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Preface
Since November, the Houthi have been attacking merchant ships on the Red Sea route, a situation that has aroused widespread international concern. Although American and French warships tried to protect merchant ships and even shoot down drones, they could not stop the frequent attacks of the Houthis. This ongoing threat is not only a source of concern for commercial transportation, but also for the rest of the world.
Political calculations and maritime alliances
The situation is not rosy for the "Prosperity Guardian International Initiative" conceived by the United States. In particular, the attitude of the two Arab countries, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, raises doubts. Egypt is in the midst of a mix of economic aid and political relations, and has chosen to remain neutral in order to avoid offending its main supporters, while Saudi Arabia has chosen to go against the United States due to political contradictions on many fronts.
Building a maritime alliance is a difficult task, especially given the balance of power and the reality of the situation between countries. Although the United States has proposed a strong alliance, the reality is that the alliance may not be as strong as it could be. The wait-and-see and limited military capabilities of some countries make escort operations face great challenges.
Political risk and alliance direction
The attitudes of Egypt and Saudi Arabia not only challenge the implementation of the alliance, but also highlight the political risks behind it. Egypt's decision to avoid offending donors and Saudi Arabia's choice in the context of U.S. policy and the regional situation has sparked much speculation and concern around the world.
Despite America's good intentions in building alliances, it faces many challenges, both politically and practically. Uncertainty about the distribution of power and military power among the members of the alliance makes the future of the alliance controversial. After all, international relations and political interests often play a leading role in such issues. Whether such a maritime alliance with intertwined interests can really play a role in the future is still a topic full of controversy.
Building a maritime alliance is not an easy task, and one of the biggest challenges is the disparity in naval power. The coalition is designed to respond to frequent attacks by the Houthis, but in reality, the naval strength of the member states varies widely. The United States, as a proposer, although it has a powerful navy, the number of ships and combat capabilities of the other members of the alliance are not very convincing.
Political considerations and coalition movements
Behind the wait-and-see attitude of Egypt and Saudi Arabia, there may be more political calculations involved. Egypt, as an important Middle Eastern country, is extremely dependent on aid economically, and in order to avoid offending its main supporters, it chose to remain neutral, while Saudi Arabia chose to go against the United States in many political contradictions. The choice between the two countries has sparked speculation about the future direction of the alliance.
The alliance faces not only practical challenges at sea, but also constraints of the geopolitical landscape. In the Middle East, the interests of various countries are intricately entangled, and both Egypt and Saudi Arabia have taken a cautious posture in political interests and international relations. The U.S. proposal is not simply about protecting merchant ships, but also involves more complex international politics and geopolitical interests.
Despite the U.S. desire to build a stronger fleet through the alliance, there are already divergent political and interest divisions among its member states. Such huge international contradictions may lead to friction and even internal divisions in the actual actions of the alliance. Complicating matters is whether the contradictions between these countries will affect the alliance's ability to deal effectively with the Houthis.
conclusion
Against the backdrop of doubts and political divisions, the future of the alliance remains uncertain. Political calculations, disparities in strength, and the interweaving of geopolitical interests will all play a role that cannot be ignored in the development of the alliance. Moreover, the relationship between these countries is not based on pure security cooperation, but on more political trade-offs and international wrestling.
Will the formation of this alliance really solve the security problem of the Red Sea route? Amid controversy and political calculations, the future of the alliance remains uncertain. Against the backdrop of an urgent situation, how to balance international relations and the interests of all parties in order to achieve a truly effective escort operation will be a serious challenge for this alliance. After all, the complex contradictions in international relations are often far more complex than the strategy at sea.
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