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Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

author:Inspur Finance V

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Within 4 trading days, the brokerage sector appeared a black candle for 4 consecutive trading days, which was once again beaten back to its original shape and created a new low.

The brokerage sector fell from 1578.56 points to a relative stage low of 1386.10 points. In just four trading days, the volatility was as high as 12.16%.

That is, from the relative high to the stage close, the decline was as high as 12.16%.

The so-called bull market that has just begun, has the cow been taken away?

The brokerage sector fell by as much as 2.76% in the previous trading day, with a total transaction amount of 52.55 billion yuan.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

In the latest trading day, the brokerage sector as a whole fell sharply again, with a decline of 1.80%, the total amount of transactions was as high as 38.83 billion yuan, and the average turnover rate reached 2.65%, which is still relatively rare in the market.

Due to the relatively large influence of the brokerage sector in the market, the continuous decline of the brokerage sector also has an important impact on the phased adjustment of the market, and the Shanghai Composite Index has also shown a sharp decline for two consecutive trading days.

For example, Pacific Securities, the real leader of the brokerage sector, fell by nearly 9% in three trading days.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

The total share capital of Pacific Securities is as high as 6.8 billion, and the phased circulating market value has reached 28.7 billion, from a technical point of view, Pacific Securities has led the brokerage sector to a sharp rise in the overall situation when it is just beginning.

Pacific Securities even had five intermittent limit increases in 15 trading days, and its share capital was as high as 6.8 billion, under this circumstance, he still had a continuous, continuous rise, which also caused continuous tracking of the brokerage sector.

But now, Pacific Securities has appeared four black candlesticks, which have effectively fallen below the 30-day trend moving average.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

Moreover, facing the compensation of two consecutive gaps, the pressure of the phased decline is relatively large.

In the brokerage sector, another real leading variety, a variety with large market capitalization, such as CICC, has a total market value of 195.6 billion yuan, and in four trading days, there have been four consecutive long black candles, and the proportion of negative decline is getting bigger and bigger day by day.

With the support of major favorable policies, the broader market jumped 150 points up, and CICC opened with a limit of 0.7%, with a turnover of 3.4 billion yuan, which is a relatively standard inertial pressure decline.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

In the second trading day, CICC fell by 2.92%, the transaction amount was 1.97 billion yuan, and the turnover rate also reached 5.10%, which is still a relatively standard volume drop.

On the third trading day, CICC fell by 2.60%, and the transaction amount reached 1.17 billion yuan, and the average turnover rate still exceeded 3%, reaching 3.08%.

Especially in the latest trading day, CICC fell by 3.77%, and the transaction amount once again exceeded 100 million yuan, as high as 1.06 billion yuan, and the turnover rate reached 2.90%.

From a purely technical point of view, it is a relatively standard volume decline, a continuous decline state, and in the process of falling, it quickly fell below the short-term trend average.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

Effectively fell below the five-day moving average, effectively fell below the 10-day moving average, effectively fell below the 20-day moving average, effectively fell below the 30-day moving average, and effectively fell below the 250-day moving average.

A technical pattern of falling volume is formed, and it shows a state of bearish arrangement, and the trend direction is constantly seeking stage lows.

Hongyuan Securities, which has a circulating share capital of 22.5 billion yuan, has seen a decline in volume for four consecutive trading days, with the stock price falling to 4.36 yuan after a relative high of 5.12 yuan after four trading days.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

Under the favorable support of major policies, the broader market rose and jumped higher, and the stage stock price of Shenwan Hongyuan was 4.65 yuan. The current stock price is only about 4.36 yuan, and the stock price has reached a new low.

The closing price was 6.23% lower than the price at launch.

More interestingly, he has effectively broken through the 13-month uptrend channel, especially the effective support of the 120 EMA.

Now, its stock price has soared straight to the 250-day moving average.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

From the analysis of the medium and long-term trend indicator MACD, after the MACD death cross, the green column continues to enlarge, like a waterfall fall.

Purely from the analysis of his technical trend, it is not the beginning of a bull market, but the beginning of a bear market.

What kind of situation is this?

Another example is Changjiang Securities. West China Securities, Zhongyuan Securities, Caida Securities, Guojin Securities, Hongta Securities, etc.

They are moving the same way, like a template.

Among the securities sectors, CITIC Securities, the most influential in the market, also saw a decline in volume for four consecutive trading days.

On the basis of falling 3.51% in the previous trading day and trading as high as 5.28 billion, it is now down 1.60% again, with a transaction amount of more than 2.7 billion.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

The total market value of CITIC Securities exceeds 330 billion yuan, especially the trend of stock prices in the secondary market, which has effectively fallen below its five-day moving average, ten-day moving average, 20-day moving average, and 30-day moving average, directly running towards the 60-day moving average.

Stock prices have reached a new low, and the medium and long-term trend indicator MACD green bars accelerated to amplify, quickly amplified, and fell below the zero axis again.

KDJ also shows a rapid downward technical pattern, forming a relatively standard three-line resonance, three-line downward trend.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

The Internet securities generally optimistic in the market, Orient Wealth, fell as much as 4.80% in two trading days, and the total amount of transactions exceeded 10 billion yuan, reaching 11.06 billion yuan.

It can only be used to describe its trend trend with a decline in volume, and in the case of an effective fall below the five-day moving average, ten-day moving average, and 20-day moving average, the 30-day moving average is also in jeopardy.

The circulating market value of Oriental Wealth is as high as 217.8 billion yuan, and the decline of the leading varieties of Internet securities has played a relatively stimulating role in the market, especially the decline of the securities sector.

Brokerage: Back to the original shape, turn a corner, and hit a new low, the bull market is taken away?

The medium and long-term trend indicator MACD, when the golden cross just occurred, turned back down.

In general, the brokerage sector has a phased rise before the announcement of major favorable policies, and it is a relatively standard hot sector and a hot variety.

However, what is more interesting is that when the real favorable implementation occurs, the securities sector has a collective increase, a collective decline, a decline in volume for four consecutive trading days, and the technical pattern once again forms a standard short arrangement.

Faced with this situation, has the bull market been taken away?

What do you think?

And what would you do?