This year's No. 14 typhoon Koinu has already broken out, and it can be said that this is a typhoon that cannot be underestimated. However, in addition to this typhoon, a 96W typhoon embryo was generated in the offshore region of central Japan. Although its wind speed is only 10 m/s, it will develop into the Central Pacific region from the perspective of development trends, and will not affect any region.
For Typhoon Koinu No. 14, the typhoon will continue to strengthen and reach the super-strong typhoon magnitude, which has been adjusted by the Continental Climate Center and its path has been adjusted. During the development of a typhoon, the creation of some embryos is also essential. The formation of this year's No. 14 typhoon "Koinu" is also in the spotlight.
The typhoon has already erupted, and after its formation, there have been two "consecutive upgrades of 2 magnitude", which also shows that this typhoon is very powerful. According to the information in the Typhoon Bulletin, the typhoon will continue to strengthen and reach the strongest level of super typhoon, which has also been adjusted by the Continental Climate Center. At the same time, the path of the typhoon was adjusted accordingly. Because its strength cannot be underestimated, it is necessary to pay attention to preventive measures.
In addition, a 96W typhoon embryo was generated in the offshore region of central Japan. Although the typhoon embryo has a wind speed of only 10 m/s and a central pressure of 1005hp, it is also a "relative" typhoon embryo at high latitudes in terms of location. However, according to its development, it is likely to become an "extratropical cyclone" with no impact on any region.
Therefore, although it is a typhoon embryo or "low pressure", it is unlikely to become this year's No. 15 typhoon Bravan, and there is basically no such opportunity. GFS and EC also believe that there is no room for expectations, so you don't have to worry too much. In short, this year's typhoon situation is relatively complicated, and it is necessary to pay close attention to the early warning information and take timely measures to ensure the safety of people's lives and property.
This year's No. 14 typhoon Koinu has become one of the strongest Category 17 super typhoons on the mainland this year. Although the peak intensity given by the United States is somewhat different from that of the mainland, both countries have described the typhoon as super strong and marked the cordon in the 24-hour cordon. The typhoon is expected to make a turn during the October 4 session, make landfall along Taiwan's southeastern coast and move westward into the northeastern South China Sea, gradually weakening in intensity.
Although the typhoon may make landfall in the mainland Pearl River Delta, the central pressure value is 1001hpa, which is very weak. Judging from the path given by GFS and GEFS, the typhoon may make a "big turn" as it approaches adjacent areas such as Guangdong and Fujian on the mainland, and travels directly to the south (west), and may eventually reach Vietnam. Therefore, the mainland needs to be highly vigilant and take effective measures to ensure the safety of people's lives and property.
As Typhoon Koinu approached, weather services everywhere began to predict its path and impact. In addition to the probability of Taiwan Province being affected by landfall, strong wind and rain weather may also occur along the coasts of Guangdong and Fujian. The path of the typhoon varies by climate center, with GEPS models suggesting that the typhoon will pass through the Bus Strait and then enter the mainland South China Sea, towards Vietnam.
But in fact, there is still a lot of room for typhoon changes, and various factors may affect it. One of the reasons for the rapid weakening of Typhoon Koinu is the strong trend of cold air going south, and although it is not strong, cold air "hard bar" typhoons are very powerful. At the same time, a number of inland cyclones are also cooperating, further reinforcing this trend. Therefore, it is normal for typhoon activity to weaken more quickly.
It is expected that from October 5 to October 8, the eastern coast of Guangdong and the southern coast of Fujian will usher in strong wind and rain, and there may be extremely heavy rainfall in the local area, and this period just covers the return period of the long holiday. Therefore, friends who need to return must prepare in advance to avoid unnecessary impact.
In general, there is still some uncertainty about the path and impact of Typhoon Koinu, but coastal areas and returning people need to be vigilant and prepared. We also call on everyone to actively follow up on the typhoon so that they can take timely action to ensure their own safety. Recently, typhoons have frequently hit Southeast Asia and become the focus of attention. Among them, Typhoon Puppy No. 14 has attracted widespread attention.
The EC is expected to spawn in the waters east of the Philippines and move west-north. The GFS model suggests that after the canine is formed, it will generate a pressure value of 983 Hpa in the central northwest Pacific region, which will become Typhoon Bravan No. 15. It is worth mentioning that this simulation time is longer and the reference value is greater. In the wake of this typhoon, EC canceled its forecast for Typhoon Bravan on the 15th, while GFS insisted that a typhoon would appear soon.
GFS and EC have very different attitudes toward the forecast for Typhoon Bravan No. 15. The EC canceled the brewing of Typhoon Bravan on the 15th, arguing that the subtropical high was shrouded in the back, making the development of the typhoon unlikely. GFS, on the other hand, still believes that typhoons will appear soon, and that will remain unchanged in mid-October.
On October 12, a pressure of 983 Hpa is expected in the central northwest Pacific region, which may be Typhoon Bravan No. 15 according to the pressure value. After that, it is expected to move northward and develop towards the Central Pacific region, so it will have no impact on the mainland. However, this GFS simulation time is long and the reference value is limited, so it needs to be discussed again.
In addition to the predictions of Typhoon Blavan No. 15, Typhoon Puppy No. 14 has also attracted attention. EC expects puppies to spawn in waters east of the Philippines and move north-west direction. The GFS model suggests that after the canine is formed, it will generate a pressure value of 983 Hpa in the central northwest Pacific region, which will become Typhoon Bravan No. 15. In both predictions, the generation of puppies is inevitable.
Therefore, both GFS and EC need to continue to pay attention to the development of puppies so that timely measures can be taken. In short, the formation and development of typhoons in Southeast Asia has always been a serious problem and requires our high attention. Although GFS and EC have different forecasts for Typhoon Bravan 15, this does not affect our attention to them and the precautionary measures taken.
At the same time, we also need to pay close attention to the development of Typhoon No. 14 puppies in order to respond in a timely and accurate manner.