From the difficulty of entering the kindergarten to the tide of closure, the development of kindergartens has ushered in an inflection point, what enlightenment does it bring to parents?
Text/Comb Heart
I have been in the education and training industry since 2004, and early childhood education and kindergarten are important partners that we deal with every day. From the beginning of the difficulty of entering the kindergarten to the current tide of closure, the development of kindergartens has ushered in a historical turning point.
Because I am in the education and training industry, I dare not say that there are many local kindergartens, but dozens of large-scale kindergartens in the city, I have met with the person in charge, and I have an understanding of the teachers, educational philosophy, use of teaching materials, and the personality of investors.
As a father who believes in Montessori teaching, I naturally want my son to attend a Montessori-only kindergarten. As an aside: In the city where I live (third tier), it is really very difficult to find a pure Montessori kindergarten.
There is a public kindergarten in the local area, the fee is not high, and the teachers are excellent. It is said that every enrollment season (July/August), the principal turns off the phone. Why? Because there are too many children entering the kindergarten like "going through the back door", they are all related households, and it is not good for anyone to push them open, but the capacity of the kindergarten is so large. I heard that only two directors can get through to her phone, so only two directors have a recommended place in their hands.
In 2006, the school recruited 20 faculty members from the public, and it is said that as many as 2,000 people applied.
In order to avoid this embarrassing situation every year, the principal also wants to improve the quality of teaching. Regulations: Only children who participate in the early education classes of the kindergarten are eligible to enter the kindergarten. The number of students enrolled in early education classes each year is also determined according to the capacity of the kindergarten.
In 2013, my son was born, and in 2015, I enrolled my child in an early education class at the kindergarten. But no matter how you calculate, it is not enough to go to the 18 periods required by the kindergarten. I discussed with the principal, "Can I make up the remaining fees and let us enter the kindergarten?"
It can be seen that the popularity of kindergarten enrollment is very popular! Parents who have experienced it understand that it is difficult to enter the kindergarten, it is really not just talking, it is really difficult!
Maybe you may say: "There are so many private kindergartens, are you afraid that children can't go to kindergarten?" To tell the truth, the imbalance of educational resources is a reality, and it is also a reality that it is difficult to find good educational resources.
Kindergartens have experienced rapid development, with the decline in the birth rate of the population, the implementation of the national kindergarten inclusive policy, from the difficulty of entering the kindergarten to the difficulty of enrollment.
In 2016, the mainland liberalized the two-child policy, and the birth rate of the population was 13.57 per thousand that year, 12.64 per thousand in 2017, 10.86 per thousand in 2018, 10.41 per thousand in 2019, 8.52 per thousand in 2020, 7.52 per thousand in 2021, and 6.77 per thousand in 2022. The birth rate on the mainland has declined significantly since 2018 and has continued to decline in the following years. The number of kindergartens in China has reached an inflection point after 15 years of continuous growth. In 2022, the number of kindergartens decreased by 5,600 compared to the previous year, breaking the trend of continuous growth in 15 years. (The above data are from the National Bureau of Statistics)
What enlightenment does the kindergarten closure bring to parents? @梳心作为曾经的教育从业者, talk about your own views:
1. The wave of kindergarten closures brought about by the decline in the birth rate is inevitable.
2. The explosion and shutdown of the early education industry will appear earlier than that of kindergartens, and the impact on the early education industry will be greater in the future. With the implementation of the national integration of childcare (kindergarten childcare), the birth rate of the population has decreased, the willingness to consume has decreased after the epidemic, and there are alternative products on the Internet. The early childhood education industry is likely to face the following two situations:
2.1 The early education structure of small scale, poor economic strength, and lack of core teaching concepts and methods has been eliminated, and the industry oligopoly market. In order to cope with the increase in costs caused by the decrease in the number of students, the fee standard is likely to increase.
2.2 kindergarten in the national policy to promote, increase childcare, early education services, because of its low fees and better service (cost-effective), early education will be completely driven out of the market. The kindergarten industry ushered in major changes and market reshuffle.
3. In the future, schools (primary, junior high and high schools and colleges and universities) will also change from full classes to difficult enrollment, and some schools will inevitably be closed and merged. Teachers face competition for posts, and some teachers with weak professional ability may be eliminated. More ordinary people will enjoy high-quality educational resources.
4. Junior high schools and colleges and universities in the same education chain will also face difficulties in recruiting students in the future, and it will be easier for children to go to school, and the national quality will be generally improved.
5. Customized education service products have emerged to meet the needs of middle-class families for personalized education customization. First of all, this is a trend of commercial and economic development, take a look at how many "customized" products are on an e-commerce platform; secondly, people's various personalized needs appear, which is the improvement of the demand level after the extreme abundance of social products; thirdly, customized education service products have actually appeared, such as: for nanny education, cooking, major, master of several foreign languages, master of several musical instruments. Such a nanny is not only responsible for taking care of the employer's daily life, but also responsible for educating the children and customizing education services according to the children's situation.
For ordinary people, the good trend is: the reduction of education costs at all stages, and more opportunities to enjoy high-quality educational resources. Of course, if you want to provide your child with a better, personalized education service, hiring a Kochi babysitter may be the best option.
Conclusion: Behind the wave of kindergarten closures is a series of problems, and the decline in the birth rate is only a symptom. When social products are greatly abundant or even excessive, there is a state of oversupply. It will inevitably promote operators to change from simply selling products to providing higher-level and more meticulous services. From this point of view, it is also a good thing for the general public.
What do you think about the wave of kindergarten closures?