Title: The intersection of Ke Wenzhe's political game and history
Recently, after a public political meeting, Ke Wenzhe attacked left and right, attacked Hou Youyi on the left and criticized Zhu Lilun on the right, and the wonderful drama on the political stage attracted widespread attention. This is not only a political competition, but also a manifestation of Ke Wenzhe's deep thinking and strategic planning for his own political future.
On December 26, 2023, Ke Wenzhe chose to criticize left and right in the political arena after the public political meeting, not only warning Hou Youyi, but also questioning Zhu Lilun. The political wisdom and complexity of the layout contained in this make it worth in-depth analysis, what kind of political stage does Ke Wenzhe intend to use, why is he so closely focused on the blue camp, and what is the meaning of the dispute between him and Hou Youyi and Zhu Lilun?
First, let's examine the dilemma facing Ke. At the public political meeting, Ke Wenzhe made it clear that the "chickens" within the blue camp have reached out to him, hoping that he can stand up for them in the constituency, which hints at the intersection of Ko's political career. Although his basic market is between 16% and 20%, in the face of the rise of the blue camp, the shaking of the basic market can no longer be ignored. The so-called basic market, in simple terms, is the proportion of voters who support the green, blue and white camps. Ke Wenzhe's base is about 16%, of which 8% are voters who do not vote for blue or green, 4.5% are in the light blue camp, and 3.5% are in the light green camp. Although some people debate this algorithm, from Ke Wenzhe's point of view, he has already felt the instability of the basic market.
Ke Wenzhe believes that he needs a stage, and the best provider of this stage is Lanying. So, he began to beat Hou Youyi on the left and Zhu Lilun on the right. Regarding Hou Youyi, Ke Wenzhe bluntly warned that he may face the risk of recall after the election, as if reminding Hou Youyi to pay attention to his political future. The intention of this is actually to seek a host, a parasitic election or an alien mutation, and Ke Wenzhe needs the Blue Camp to help him expand his strength.
Within the Blue Camp, Hou Youyi and Zhu Lilun became the focus of Ke Wenzhe's attention. As for Zhu Lilun, Ke Wenzhe questioned his position of being firm and clear, and wondered why he was unwilling to talk about pre-election cooperation. In Ke Wenzhe's view, Zhu Lilun may have been worried about his threat in the southern and central regions, so he insisted on clearing the wilderness. This is also the reason why Ke Wenzhe criticizes Zhu Lilun, he needs a stable source of votes, and Zhu Lilun's strong wall does not seem to meet Ke Wenzhe's expectations.
Overall, Ke Wenzhe's statement after the political meeting highlighted his concern about the lack of fundamentals and the urgent need for support for the blue camp. Despite his impressive campaign in Okayama and Taoyuan, in any case, the number of his supporters could hardly exceed half of that of the KMT. As a result, Ko is looking for a political strategy to gain more support in the election.
As for the ban on Ke Wenzhe, it is like a chain that binds Ke Wenzhe's hands and feet, restricting his actions. The lifting of this restriction will be an important political event, and it is difficult to predict whether this will happen in the final 16 days of the election. The existence of the ban is undoubtedly a constraint for Ke Wenzhe, and he needs to get rid of this shackle as soon as possible.
In Ke Wenzhe's view, the Blue Camp is his political stage, and he needs to use the strength of the Kuomintang to make up for his shortcomings. He had already seen the inadequacy of his land combat capabilities, so he urgently needed the support of the Blue Battalion. However, the combination of the DPP and the People's Party in New Taipei could pose a threat to Hou Youyi's recall, which is also a warning from Ko.
However, this is only the tip of the iceberg, and the stage of politics unfolds dramatically. Whether or not Ko Wenzhe's methods and strategies can achieve the desired results has a bearing on the future pattern of Taiwan's politics. This political wrestling is not only a personal test for Ko Wenzhe, but also a microcosm of Taiwan's political development. The wheels of history roll forward, let us wait and see and witness the intersection of history.