Lukashenko: The success of crisis mediation and the unresolved dilemma
First, the crisis is resolved, and the hidden dangers remain
CNN recently pointed out that although Lukashenko successfully mediated the crisis, problems remain. After Russia was threatened with an armed insurgency and Putin vowed to punish Wagner fighters who invaded Moscow, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko intervened to reach an agreement, but the situation remains uncertain. Experts stressed that the effects of the insurgency will not dissipate quickly.
Jill Doherty, then CNN's Moscow bureau chief and long-time concern for Russia, reminded that Prigozhin, the leader of the Wagner Group, was still at risk and that Putin would not tolerate the existence of traitors. "There is a high probability that Prigozhin will receive retaliation in Belarus, but this will also put Moscow in a difficult situation," Doherty said. As long as Prigozhin has some kind of support, he is a threat wherever he is. ”
However, the stability of the situation has not changed Putin's image, and he appears vulnerable. This sense of vulnerability is evident not only in the international arena and in the eyes of hostile forces, but also in Russia and in the military. If there are doubts within Moscow or if competitors see Putin as a weakling, the situation could be further dangerous.
Lukashenko's successful mediation is a step that cannot be ignored, but the complexity of the situation cannot be underestimated. First of all, Lukashenko is under great political pressure to maintain good relations with Russia while safeguarding national interests. Second, despite the agreement, actual implementation will take time and effort, and the cooperative attitude of all parties is unknown. Crucially, the current crisis is resolved only temporarily, while the underlying problem remains unresolved. The security situation inside and outside Russia remains fragile and requires the joint efforts of all parties.
On the international stage, this incident has attracted widespread attention. As an important global power, Russia's stability and security have a far-reaching impact on the global situation. Therefore, the international community should pay close attention to Russia's movements and actively participate in the process of resolving the issue to ensure regional peace and stability.
Second, more issues of concern
Although Lukashenko's mediation has defused the immediate crisis, its impact on Belarus' internal political landscape may be more profound. In doing so, Lukashenko has demonstrated his ability and influence in international affairs, which may strengthen his prestige at home. However, some experts believe that the incident could further raise questions about Lukashenko, accusing him of being too dependent on outside forces in domestic affairs.
The crisis has also revealed a range of problems and vulnerabilities in Russia. While the support of Russian society and military is crucial to maintaining Putin's power, the crisis may weaken Putin's image and prestige, raising questions about his leadership and decision-making abilities. In addition, the crisis has revealed divisions and rivalries within Russia, which could be challenged if someone sees an opportunity to weaken his position, posing a huge threat to Russia's political stability.
The reaction of the international community to Russia is also worth watching. Although Lukashenko's mediation has eased tensions to some extent, the international community remains cautious about Russia's actions. Russia's actions and decisions in international affairs have important implications for global security and stability. Therefore, all States should remain vigilant and ready to take the necessary actions to maintain international order and security.
Third, the solution of deficiencies is full of hidden dangers
All in all, while the resolution of the crisis has eased current tensions, many uncertainties and potential problems remain. Lukashenko's good offices have had significant international and domestic implications, and developments within Russia and the reaction of the international community will also determine the course of the future. All parties need to remain vigilant
, actively participate in the settlement of issues to ensure lasting peace and stability in the region.
In short, Lukashenko successfully mediated the armed insurgency crisis facing Russia, but this does not mean that the problem has been completely resolved. For Prigozhin and Russian President Vladimir Putin, the danger remains. The crisis has also revealed Putin's fragile image at home and the internal and external security risks Russia faces. Resolving this problem requires the joint efforts of all parties and the close attention and active participation of the international community. Long-term peace and stability in the region can be achieved only through cooperation and efforts.
At the same time, Lukashenko's good offices, while helping to defuse the current crisis, could have a profound impact on Belarus' internal political landscape. Lukashenko has shown competence and influence in international affairs, which could strengthen his position at home. However, some experts point out that his reliance on outside forces could draw more criticism when dealing with domestic issues.
In addition, the crisis has highlighted Russia's domestic problems and vulnerabilities. While Putin's power is supported by society and the military, the crisis could weaken his leadership image and raise questions about his ability and decision-making. In addition, the crisis has exposed divisions and rivalries within Russia, and if someone sees an opportunity to weaken his position, it may challenge him, which poses a threat to Russia's political stability.
Finally, the international community's response to Russia is crucial. Although Lukashenko's good offices have eased tensions to some extent, the international community remains cautious. Russia's actions and decisions in international affairs have a significant impact on global security and stability. Therefore, all countries should pay close attention to Russia's movements, remain vigilant and, if necessary, take appropriate actions to maintain international order and security.
To sum up, the resolution of the current crisis only solves the immediate problems, and there are still many potential problems and uncertainties. Lukashenko's good offices have had important implications at home and abroad, and developments within Russia and the reaction of the international community will also determine the course of the future. All parties need to remain vigilant and actively participate in efforts to resolve the issue in order to ensure long-term peace and stability in the region.