Source: Photo.com
On December 25, according to CCTV's "News 1+1", Zhou Bing, chief expert of climate services at the National Climate Center, made the latest prediction of next year's climate.
According to Zhou Bing, in December 2023, the total temperature change is like a seesaw and a roller coaster. It was unusually warm from December 3rd to 13th, and unusually cold from around 14th to 23rd. After this transition between warm and cold, we are about to usher in a period that is likely to be warmer than the same period in history, so the temperature in December is very unusual. Zhou Bing said that 2024 is likely to be a hotter year, or it may be a year with more frequent and powerful extreme weather.
Zhou Bing pointed out that this year's extreme weather, especially this year's warmest year since 1850, has basically become a fact. Because El Niño has already significantly increased the amount of warming, next year will be the following year of El Niño, and extreme weather will be more pronounced. Historically, floods have occurred in southern regions such as the "Super Violent Plum" in 2020, 1998, and 2016. Therefore, 2024 is likely to be a hotter year, and at the same time, extreme weather is likely to be more frequent and more powerful.
Overall, according to the latest forecast of Zhou Bing, chief expert of climate services at the National Climate Center, the climate in 2024 may be more extreme, and the temperature may be warmer than the same period in history. This means that temperatures in 2024 could break the record for the warmest year since 1850.
Global warming threatens the living environment of human beings
According to NASA's projections, global climate change will continue to have the following impacts in the future:
"Carbon neutrality" is an inevitable choice to deal with global climate change
Carbon neutrality refers to the anthropogenic removal of carbon dioxide that offsets anthropogenic emissions over a specified period of time. Anthropogenic emissions refer to carbon dioxide emissions caused by human activities, including emissions from fossil fuel combustion, industrial processes, agriculture and land use activities, etc.; It is believed that removal refers to the removal of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, including afforestation to increase carbon absorption, carbon capture and storage, etc.
In recent years, global climate change has led to a significant increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather, which has brought a huge threat to the survival and development of human beings.
According to statistics, by the end of 2020, a total of 44 countries and economies around the world have officially announced carbon neutrality goals, including countries and regions that have achieved the goals, written into policy documents, and proposed or completed legislative procedures. Among them, the UK's newly revised Climate Change Act came into effect on June 27, 2019, becoming the first developed country to pass legislation to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
The concept of "carbon neutrality" has been officially incorporated into the top-level layout
Achieving the medium- and long-term goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality is not only the responsibility of the mainland to actively respond to climate change and promote the building of a community with a shared future for mankind, but also an inevitable requirement for the mainland to implement the new development concept and promote high-quality development.
In June 2015, Premier Li Keqiang announced during his visit to France that the mainland's carbon dioxide emissions would peak around 2030, setting the stage for the future goal of "carbon neutrality". In September 2020, General Secretary Xi Jinping proposed to strive to "peak carbon emissions" by 2030 and achieve "carbon neutrality" by 2060, which is the first time that the mainland has launched "carbon neutrality". In March 2021, the "2021 Government Work Report" proposed to do a solid job in carbon peak and carbon neutrality, which means that China has officially incorporated the concept of "carbon neutrality" into the top-level layout.
The total investment related to carbon neutrality may be around 140 trillion yuan
Many domestic institutions have made calculations on new direct investment under carbon neutrality, among which the "Blue Book of Zero Carbon China: Green Investment" released by the China Investment Association estimates that the scale of investment related to "carbon neutrality" is about 70 trillion yuan; The Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development of Tsinghua University predicts that the scale of investment will be between 127.2 and 174.4 trillion yuan; Researchers at the Price Monitoring Center of the National Development and Reform Commission predict that the new investment in "carbon neutrality" will exceed 139 trillion yuan. Based on the results, Qianzhan believes that the calculations of the "Blue Book of Zero Carbon China Green Investment" are relatively conservative, while the calculations of Tsinghua University and the Price Testing Center of the National Development and Reform Commission are roughly the same. After the summary, the total investment related to carbon neutrality may be around 140 trillion yuan.
Li Yizhong, former minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and president of the China Federation of Industrial Economics, said that in the process of promoting the "dual carbon" strategy, it is necessary to prevent sports carbon reduction, not to rush to achieve results, not to increase the weight layer by layer, and to set unrealistic targets in advance. "If it's too fast and too fast, it can have a negative impact, so let's not mess with ourselves. ”
He Kebin, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering and dean of the Institute of Carbon Neutrality at Tsinghua University, said that in the future, the mainland should further solve the synergy between pollution reduction and carbon reduction, and that emission reduction and efficiency increase should gradually shift to structural adjustment, that is, through carbon reduction to drive the adjustment of internal structures such as energy structure and industrial structure. He Kebin said that in terms of energy structure, the mainland's increment is still at its peak, and there will be a large increase in the future. A new round of industrial competition is the core of achieving the "double carbon" goal, and promoting industrial upgrading with scientific and technological innovation is the key.
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