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The round of military exercises around the island, triggered by Tsai's visit to the United States, has come to an end, and the details recently released by a spokesperson for the Eastern Theater give us a clearer picture of this. However, this incident is not only the focus of attention on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, but also the world's close attention, because it involves the interests of the United States and has become a major event involving the world. Although the attention is somewhat influenced by the American and Western media, their reporting often has a certain political orientation. A Reuters report and its comments, for example, show a clear position.
There are two main points to be seen from the reports of the international media. First of all, the Taiwan military clearly showed more courage than the last time. Back in August 2022, when the old demon visited Taiwan, the Chinese People's Liberation Army conducted a long large-scale military exercise near the Taiwan Strait. And in the last exercises in the Eastern Theater, Taiwanese ships stayed in port, making symbolic movements only before the end, and did not face each other head-on. However, this time the situation is completely different, the Taiwan military has almost demonstrated its full strength, and the confrontation with the PLA ships in the Taiwan Strait has sparked discussions about the courage of the Taiwan military.
Second, these reports deliberately internationalize the Taiwan issue, using terms like "China" and "Taiwan" instead of "mainland" and "Taiwan." In contrast, the English translation of Chinese mainland is "Chinese mainland" rather than the universal "China." This difference in terminology reflects trends in international public opinion. However, no matter how the outside world directs it, the truth will never change: Taiwan will always be part of China. In this case, we don't need to be overly sensitive, because paying too much attention to these small issues will only lead us into endless annoyance.
So, has the courage of the Taiwan military really increased? And why do they grow bold? This is an issue worth exploring. I will briefly analyze this issue from three perspectives.
First of all, we need to understand the purpose of this exercise as a whole. Although the joint sword exercise lasted only three days, the strategic intentions in it can be clearly seen from the outside world, which shows that China's strategic thinking on the Taiwan issue has changed fundamentally. The last exercise focused on Taiwan Island itself, focusing on demonstrating the actual combat capability of military mobilization and siege of Taiwan. However, the exercise went a step further, shifting strategic focus to the periphery. Beginning on April 5, the Shandong ship entered the western Pacific Ocean and laid down a formation, located between Taiwan Island and Guam. As the strategic rear of the US military in the western Pacific, Guam carries the functions of strategic command and weapons reserves. This clearly sends a message to Taiwan and the United States: the PLA has proven its actual combat capabilities, Taiwan Island is no longer a problem for the Eastern Theater, and our goal is to face the United States head-on.
Second, from a practical point of view, the equipment of the Taiwan military is relatively weak, but we should be full of confidence in this. Taiwan's Navy currently has only four veteran destroyers, four obsolete submarines and 22 regular frigates. These ships are insignificant compared to the mainland's 052D guided-missile destroyers. At present, the mainland has built 25 052Ds and 6 are under construction, while there are only 18 warships of the same class in Europe. In addition, the Liaoning and Shandong aircraft carrier formations are already sailing, and the Fujian will soon be officially organized, and its naming implies that its mission is to liberate Taiwan. Therefore, no matter how provocative the outside world is, we should strengthen our strategic confidence. The goal of the Eastern Theater is to challenge the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command and reshape the entire East Asian region, rather than just compete with a handful of aging U.S. ships and submarines.
Finally, despite the courage shown by the Taiwanese military, the US military appears to be more low-key, and they have seen the doorway. Michael McCall, chairman of the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee, made it clear in an interview that Taiwan's current defense capabilities cannot confront the PLA head-on, and neither Taiwan nor the United States wants a military conflict with Chinese mainland. However, as a hardcore anti-China, McCall's key intentions lie in the second half he mentioned, in which he acknowledges that the United States will not be intimidated by the PLA's momentum, but will instead accelerate military aid to Taiwan
Help. This remark reveals that they are trying to achieve strategic goals through proxy wars, indirectly influencing the situation by selling weapons to the Taiwan military and enhancing its strength, and avoiding direct action.
However, it is worth noting that unlike hawkish members of the US Congress, the US military has always maintained a relatively low profile and restraint. When the Shandong aircraft carrier advanced into the western Pacific, the Nimitz aircraft carrier always maintained a distance of 400 nautical miles from the island and did not cross the Shandong's defense line. One might argue that the United States has other aircraft carriers in the Asia-Pacific region, such as those stationed in Japan, which can provide temporary support. However, the U.S. military is also aware that China now has a variety of means of attacking U.S. aircraft carrier groups in the western Pacific, and the DF-21D series missiles are a typical example of this. If the United States really goes to war, they may get bogged down in the Pacific Ocean.
In addition, the new strategic cooperation between China and France has also put the US military in a pinch. Recently, French President Emmanuel Macron visited China, and in addition to economic cooperation, China and France have also carried out in-depth cooperation at the strategic level, which is even comparable to Sino-Russian cooperation. One of them is the cooperation of the Chinese Southern Theater of Operations with the French Pacific Fleet. France has a colony in the Pacific called French Polynesia, which consists of more than 100 islands, has a population of less than 300,000 and has more than 1,000 French troops. For years, France had tried to separate the colony, but failed to do so due to its declining control. With the strengthening of Sino-French relations, the issue became relatively simple. If China and France establish a joint military port here, it will weaken the influence of the US military base in Guam and balance the US military from a larger strategic perspective.
To sum up, China is a major country that pursues peace and responsibility, and actively promotes global reconciliation. We have not only reconciled with millennial wrongdoers like Iran and Saudi Arabia, but we are committed to solving our own problems. Although the United States and Taiwan independence forces may regard our goodwill as weakness, we will never back down on the Taiwan issue, and we are fully capable of dealing with this issue. The Taiwan independence forces are just a pawn of the United States, trying to stir our nerves, interfere with our development rhythm, and force us to take action in advance. However, what we have to do is act in reverse and not be swayed by their rhythm. When we complete the overall situation layout, we will be able to drive the US military away from the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. At that time, the Taiwan independence forces will only be an easy problem, like closing the door and beating dogs.
By analyzing these factors in depth, we can better understand the reasons for the boldness of the Taiwan military. This change stems both from China's new strategic thinking in dealing with the Taiwan issue and from the growing gap in Taiwan's military in strength. Despite the various voices from the outside world, we must maintain strategic self-confidence and firmly move forward towards the goal of national reunification. As one swordsman said, "We have to do the opposite, not to his rhythm." When we complete the above layout, we will be able to completely drive the US military out of the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. At that time, the Taiwan independence forces will not be a problem, just close the door and fight dogs! ”
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