Preface:
Japan has a land area of less than 400,000 square kilometers, but it is affected by natural disasters because it is located in an earthquake zone. In just 16 years, from June 2002 to July 2018, there were 2.56 million earthquakes in Japan.
Among so many earthquake events, the great earthquake of 2011 made the Japanese unforgettable. This unprecedented earthquake, along with the tsunami, had a severe impact on Japan, which made the Japanese very worried about their future.
Recently, an American magazine launched a poll on "Will Japan sink?" With the participation of nearly 100,000 people, the results were in line with what the pessimistic Japanese expected.
At this time, the Japanese had only one question in their minds, if Japan really sank, what should they do?
Japan sinks
First, Japan's concerns are not unfounded
In fact, the Japanese people's fears are based on facts. First, Japan sits on the perishing border of two tectonic plates, where natural disasters are frequent, with some major earthquakes occurring every three years.
According to GPS statistics, it is clear that Japan is sinking slowly at a rate of 5 millimeters per year, that is, it takes 200 years for Japan to sink 1 meter. As for the sinking of Japan, this is still a very distant thing, so why are the Japanese so pessimistic about this matter?
Relief map of Japan
In addition to this slow rate of decline, violent earthquakes may increase this data by an order of magnitude. Japan is a country with frequent earthquakes, with an average of 160,000 earthquakes occurring each year. These large and small earthquakes are likely to accelerate this sinking rate dramatically.
In addition, the Japanese are most worried about the eruption of Mt. Fuji. According to Japanese historical records, Mt. Fuji erupts almost every 30 years, about once every 300 years.
But the last time Mt. Fuji erupted was in 1707, 316 years from now, which is exactly a cycle. In addition, information from monitoring sites near Mt. Fuji seems to confirm this view.
Mount Fuji
From these monitoring points, we can see that the temperature inside Mt. Fuji is steadily increasing, while the year-round snow cover on the summit begins to melt in 2020.
In particular, the eruption scene of the volcano in Tonga made every Japanese tremble. Experts have speculated that the eruption of the Tonga volcano may affect Mt. Fuji, and that Mt. Fuji, after accumulating energy for 300 years, may have a great impact on Japan. This remark adds a touch of pessimism to Japan.
Geological map of Mt. Fuji
Japanese pessimism could not stop the increase in pressure inside Mt. Fuji. In previous years, its internal pressure has been as high as 1.6 MPa, while a typical volcanic eruption only needs 0.1 MPa. Japan can only continue to increase the data monitoring of Mt. Fuji. During this period, the 24-hour live broadcast of Mt. Fuji has become a hot spot.
In addition to the extremely unstable bomb of Mt. Fuji, the level of panic caused by rising sea levels in the Japanese should not be underestimated.
Japan is a country surrounded by the sea, with an average elevation of only 300 meters. According to relevant studies, if there are no more glaciers in the Antarctic and Arctic poles, the earth's sea level may rise by 70 meters, which is tantamount to a thunderbolt in the ears of the Japanese.
Arctic glaciers
With further industrialization, greenhouse gas emissions far exceed those of the past. Under the influence of many factors, Japan's sinking rate has reached an astonishing 10 centimeters per year. That's 20 times more than GPS data! It is for this reason that most Japanese people take a pessimistic view of the sinking. This sentiment can be seen everywhere in his literary and film works.
The 2006 film "Japan Sinks" reflects the ordinary Japanese public's view of Japan's future.
"Japan Sinks"
In the play, a Japanese team goes to the deep sea for scientific investigation, but accidentally discovers a large number of abnormal cracks and mud flows on the bottom of the sea. A geophysics Ph.D. combined a series of data to come to a startling conclusion: Japan will sink in a year, a far cry from the decades predicted by the United States.
However, the Japanese government firmly believes in the United States, and only the prime minister believes the doctor's remarks and organizes forces with the doctor to save himself. However, not long after a series of natural disasters descended on Japan, everyone obeyed the doctor's plan.
"Japan Sinks"
But now that Japan's volcanoes have erupted one after another, the migration process has been forced to stop. When Japan was about to sink, two submarine operators stepped forward and drove the submarine 7,000 meters deep under the sea to ignite explosives, saving countless lives, but more than half of the Japanese island still sank to the bottom of the sea.
It is a pity that this kind of plot can only happen in movies. In the real world, the Japanese people do not believe that there will be such a "savior"-like existence.
"Japan Sinks"
Second, the plot of the movie may be reflected in the real world
In "Japan Sinks", when a natural disaster occurs in Japan, it promptly applies for international assistance. Some Japanese refugees hope to be taken in by the United States, but unfortunately, the United States has turned a deaf ear to this and has already closed the entire border, completely blocking the way back for these refugees. The United States' approach in the play is the same as its behavior towards refugees in reality.
Refugees are forced to flee groups who want protection in a foreign country as a result of natural or man-made disasters in their home countries. In today's society, man-made disasters account for the vast majority.
refugee
As early as the Meiji Restoration, Japanese people were full of yearning for the "dream China" of the United States, and many Japanese at that time had the goal of immigrating to the United States in their lives.
But the United States has a "disgust" attitude towards them. Soon after, the United States forced Japan to sign a so-called "gentleman's agreement" that forbade Japanese immigration to him. This agreement left the Japanese "lost their souls".
Not only that, the United States has repeatedly intervened in the Middle East issue, resulting in constant war and turmoil in the region, and the United States has made a lot of money by selling weapons. But the war will inevitably bring a large number of refugees, which is not something that the United States needs to consider, and he will not accept it anyway. As a result, in the end, these refugees poured into Europe, and this list was directly bought by Europe.
Emperor Japan
The attitude of the United States towards refugees can be seen in its legislation. As early as when George W. Bush was in office, he directly signed a "security fence bill." The bill calls for a wall along the U.S. border to stop smuggling or illegal immigration. But the bill ended up on the shelving for a variety of reasons.
After Trump took office, he restarted the program. It also directly allocated tens of billions of dollars to build a 160-kilometer-long border wall on the border between the United States and Mexico, completely realizing George W. Bush's idea of preventing refugees from entering the United States. These moves fully demonstrate Trump's "America First" policy.
U.S. border wall
What's more, in 2021, the United States, as a representative of developed countries, forcibly demanded that China accept hundreds of thousands of refugees. Of course, the United States will either not accept refugees, or only a very small number of valuable refugees, and then other countries will obey his orders to accept the vast majority of refugees and "atone" for the sins of these developed countries.
In desperation, Europe received a large number of refugees. In the beginning, various media reported that European countries were providing jobs and food for these refugees, which fully demonstrated their great power.
Afghan refugees
Not long after the passage of time, it was these media that began to criticize these refugees. Because of the influx of these refugees, it is difficult for local governments to provide favorable living conditions for a long time, and disagreements over issues such as religion, which has led to soaring crime rates in European countries, which they have suffered from.
In contrast to Europe, when it struggles to maintain law and order, the United States is also struggling with its own ethnic conflicts. It is difficult for the black and white races in the United States to fit together for various reasons, and conflicts often break out between them. Imagine that if there is another influx of refugees, this "third party" will be more difficult to manage.
American Race Conflict
If Japan does come to the day of sinking, they apply to the United States to immigrate there, and they will most likely be rejected. For the United States, black and white races are enough for him to drink a pot, plus the Japanese, three-legged? Three points of the world?
So Japan is very likely to seek assistance from Russia and nearby China.
Russia is characterized by a large territory, but a low average population. Although the high latitudes are not suitable for human habitation, if Japan is about to sink, then they will definitely not pick and choose.
But whether the Russians are willing to take in the Japanese and arrange for them to grow potatoes depends on what Russia thinks.
Siberia
In fact, when the day comes, the probability of Japan migrating to China is the largest.
China has the third largest land area in the world and is rich in various resources, and Chinese has always been known for its benevolence. Just like countries that had some contradictions with China before, after they experienced disasters, China still provided assistance regardless of the past.
Looking at Southeast Asian countries, Japan not only has a culture derived from China, many living habits are very similar, and Japanese characters are similar to Chinese characters. The history of exchanges between the two countries dates back nearly a thousand years. If Japan immigrated to China, it would naturally be possible to integrate into it very quickly.
Japanese streets
In that case, the United States would absolutely stand up and demand that China accept Japanese refugees, and its allies would certainly loudly echo and put all kinds of pressure on China. After all, Japan is the closest to China. In fact, China has always shouldered its own responsibilities internationally.
In 2020, the epidemic ravaged the world, and China was the country with the largest amount of free assistance to the new crown vaccine in the world. China has always advocated the concept of "a community with a shared future for mankind", and has always practiced this concept by providing Chinese vaccines to Southeast Asia and other countries in a timely manner.
China aided vaccines
Southeast Asian countries were reluctant to vaccinate in the early stage because of the low rate of virus infection, and fortunately there was sufficient vaccine supply when large-scale outbreaks occurred in the later stage. These vaccines became their lifesaver.
In August 2021, with the withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan, life on the ground calmed down, but nearly one-third of Afghans became refugees. Not being clothed and hungry is a true portrayal of them.
China's aid was like a timely rain pouring on the dry land. The Chinese government has directly provided 250 million yuan worth of food, thick clothing and other urgently needed materials to meet Afghanistan's urgent needs. What is the developed country doing in the United States at this time?
China aided Afghan supplies
According to relevant data, China's health development assistance to countries along the Belt and Road increased from US$20 million in 2000 to US$880 million in 2017. Aid flows are not only growing significantly, but also towards Asia.
If Japan does sink, China is bound to uphold the humanitarian spirit and provide all kinds of assistance and support to Japan, which is certainly different from the United States.
The sinking of Japan was a big deal. At that time, the United Nations will certainly start discussions based on the specific situation of Japan and negotiate a satisfactory outcome.
China aided Cambodia
Third, it may be unfounded
In fact, there is another possibility about the sinking of Japan, that is, there were only a few Japanese on the island of Japan at that time.
This is because Japan entered an aging society in 1970, and its birth rate has shown a clear downward trend. According to the forecasts of relevant institutions, Japan's population will decrease to 99.24 million by 2053, and even by 2065, it will decrease by another 11 million.
At this demographic downturn, Japan's economy may struggle. That would result in a large flow of Japan to other countries, and a situation might arise where the island of Japan is still there and there is no one left on it.
Of course, this is just an assumption. Maybe everyone is worried.
Future population aging is expected
Epilogue:
Different countries have different criteria for the reception of immigrants. Like the developed country of the United States, after provoking wars everywhere and making war riches, it ignores refugees, and even takes extreme methods - building a border wall to keep out these refugees born from the United States.
The reception of refugees in Europe is entirely for the United States. After receiving them, they ostensibly preached the benefits that these refugees brought to the country, but when they turned around, they found that the country's crime rate was absurdly high, and these refugees seriously affected the normal functioning of the country.
The Japanese may have had prescient or alarmism about Japan's sinking. According to the remarks of various experts at this stage, if there is no extreme natural disaster such as a strong earthquake, the island of Japan will certainly not be completely sunk in the short term, and the Japanese government's large-scale reclamation of land will greatly push this matter back.
Of course, if such a thing as the sinking of Japan did occur, the United Nations would certainly not stand idly by and would certainly gather other countries to discuss a solution to the problem.
It is undoubtedly that China will also stand up and assume the responsibility of a major country, and will certainly do its best to assist Japan in terms of materials and other aspects.
Bibliography:
"A Study on the Diurnal Periodicity of Earthquake Classification Statistics under the Island of Japan"
Will Japan Sink
"A Review of the Formation and Evolution Patterns of the Sea of Japan"
Southeast Asian countries' response to China's vaccine aid
"Chinese aid brings hope to people in Afghanistan's slums"
Analysis of China's Health Development Assistance to Countries along the Belt and Road