introduction
In today's world, with the escalating complexity of various international relations, potential conflict between China and the United States is increasingly one of the most worrisome issues. In particular, the provocative behavior of the United States on the Taiwan issue has made the risk of war between China and the United States more serious.
The global industrial chain is broken
The nexus of the international economy
The globalized economic system is an industrial chain in which all countries in the world participate in the industry, which is interdependent and mutually supportive. It's like a complex puzzle piece, where each piece counts. However, if war breaks out between China and the United States, this puzzle piece may be destroyed.
The price of defeat
A war is often accompanied by the collapse of the regime of the defeated country and the payment of land reparations, which is a loss that almost no country can afford. Therefore, in order to defeat the opponent, the state will usually stop at nothing, including economic sanctions and industrial chain blockade, to reduce the opponent's military-industrial capability.
Lessons from history
Historically, the United States imposed an oil embargo on Japan during World War II, which led to the shutdown of Japanese industrial production. This forced Japan to expand its battlefield to grab oil resources, further triggering war. If China and the United States fall into conflict, the blockade of the economy and industrial chain will not only affect both sides, but also affect the whole world.
The "first island chain" was destroyed
Fire blockade
Against the backdrop of the Taiwan Strait issue, the entire "first island chain" may become a military firepower blockade area for China and the United States. In particular, Japan and South Korea, as countries with a large presence of US troops, may become the main targets of China's rocket forces.
New threats
South Korea could be embroiled in a new "Korean War," and after the outbreak of Taiwan, North Korea could take the opportunity to move south to try to unify the Korean Peninsula. This could lead to a devastating blow to South Korea.
Regional vulnerability
In addition to Japan and South Korea, the Philippines and Taiwan could also be severely affected by the fighting. In addition, considering that the United States may sabotage Taiwan in order to delay the process of China's reunification of Taiwan, the island of Taiwan may suffer great damage, which is more in line with the "strategic objectives" of the United States.
May lead to World War III
Lack of blocking mechanisms
Now, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict involves only Russia and Ukraine, and the international community cannot dissuade this conflict. And if China and the United States, the two largest countries, clash, who can dissuade them?
Runaway situation
If China and the United States go to war, if neither side can afford defeat, the war may spiral out of control, leading to an ever-expanding full-scale war. Even worse, the use of nuclear weapons has become highly likely.
conclusion
The ideal scenario for a war between China and the United States would be limited to a local war, but without consensus, World War III would not be avoidable. There is no doubt that the use of nuclear weapons is a scenario that no one wants to see and a catastrophe that the entire world cannot afford. Therefore, in order to maintain global peace and stability, the international community must work together to prevent the potential escalation of conflict between China and the United States to ensure that war does not become a reality. Otherwise, the world could fall into an unprecedented crisis.