Now 400 billion locusts have entered India and Pakistan. Due to the uncontrollability, the outbreak of war between India and Pakistan is already a very likely occurrence. Whether it is India or Pakistan, in the final analysis, it is a country with no foreign exchange, a large population, and food shortages.
It is reported that 400 billion locusts have struck the Indian state of Rajasthan, destroying a large number of crops and threatening to spread to other states. Indian scholars predict that the locust plague will reduce India's grain production by 30 to 50 percent. This has greatly caused concern for the Indian government. India has a population of 1.3 billion and food supplies have fallen by 30 to 50 per cent. What does that mean?
Between 30 billion and 600 million people will be without food. With such a huge food gap, can India import food with its meager foreign exchange reserves? Moreover, by June, the number of locusts will increase 600-fold, or 300 trillion locusts, weighing millions of tons. How much farmland is destroyed every day?
These little creatures, which can fly 100 to 150 kilometers a day by wind, will destroy India, including Pakistan, in a matter of months. Currently, more than a dozen countries have been affected by desert locusts. The affected countries include: African countries, as well as Iran, Yemen, Oman, India, Pakistan and so on, which we are more concerned about. It is reported that 5.55 million hectares of agricultural land in India have been affected, with hundreds of thousands of hectares lost. Billions. Rupee.
Once food is cut off, competition for resources breaks out. To survive, more Kashmiri guerrillas will attack more Indian targets. In revenge, the Indian army will also carry out large-scale retaliation. Naturally, the Pakistan Railway Army will also launch a fierce counterattack. Kashmir and its surrounding areas, home to 700,000 Indian troops and Pakistan's 300,000 troops, are the land of simmering fire.
At the same time, India itself is a relatively fragile country, with hundreds of thousands of guerrillas of various factions within its borders. In January 2018, The Times of India, citing police statistics from the Indian army, said that India's guerrilla zones had been compressed, from 75 districts in 2015 to 58 districts in 2017. India has also contributed the Indian Air Force, the Indian Border Security Force and the Indian Border Police. and the Central Reserve Police Force encircled the guerrilla-controlled areas of central and northeastern India.
Although the military encirclement was successful, it was clear that once India fell into famine, a large number of desperate people would join the guerrillas in order to survive. Especially the poor in central and northeastern India, and this is only one of the guerrillas.
In addition, more than one-third of India's 604 administrative regions are home to Naxalite forces. This armed group has 20,000 armed forces. You know, India has 300 million untouchables, and there is no shortage of land for the development of guerrillas. The Kashmiri guerrillas, which cause India a headache, are even more powerful. Some analysts say the guerrillas in Kashmir are supported by Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence Service. In the event of famine, these armed groups in Kashmir will mobilize more disaffected people to attack. After all, Kashmiri residents are different from India in religious beliefs and customs, and cannot integrate into mainstream Indian society. The continuous turmoil in Indian-controlled Kashmir is known as the "powder keg" of South Asia. If India attacks the guerrillas, Pakistan is bound to retaliate.
As the locust plague continues to worsen, war is certain between 2020 and 2021, regardless of which guerrilla group, or even between India and Pakistan. It's just a matter of scale.