is not part of the main channel of the national eight-vertical and eight-horizontal high-speed rail network, that is, a regional connection line, and it is difficult to make it difficult for the state to approve it with such a high construction standard. Passenger flow is also the biggest problem faced by the line, the scheduling of high-speed rail trains has extremely high requirements for passenger flow, which is the reason why the high-speed rail trains from Nanning to Chengdu bypass Chongqing West, if the number of high-speed rail trains is small, it is also a waste.
The benchmark train of the Nanning-Chengdu high-speed railway detours Chongqing for passenger flow
If Luzhou-Zunyi is planned by high-speed rail, then a general-speed railway needs to be planned between the two places to solve the freight demand, which is also a waste. In fact, the most reasonable line between the two places is a passenger and freight shared fast rail, as for the speed standard needs to be cooperated between the two places, Guizhou was the Guiguang high-speed railway shared by passengers and freight to the design speed of 300 kilometers per hour high-speed rail, can be described as experienced. If Luzhou to Zunyi operates a train with a speed of 160~200km/h, it will take more than 1 hour.