At present, the election situation in Taiwan Province of China is very complicated, and some people believe that the 2024 election will be a choice between war and peace for Taiwan. If the DPP remains in power, it may be difficult for Taiwan to escape the war.
In view of this situation, many retired generals of the Taiwan military have come forward one after another to express their views. Among them, the speech of Li Ximing, former "chief of the general staff" of the Taiwan military, has aroused widespread attention.
It is worth mentioning that Li Ximing's remarks since his retirement have been quite controversial. Mainland netizens even ridiculed him: "How can he become the 'chief of the general staff'?" ”
Recently, in an interview with the media, Li Ximing once again talked about the combat mode of the Taiwan military and put forward three important viewpoints:
Li Ximing believes that once the conflict breaks out, the US military will definitely come to help, but it will take time. He believes that the US aircraft carrier strike group and other combat units need to depart from the US mainland, and it will take two to three weeks to reach the relevant positions in the Taiwan Strait.
Prior to this, Lee Hee-myung believed that the United States would immediately send troops from military bases in South Korea and Japan to provide assistance.
Li Ximing believes that based on the above two points, the key that the Taiwan military should grasp is to survive the initial attack of the PLA. To this end, the Taiwan military needs to build a large, highly accurate, and mobile arsenal to maneuver with the PLA for as long as possible and wait for the arrival of the US military.
In fact, Li Ximing is not the only retired general who has put forward a similar view. They still believe that sooner or later, the US military will come, and Japan and South Korea will definitely take the initiative to come to their aid.
However, we must make it clear that there are doubts about the validity of their assumptions. Because once the PLA makes a move, it may not necessarily act in full accordance with the previous military exercises.
At the same time, these Taiwanese generals should also understand: no matter how they themselves view the importance of Taiwan, the fact is that in the Russian-Ukrainian war and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the US military did not send troops. This is already evident. Of course, it should be emphasized that regardless of the current attitude of the US military, the PLA must comprehensively assess the factors of both the enemy and the enemy when considering the relevant expectations.
It is worth mentioning that Li Ximing's remarks reveal the real purpose of the DPP in speeding up arms procurement in recent years: to build a powerful arsenal and wait for the arrival of US troops while fighting.
In fact, since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, various forces in Taiwan have begun to feel the risk and feel uneasy. On November 3, Xie Jinhe, chairman of Caixin Media, even said that there are already two "powder kegs" exploding in the world, and the next one may be the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait.
Such concerns cast a huge shadow over Taiwan. However, they ignore the fact that Chinese mainland has been actively managing risk. If they are so afraid, they should understand that they should not blindly follow the DPP into darkness. War can only be avoided through active cross-strait communication. If they hope to wait two or three weeks for the U.S. military in the midst of war, there will be no way out. Of course, we need to stress that when considering the PLA's operational expectations, it is necessary to fully evaluate various factors.
In short, the election situation in Taiwan Province of China and the views of the retired generals show the complexity and tension of the current situation. In any case, the spread of war can only be avoided through active communication and the search for a peaceful solution.