Weekly Forecast: Three Directions for 2024
In 2024, China's economy will shift from headwinds to tailwinds, and 24 years will be an extremely friendly year for investors.
Although the spring may be delayed, it will not be missed, and the bull market will definitely return. It is cold in "Sanjiu", and it has now entered the coldest winter "number nine" weather. There is a saying called "before counting nine, count nine first", that is, before entering the coldest "three nine", the weather will suddenly get cold, and then warm up for a few days, and finally "three nine". If there is no accident, entering Sanjiu on the 1.9th, it is expected that there will be cold air southward, and the temperature may plummet before the Spring Festival. But a week before the Spring Festival, the temperature will rise rapidly, and then a warm Spring Festival will be lived.
We are talking about the weather during the Spring Festival, which is also a hint of the cyclical change of the stock market. We expect that A-shares will rebound in about 2 weeks, this round of rebound will regain 3000 points, as for the height of the rebound, it depends on the strength of the rebound, if this round of rebound can exceed the 11.22 high of 3089 points, then even if it falls back again, it will not break 3000 points, so we should cherish the opportunity to buy low below 3000 points. Of course, some friends may ask about the unexpected situation, and the unexpected situation is that after the Shanghai Composite Index regained 3,000 points, it encountered a negative stimulus again, and then fell below 3,000 points again, and the bottom of the second test confirmed the validity of the bottom of 2,882 points.
We tend to favor a bull market that comes with spring. At present, investors should "bite hard" the chips, firmly believe that there will be a big round of market in the stock market in 2024, and hope that everyone can catch this wave of bull market.
The bull market in 2024 should also find the right direction, due to the problem of population growth rate and population age structure, 2024 cannot be the kind of big bull market that has no head and no brains, and fools can make money, so 2024 is still a structural bull market, and the general direction of the stock market is the development direction of several major industries pointed out by the Central Economic Work Conference.
Forecast effective dates
December 25-December 28
Roulette nature
midline
pressure
prop up
forecast
Shanghai
finger
Bottom
2882
Box top
3089
Strong support
2900
First support
2950
First resistance
3000
Precise trading system
Current direction
Bottoming
Precise targeting
not
Morphological analysis system
Current form
Bottoming
Medium-term direction
Bottom frame
Time period
What is more important than the rise and fall of the index is whether the actual investment strategy is complete;
What is more important than the length of the stock age is whether the research framework is mature and complete;
More important than selecting bull stocks is to do a good job in asset allocation and the best combination.
Plate rotation
We believe that there are three major directions in 2024: 1) CPI rises and consumption recovers, and 2) medical care is the industry to resume growth. 3. The outbreak of smart cars.
70% of the position
Position changes
Whether it's technical analysis or value investing, you make money by holding stocks. I've never seen a shareholder who is afraid to hold stocks and can still make a lot of money. We believe that the bottom of A-shares has passed, investors should learn Xi from Buffett, the bottom should be heavy, the current valuation is not expensive, and it is okay to hold about 70% of the position.
Operational Strategy
The over-falling rebound has begun, and the time is 2-3 weeks, and you can hold the shares.
Policy analysis
For ordinary stockholders, mastering the law of value regression and doing Davis double-click is the easiest way to make money. Since the PB of the Shanghai Index is at an all-time low, we believe that in the next 3-5 years, a number of big bull stocks will emerge that have risen more than 10 times, and the medical sector will go hand in hand with the new energy vehicle track, because every rebound that starts at the bottom of history will appear a batch of opportunities for three-year 10 baggers. In a similar situation, at the end of 2018, the vast majority of institutional investors had very low positions, and as a result, a batch of 10 baggers was born in the medical industry.
operation
tactics
70% of the position
Leave three points of network technology in case it is incompatible with the future.
The remaining seven points of medical consumption are in an attempt to make a living in order to make a stable profit.
Lv Changshun Certificate No.: A0150619070003. [The above content only represents personal views, does not constitute a basis for trading, the stock market is risky, investment needs to be cautious] I do not guide the operation, do not manage money on behalf of customers, do not recommend stocks, all content is for reference only!
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