Yesterday and Tuesday, the index closed in the red with a slight fluctuation, failing to extend Monday's sharp rally. There are mainly reasons: First, the volume of the broader market yesterday can shrink by about 100 billion, and it has not been able to continue to break trillions, and it is difficult to continue to rise after Monday's sharp rise. Second, the outflow of northbound funds has resumed, although the magnitude is not large, but it still has a certain impact on weighted stocks. However, the position of the index should not have too much risk, and the market at the beginning of the month can still be more optimistic.
Today and Wednesday, the index should continue to oscillate between the 30-day line and the 120-day line, and the worst down is to make up for Monday's gap, and the upper market needs to be released.
The automotive sector rose sharply, can it stage last year's main upward trend?
As mentioned in previous articles, the sector that follows the resonance of the index should focus on, the robot sector and the new energy vehicle sector, from yesterday's trend, it is obvious that the automotive sector wins, more and more like the meaning of the main line.
The sector that rose the most yesterday was unmanned, which feels like a branch of AI, and the Chinese military stocks are nothing more than Desay SV, Zhongke Chuangda, Cialis, and the elastic popularity target is Zhejiang Shibao. Zhejiang Shibao has been three consecutive boards, which is a bit reminiscent of last year's leadership of Zhongtong Bus, Zhejiang Shibao has walked out of the trend of 13 days and 12 price limits, and the memory of the former demon stock has been awakened, directly achieving the current three consecutive boards.
Due to yesterday's auto parts ebb and flow, as a leading stock, Zhejiang Shibao should still be up and down today, and the seal may be even larger than yesterday.
Reviewing the recent mainline sector, I feel a little following the U.S. stocks, Apple rises to speculate in consumer electronics, NVIDIA rises to speculate artificial intelligence, Tesla rises to speculate on new energy vehicles. Fortunately, the U.S. stock market did not open yesterday, so there should not be much impact on today's A shares, the automotive sector should still open high, as for whether it can continue to rise, it is still necessary to focus on the large market.
Other sector analysis
Judging from yesterday's disk, due to the contraction of the large market, the superimposed main line AI plate continued to pull back, and the plate rotated particularly fast on the disk.
The robot sector rose sharply in the morning, such as Southern Precision, Giant Wheel Intelligence, etc. are sharply soaring, but the end of the day closed green, as a comparison, the 300 flexible small ticket Haozhi electromechanical, Youde precision, etc., are all big rises, almost 20cm up limit. This is a feature of the current rotating plate, where 20cm stocks are more popular than 10cm stocks. Mainly because now the weight of quantitative funds is increasing, 10cm often plays the role of the Chinese military, which is convenient for quantitative funds with a large amount of funds to trade back and forth, so once the sector is not as expected, 10cm stocks will be smashed by quantitative funds.
Judging from the current situation, the robot sector should continue to adjust for a while.
In addition to the above disk signals, the sectors that moved yesterday also include the semiconductor and pharmaceutical sectors.
These two sectors have a common feature, that is, the decline is relatively large and the position is low. This is also a routine operation before the earnings season, and the funds will be high and low. Because the low-level sector, even if the performance is less than expected, but has been digested in the continuous downward trend, once the performance exceeds expectations, it is often a word up limit. On the contrary, it is a high-level sector, even if the performance exceeds expectations, it is likely to open high and go low.
Wednesday's outlook
Today and Wednesday, I feel that the broader market should still be contraction, and the market is still in rotation.
The rotating disk, then only low absorption will have income, see the rapid rise in the morning, or cautiously chase higher, pay attention to the AI sector that is still at a low level or has been adjusted in place. Of course, now in the quarterly report disclosure period, the performance line is a dark line, and you can pay more attention to some sectors whose performance exceeds expectations.
The above is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice!