#头条创作挑战赛#
When will Typhoon "Gelahua" appear, many netizens have been asking this question recently, from the current two disturbances 94W and 95W to analyze, the former can be said to be basically no chance, and whether 95W can become a platform is currently quite different.
Judging from the public data, in the past few hours since the 7th, the conditions for the formation of 95W are still improving, mainly in the relatively stable convection, of course, whether the future can be quickly formed, it depends on whether it can break free from the equatorial westerly wind high wind cut, and the showdown between the two is expected to take a few days.
In addition, according to the GFS forecast, around the 16th, there will be obvious disturbances in the Western Pacific, judging from the evolution of its simulated data, it should not be 95W, and GFS continued the forecast of the previous days, believing that this disturbance will quickly move north and strengthen after the development of the disturbance, and at the same time there will be new disturbances behind it. The difference from the previous day's forecast is that the latest GFS data shows that the disturbance that appeared first can reach a maximum intensity of 916 hPa and is approaching the Bass Strait, which is another top-level typhoon forecast.
So whether this big guy will come in the middle of the year or not, the next few reports are very critical.
Domestic weather, from 9 o'clock on the 6th to 8 o'clock on the 7th, the top three precipitation lists are in Heilongjiang, namely Jiamusi, Jixian and Youyi; The high temperature list is concentrated in Fujian, and the top three are Yunxiao, Longhai and Tong'an; The lowest temperatures are mainly in Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia, but the lowest temperature is in Qingshuihe in Qinghai.