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The Chinese Kuomintang's nine-in-one election campaign at the end of this year has attracted much attention, and the party held a grand campaign yesterday. The difference between this election campaign and previous elections is that, except for the DPP's primary election in the Pingtung county gubernatorial election, all other constituencies have authorized the central party department to directly recruit candidates, which also means that the party chairman has to bear full responsibility for the nomination. Despite this, the KMT still holds the advantage of the existing county mayoral seats, while the DPP faces a huge challenge in order to achieve a turnaround.
Last year, Kuomintang Chairman Zhu Lilun issued a writ of his own army, pledging to maintain at least the current mayoral seats in 14 counties and strive for a majority of the "six capitals." In order to fulfill his campaign promise, Zhu Lilun not only strongly led the nomination of the mayor of his hometown of Taoyuan, but also sent Ke Zhien, the executive director of the party think tank, and Wang Yumin, the deputy secretary-general, to some difficult constituencies to open up territory.
At the same time, Tsai Ing-wen, the chairman of the Democratic Progressive Party, also exerted a strong influence in this year's election, personally leading the nomination of county mayoral candidates. She not only supported the so-called "Little British Boy" Lin Zhijian to run for mayor of Taoyuan, but also asked the epidemic prevention commander Chen Shizhong to run for mayor of Taipei despite the fact that the epidemic is still lingering.
Overall, the KMT still has a dominant position in most counties and cities, while the DPP only holds a leading position in four counties and cities in the south. This situation is mainly due to the fact that the incumbent county mayors have performed well in terms of governing performance, they have the advantage of governing, and there have been no serious mistakes. It will not be easy for the challenger to successfully challenge the current county mayor.
Elections have become particularly fierce in some counties and cities, especially in districts where the term of the current county mayor has expired, such as Taipei, Taoyuan, Keelung, Miaoli County, Hsinchu City, Nantou County, Pingtung County, and Matsu. The competition between the candidates has intensified, and the election situation in northern Taiwan has become more complicated.
Another striking phenomenon is the emergence of internal competition between the blue and green sides. For example, Zheng Baoqing, a former legislator of the Democratic Progressive Party in Taoyuan, did not hesitate to be expelled from the party to run for election; The Kuomintang also split in Miaoli, and the speaker of the National Assembly, Chung Dongjin, who has the strength of the local organization, also intended to run, which further complicated the election situation in Taoyuan and Miaoli.
Taipei City and Hsinchu City have become the focus of the blue, green and white tripartite contention, and Gao Hongan and Huang Shanshan have performed well in the polls, making the election situation in these two constituencies tense, and whether there is a last-minute waiver will be the key to victory.
As the countdown to the election campaign begins, any factor could affect the outcome of the election. Whether the chairmen of the blue and green parties can win the support of voters will be a key factor. With year-end elections just around the corner, a new online poll shows that the KMT's party favorability has reached 44.3 percent, far ahead of the DPP's 14.6 percent and the People's Party's 5.3 percent. In addition, a whopping 54.1% of voters said they would definitely return to their hometowns to vote, a result that showed relative optimism in the year-end elections.
Revelation:
This article explores the situation in Taiwan's year-end nine-in-one election campaign, especially the competition between the Chinese Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party in the county and mayoral elections. From this, we can draw the following takeaways:
Intra-Party Division: This article mentions that both the blue and green parties have been nominated by chairmen, which has led to a split within the party. This suggests that within a political party, the struggle for power at the leadership level can have a significant impact on the election campaign. In political campaigns, intra-party unity and cooperation are essential to victory.
Advantages of the incumbent: The incumbent county mayors have an advantage in most places, probably because they have governing experience and are able to demonstrate performance and performance. This suggests that voters tend to support an already incumbent government unless there is a strong challenger that can offer a better solution.
Campaign offensive: Campaigning is fierce in some constituencies, especially in northern Taiwan. This reflects the fierce nature of political campaigning, where candidates need to demonstrate their abilities and attract the support of voters.
Presidential Impact: This article mentions that both the blue and green party presidents played an important role in the nomination. This suggests that the reputation and influence of a party leader may influence voters' choices. Voters may consider the chairman's leadership and policy leanings to decide on their vote.
Poll: The latest online poll results show that the Chinese Kuomintang (KMT) is leading in party favorability, which may have boosted the confidence of the blue camp. However, the outcome of the election is difficult to predict because various factors can still influence voters' decision-making until the election campaign is over.
Summary:
This year's nine-in-one election campaign at the end of the year in Taiwan has many characteristics and challenges. First, there are divisions within the party in both the blue and green parties, which could have a significant impact on the election. Power struggles and internal divisions in the leadership may weaken the unity of political parties, which in turn can affect their election performance.
Second, the incumbent county mayor has the majority of the way, suggesting that voters are more willing to support an already incumbent government because they can demonstrate their experience and performance. Challengers need to provide strong reasons to convince voters to change their choice.
Third, the campaign was fiercely aggressive, especially in the constituencies of northern Taiwan. This shows that candidates need to demonstrate their abilities and attractiveness in order to win the support of voters. Political campaigns need to be carefully planned and executed, including effective voter engagement and advocacy activities.
In addition, the reputation and influence of party leaders may also play a key role in the election campaign. Voters decide their vote based on the chairman's leadership and policy leanings. Therefore, party leaders need to demonstrate their leadership and political wisdom in the election campaign.
Finally, while the latest online poll results show that the KMT is leading in party favoritism, the outcome remains uncertain. A variety of factors can still influence voters' decision-making until the campaign is over, including a candidate's performance, unexpected events in the campaign, and voters' final considerations. As a result, it remains to be seen how the election will be won, and voters need to keep their eyes open and select the best candidates to lead their counties and cities.
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