Wang Feng divorced, A shares are about to take off? Li Daxiao said that he came up with a "rescue plan"...
Source | Deep Blue Finance
Written by | Wu Ruixin
After A shares fell below 3,000 points last Friday, after the opening of trading today on Monday, A shares fell again unexpectedly.
After today's open, the six A-share indexes were all green, and more than 4,700 of the more than 5,000 stocks were falling. Global indices are equally green.
The Shanghai Composite Index is particularly dismal. After the opening this afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index suddenly leaked all the way down after rising slightly! The lowest once fell to 2923.51 points, and the shareholders shouted: the 3000-point defense battle has just been lost, and now it is necessary to defend 2900 points.
Today, another hot search on the Internet "Wang Feng and Zhang Ziyi divorced" was also pulled out by shareholders to ridicule A shares.
Recall that on May 10, 2015, when Wang Feng and Zhang Ziyi got married, A-shares were also at the "peak of life" at that time, with the Shanghai Composite Index of more than 4,000 points, and then reached the peak of 5178.19 points in June!
Now that Wang Zhang and the two are divorced, A shares have also gone from the peak to the trough, falling to more than 2900 points.
It can be said that A-shares have witnessed the ups and downs of the relationship between the two.
Now that the marriage of the two has come to an end, A shares will continue to go. Sure enough: get together and leave, all sometimes, only the big A, immortal.
However, in the face of the bleakness of the A-share market, people from all walks of life are not idle and have made suggestions.
Some people believe that the fall of A-shares below 3,000 points may be related to the large outflow of foreign capital. Therefore, some insiders suggest that consideration can be given to optimizing or reducing the information disclosure of northbound funds.
Because, compared with small and medium-sized investors, institutional investors have stronger information collection and analysis capabilities. The frequent disclosure of northbound information may increase the information advantage of institutional investors, while small and medium-sized investors are at a disadvantage and the use of information is not balanced.
In fact, similar suggestions were made by big Vs long before A shares fell below 3,000 points.
However, this suggestion was evaluated by netizens as: cover your ears and steal the bell.
Because, today's Chongyang Festival holiday, Hong Kong stocks did not open, northbound funds did not move at all, and A shares still fell just as badly.
Some experts believe that the outflow of foreign capital is not the key reason for the decline of A-shares.
Liu Jipeng, dean of the Capital Finance Research Institute of China University of Political Science and Law, said in an interview with Phoenix Finance "Cover" that the probability now is about 0.25% for the Fed to raise interest rates in November, and then 30% in December, and the probability of not adding is 60-70%. The interest rate hike of the dollar and the rate cut of China are the opposite of each other, so in this sense, the money will run out. In other words, when the RMB exchange rate falls, it is not effective for the stock market. The main reason why the stock market cannot rise today is external factors, but the main reason is our internal factors. Moreover, due to the US dollar, we must also see that the US dollar has also encountered great difficulties, and the debt of 33 trillion yuan will never be repaid.
"This is a decisive battle, and we must be determined to hold the stock market." Liu Jipeng suggested that the central bank should bail out the market by itself or through institutions such as Huijin and CIC. Regarding the scale of the rescue fund, he said: "We have more than 80 trillion yuan (market value), and 5% of more than 80 trillion yuan is 4 trillion yuan. So we can act within 4 trillion. ”
However, Liu Jipeng also said, "Whether it is the central bank or the equalization fund to enter the market, it must not be a long-term solution, and it must be withdrawn." Therefore, in this case, to find a way to cure the root cause, I am not in favor of directly coming up and throwing money into the bank, and if you want to throw money, you can't keep 4,000 points or 5,000 points. "For this situation, Liu Jipeng said that the stock market will come down sooner or later, just like a person who is sick and has a high fever, if you want to save your life now, you have to first lower the temperature and press the ice, just to buy time, find the cause, and eliminate the cause." How to treat both the symptoms and the root causes in the next step? It is necessary to reshape the pattern of China's capital market. ”
Li Daxiao, a well-known economist and former director of the British University Securities Research Institute, also actively contributed to A-shares.
Li Daxiao said that he didn't sleep this weekend, and finally came up with a rescue trick in addition to increasing the buyback of central enterprises and state-owned enterprises, as well as national teams such as Huijin and the central bank: public offering of multiple products.
"As long as the speed of raising funds by the fund is greater than the speed of issuing shares, the speed of market decline can be slowed down, and if the speed of public offering products is much greater than that of stocks, then it will rise and rise back to 3,000 points."
The ideal is very full, but in reality it is ridiculed by netizens.
Li Delin, a well-known financial media person, also posted an article saying that he suggested that Li Daxiao should sleep well, and then get up and fire the analysts who Yingda Securities provided him with data support, so as to save food for state-owned securities companies and avoid wasting public funds.
However, after the close, the shareholders, who were originally sad in their hearts, suddenly became positive. Because, after Wang Feng's first two divorces, A-shares started the two biggest bull markets in nearly 20 years.
In May 2015, a month after Wang Feng and Zhang Ziyi got married, A-shares peaked, and A-shares continued to decline for eight and a half years after marriage! Now that the two are divorced, does it mean that A shares are about to bottom?