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It is deeply worrying that the powder keg seems to have been detonated again, and the sound of Mars in the Caucasus is endless. This time, Armenia claimed that Azerbaijan had amassed a large number of troops in the border area and carried out attacks on Armenian military positions using drones and mortars, which killed three Armenian soldiers, while Azerbaijan denied this, accusing Armenia of provocations and sending drones to carry out attacks on Azerbaijani villages, resulting in the injury of three Azerbaijanis. All this seems familiar, just three years ago, in 2020, a war broke out between Azerbaijan and Armenia, which claimed the lives of at least 6,500 people. Azerbaijan had a clear military advantage at that time, especially their UAV technology, which was impressive. Armenia had to retreat, and the Nagorno-Karabakh region returned to Azerbaijan. Eventually, Russia's intervention led to a ceasefire, but there were still about 2,000 Russian peacekeepers near the ceasefire line.
However, in the past three years, the Mars in the region has not been extinguished. Last year, also in September, fierce clashes broke out again, with artillery fire dyeting almost the entire sky red, and both sides claimed that dozens of soldiers had been killed. The reasons are diverse, but they are undoubtedly caused by a series of irreconcilable contradictions. The trigger was the tiny Nagorno-Karabakh region, a 4,400-square-kilometer area with a population of about 170,000 people, mainly Christian. However, the division of the Soviet Union made this area part of Azerbaijan, although most of the inhabitants were Armenians, and Azerbaijan was predominantly Islamic.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the region became the focus of contention, and a fierce war broke out between Armenia and Azerbaijan, the First Nagorno-Karabakh War, which killed 30,000 people and displaced 1 million. Armenia made some gains at that time, but this set the stage for the second Nagorno-Karabakh war in 2020, which eventually led to the victory of Azerbaijan, who recovered the Nagorno-Karabakh region. This is a sad ending, especially for the local population, who once lived on the land who were displaced by the war and never returned.
From the point of view of international politics, although Azerbaijan and Armenia are small countries, Azerbaijan has rich oil resources, especially Baku became the oil center of the Caucasus. After decades of development, Azerbaijan's overall national strength, especially military strength, is much stronger than Armenia's. In addition, Azerbaijan received support from Turkey and received a large number of advanced weapons.
Armenia may be small, but it is backed by Russia and is a member of the CSTO. This geopolitical intricacy has led to divisions in the international community, with Western countries tending to support Armenia while Russia remains neutral. This situation is puzzling, because according to CSTO regulations, an attack on Armenia is equivalent to an attack on all member states, but Russia has not taken action.
Against this background, the powder keg in the Caucasus seems doomed to be uncalm. Hatred and territorial disputes between Armenia and Azerbaijan were growing, while the attention of the international community to the region was growing. However, it is ordinary people who end up hurting, and the people living in these areas have been in turmoil after decades of war.
In addition, we must recognize that the consequences of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict are spreading to other regions. The problems of the Caucasus are only one aspect of many international geopolitical conflicts. If Russia's power is severely weakened, the geopolitical landscape could be even more chaotic. We must be vigilant that similar conflicts may break out again in other places, just as after the collapse of the Soviet Union, many wars broke out in the Soviet Union, Yugoslavia and other places
To the loss of countless lives. This continuum of gunpowder keg poses a huge threat to global peace and stability.
Looking back on this series of events, I can't help but think deeply. The dispute in the Caucasus is actually a comprehensive issue involving many factors, intertwined at the religious, ethnic, territorial, political, economic and other levels. When these complex issues are not properly addressed, it is deeply sad that they can easily turn into violent conflicts.
Most regrettably, it is always ordinary people who end up victimizing. The three Caucasus countries, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia, as well as the inhabitants of the disputed areas, have been living in the shadow of war for many years. Although these countries have small territories and relatively small populations, their fate has always been held hostage by geopolitics. It also raises questions about whether the international community could take a more active role in promoting peaceful solutions that would alleviate the suffering of the inhabitants of those countries and regions.
In addition, it is necessary to be vigilant about the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on other regions. The chain reaction of geopolitics has made international relations more complex. In the current international situation, where potential conflicts and tensions can erupt at any time, peace and stability are particularly precious.
Finally, let us reflect on the value of peace. In a turbulent world, peace is what people desire most. In the absence of peace, nothing can proceed normally. We should cherish peace and strive to create better conditions for peace so that conflict and violence are no longer a means of solving problems. Only then can we achieve true peace and stability throughout the world.
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