#文章首发挑战赛#
Recently, celebrity Hu Xijin said in an interview that gold is everywhere below 2,800 points, is this statement reliable?
Some people have asked, what does it mean if A-shares fall below 2800 points?
In our view, both views are extremely dangerous and misleading.
China's stock market has not been doing well lately, and everyone has seen it. In this situation, it is even more important for celebrities to mislead the public with famous remarks, because many people are very blind and easily misled when speculating in stocks.
Economist Liu Jipeng recently made a surprising remark, although what he said was not completely unreasonable, but when this kind of remarks were spoken, it affected a large number of people, and as a public figure, he forgot his influence.
Another celebrity, Hu Xijin, has apparently forgotten about his influence.
On December 17, at the "2023 Snowball Carnival" event held in Guangzhou, Hu Xijin, a well-known media person, talked about his feelings about entering the stock market for nearly half a year.
Hu Xijin said that he originally wanted to increase confidence in the stock market, thinking that he had seen an opportunity, and 3,144 points was almost the bottom, but then he didn't expect it to fall again, a total of 480,000 yuan in the market, and now he has lost more than 40,000 yuan.
He said these words very truthfully, not fancy, but the next words were not so good-looking.
When the reporter asked him where he would consider increasing his position, Hu Xijin said: "I hope there is no such day, but if the stock market falls below 2,800 points, I will definitely dare to increase my position, and below 2,800 points there is gold everywhere." ”
Hu Xijin also said: I believe that the first layer is what kind of cognition we have about a thing, the second layer is confidence, and the third layer is faith.
If we look at China's economy and related policies, as well as our determination, confidence and faith are all justified and even confident.
We have also said many times that making the stock market bigger and stronger is one of our most important strategies.
Hu Xijin said that confidence is based on the cognition of the stock market and the judgment of the future, and everyone who speculates in stocks will make a move based on this principle, which is understandable.
We agree that the stock market should have faith, but should there be faith?
The encyclopedia's definition of faith refers to someone's spontaneous belief in and admiration for a certain idea or religion or pursuit. That is to say, it is a kind of belief that comes from the heart without doubt, even fanatical.
The stock market is a huge financial market, and it needs to be doubted, for example, you will doubt that the stock market will rise or fall in the short term in the future, for example, you suspect that a certain stock will rise or fall, so the stock market cannot be blind.
On the other hand, some people say what does it mean if A-shares fall below 2,800 points?
If the Shanghai Composite market falls below 2,800 points, it means that it has fallen below the 20-year moving average, which means that the support position of A-shares for 20 years has been broken, and the 20-year moving average of the Shanghai Composite market is at 2,834 points.
If the Shanghai Stock Exchange market falls below 2,800 points, it means that the valuation of our Shanghai Stock Exchange market is only more than 11 times, which is also a very low level in history. Looking at the global capital market, it is rare for the price-earnings ratio to be at such a low level.
Falling below 2800 points is obviously also a very blind statement, a statement of loss of confidence.
The stock market naturally has its own laws, behind which is supported by the speed of economic development and the quality of business operations, and each listed company is different, so we neither agree with blind belief nor lose confidence.
We have said many times that making the stock market bigger and stronger is our inevitable choice and is strategic.
But does the current stock market mean that it will rise, or will it actually fall below 2,800 points? In particular, gold is everywhere, and it is too blind to say that each stock should be analyzed specifically, and shareholders should choose rationally.
China's stock market, to be confident, the current market, is only temporary.