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The growing relationship between China and Saudi Arabia has attracted international attention. At a time when Washington and Riyadh are at odds over energy prices and human rights, some experts are beginning to wonder whether this cooperation will have far-reaching implications for regional and global politics.
Behind this new cooperation, analysts point out that the dispute between the United States and Saudi Arabia, especially in the field of oil production, and the weakening of American influence in the Middle East, provide an opportunity for China to increase its presence. This suggests that China may be seeking to expand its influence in the Middle East, not just in the area of economic cooperation.
Observers believe the cooperation could cover a variety of areas, including trade, energy, and security partnerships. Bernard Haeckel, a professor of Near Eastern Studies at Princeton University, predicts that cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia may not be limited to the economic sphere, but may also include more arms deals. This is because Saudi Arabia is seeking to diversify its sources of arms supply in order to reduce its dependence on U.S. arms sales, which often set conditions on its arms sales.
Bernard Haeckel noted that this trend should cause concern in Washington, as China is trying to compete with the United States in the Arab region, and not only in the economic sphere. However, the United States faces challenges from domestic political and other factors that make it difficult to determine whether its policy toward Saudi Arabia should be adjusted in line with China's growing influence in the Middle East.
The tension dates back to the 2019 U.S. presidential campaign, when Joe Biden pledged to treat Saudi Arabia as a "pariah" state for killing journalist Jamal Khashoggi. This was followed by a further deterioration in U.S.-Saudi relations in 2021, when the Biden administration suspended offensive arms exports to Saudi Arabia, a move that repeated the measures taken by the Barack Obama administration in 2016 for civilian casualties in Yemen.
Not only that, but when the Saudi-led OPEC+ group agreed to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day, the Biden administration issued a warning to Saudi Arabia, suggesting that there could be serious consequences. This decision set off a chain reaction on the eve of the US midterm elections, leading to a call by the US Congress to suspend arms sales to Saudi Arabia for a year.
Despite tensions, Saudi Arabia remains one of the largest arms importers to the United States for many years, importing $3.539 billion worth of equipment between 2020 and 2021 alone, accounting for about 18% of total U.S. arms sales. Michael O'Hanl, an expert on US defense strategy, believes that the United States should not be too worried about the possible increase in arms deals between China and Saudi Arabia. In his opinion, Washington will insist on not "completely ousting Riyadh", but will not rely too heavily on them. "We should not be overly concerned about the loss of arms sales, but more importantly, we need to keep a close eye on China's influence and presence in the Middle East," he said. This presence is not always bad or unjustified, but it often complicates America's strategic considerations and choices in a variety of potential crises. ”
However, Tuvia Green, a fellow at the Center for Israel-China Policy at the National Security Institute, said arms sales between China and Saudi Arabia should not be linked to a single incident such as an oil dispute. He believes that due to the high quality and low cost of Chinese weapons, arms sales will continue to increase, regardless of whether there is a dispute between the United States and Saudi Arabia.
Recently, the warming of relations between China and Saudi Arabia has caused concern in the United States. White House National Security Council spokesman Kirby smeared: "China is trying to expand its influence on a global scale, which poses a threat to the international order." "In a way, this raises some questions about why the United States is concerned about this development, especially given the tensions between the United States and Saudi Arabia.
Cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia is likely to attract more attention, not only because of its potential for far-reaching political and economic implications for the Middle East, but also because it highlights the evolution of the global power landscape. In this evolution, China is emerging as an important player in the international political arena, and the United States
They feel the competition and challenges from the emerging powers. This evolution of the global landscape has forced the United States to reassess its geopolitical strategy in the Middle East to ensure its interests and regional stability.
The cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia has the potential to be influential in a number of ways. First, China has provided Saudi Arabia with an alternative source of arms supply, which has helped to reduce Saudi dependence on the United States. As the U.S. tends to place conditionalities on arms sales, Saudi Arabia is working to diversify its sources of weapons to ensure national security. It also gives China an important role in regional military cooperation, giving Saudi Arabia more options.
Second, China's cooperation with Saudi Arabia is not limited to arms deals, but also includes trade and energy. Saudi Arabia is one of China's major oil suppliers, and China is one of Saudi Arabia's largest trading partners. This economic cooperation is expected to further strengthen relations between the two countries and is also likely to have more influence in regional and international politics.
However, this collaboration has also raised some concerns. The United States is concerned that China may use its growing influence in the Middle East to advance its own interests, potentially disrupting regional stability and balance. Especially when it comes to regional conflicts and disputes, China's position may be at odds with that of the United States, which could lead to more tensions.
Overall, the cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia marks the evolution of the geopolitical landscape, exposing the United States to new challenges and opportunities. The United States must carefully assess its policies in the Middle East to ensure that its interests and regional stability are safeguarded. At the same time, cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia needs to be closely watched by the international community to ensure that it does not negatively impact regional and global peace and prosperity. In this time of uncertainty, the international community must work closely together to address global challenges and promote development of peace and cooperation.
Revelation:
At present, there may be a growing security cooperation between Saudi Arabia and China, a development that raises a range of international political and strategic questions. This has far-reaching implications for the global political landscape and regional stability, and provides some important implications:
Geopolitical variability: The variability and interaction of geopolitics in international relations has become more complex. Traditional alliance-adversary relationships are changing, and countries are reevaluating partnerships in light of their own interests. This underscores the importance of flexibility and autonomy among countries.
The intertwining of economics and security: The relationship between economics and security is becoming increasingly close. Cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia is not limited to trade and energy, but also includes security cooperation. This shows that countries take into account multiple aspects when developing strategic partnerships to ensure comprehensive national security.
U.S. influence waning in the region: U.S. influence in the Middle East appears to be declining, providing an opportunity for other countries to fill this power vacuum. U.S. policies and decisions could affect its position in the region, as well as other countries' interests and involvement in the Middle East.
Arms sales and regional stability: Arms sales have become a key factor in inter-State relations. Arms transactions between countries can have a significant impact on regional stability. This requires more judicious and responsible management by the international community of arms exports and uses.
International Order and Competition: China's global expansion of influence has raised concerns in the international community. Competition between nations needs to be based on international order and rules to ensure peace, stability and cooperation.
Summary:
Relations between China and Saudi Arabia are likely to be growing stronger, not just in terms of trade and energy cooperation, but also in terms of security partnerships. This development has led to multiple implications and important implications in the international political landscape.
First, the variability of international relations underscores the flexibility of countries to reassess partnerships in the light of their own interests. Traditional alliance-adversary relationships are no longer absolute, but can vary on a case-by-case basis.
Second, the intertwining between the economy and security is becoming more and more apparent. Cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia not only contributes to the economic interests of both sides, but also includes security cooperation, which shows that countries need to consider multiple factors when developing strategic partnerships to ensure comprehensive national security.
The weakening of the United States' influence in the region is also a notable trend, which provides an opportunity for other countries to fill the power vacuum. U.S. policies and decisions will affect its position in the region, as well as other countries' interests and involvement in the Middle East.
In addition, arms sales play a key role in inter-state relations and have a significant impact on regional stability. The international community needs to manage arms exports and use more wisely and responsibly in order to ensure regional and global peace and stability.
Finally, China's global expansion of influence has raised concerns in the international community, which requires competition and cooperation based on international order and rules to ensure balanced and sustainable development of international relations. This situation underscores the shared responsibility of the international community to respond to the evolving geopolitical situation.
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