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After Tsai Ing-wen, leader of Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party, came to power, the "Taiwan independence" elements on the island became more arrogant. In order to pursue its own interests, the Tsai administration also vainly wants to rely on the support of the US government to achieve "independence". But this is impractical.
As Tsai gradually killed herself, her poll support also dropped significantly.
Correspondingly, the people gradually lost trust in this party and were dissatisfied with it. This also gave the KMT and the People's Party an opportunity. In particular, the DPP's defeat in the "nine-in-one" election has been confirmed.
Now in the new round of Taiwan's leadership election, an unexpected thing has happened. That is, the support rate of the original Kuomintang locked in a strong candidate, that is, New Taipei Mayor Hou Youyi, is declining significantly.
At the beginning, Hou Youyi's poll support rate was very high, even surpassing the candidates of other political parties, which is an important reason why the Kuomintang is determined to concentrate on this candidate.
The reason for the declining popularity of Hou Youyi
Today, however, the situation has changed dramatically. Hou Youyi's lack of involvement in any party affairs became his shortcoming, and it also began to embarrass the Blue Camp, which supported his election.
Now its support rating is not only inferior to that of the Democratic Progressive Party's candidate Lai Qingde, but also even lower than that of the People's Party's candidate Ke Wenzhe.
Ke Wenzhe's support rate has been continuously improved recently, mainly due to the anxiety of the "blue-green war". It can be described as "sandpiper mussels compete, fishermen profit".
As support in polls gradually declines, more and more people believe that the KMT is likely to make the choice of "changing marquises".
But this is by no means an easy task, it needs to be considered a lot, and the consequences of this are probably unbearable for the Kuomintang. It can be said that now the Kuomintang is fighting a war behind the back.
The decline in support is bound to be linked to the actions of candidate Hou Youyi.
The first is empty words, and the answers given by Hou Youyi on relevant policies are ambiguous, or even non-reply. Such an unfriendly attitude has also gradually lost the trust of the people.
As Hou Youyi once said before, it is necessary to solve the problem of "black gold" and public security to enhance its influence. But in fact, he did not propose any relevant practical measures to rectify the situation. This is simply empty talk.
Second, a very striking feature is that Hou Youyi basically does not participate in party affairs activities, nor does he hold positions in them. Therefore, when he became the candidate of the Kuomintang, this contradiction became more and more prominent.
The most important of these is that the two go their separate ways, and Hou Youyi has not received any help from the "Party Central Committee". In other words, Hou Youyi's becoming this candidate is not the situation that the party system wants to see, but more indifferent.
At the same time, Kuomintang leader Zhu Lilun, after nominating Hou Youyi, believes that he has completed his duties and is more like an arbitrator. Therefore, Hou Youyi's help is even less.
"Changing marquises" may be a foregone conclusion
It is worth noting that after seeing the significant decline in Hou Youyi's support rate in the poll, the DPP is likely to do something to add fire to the matter, thereby dividing the "non-green alliance" and giving itself better space for development.
If Hou Youyi continues to remain indifferent and allows this undesirable trend to develop, the possibility of "changing Hou" will also increase. Although there were still many people who were optimistic about him before.
Considering that Lai Qingde, the candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, also has a very serious "Taiwan independence" tendency, many people do not want him to be elected. However, Hou Youyi also did not give a clear response to this issue, which also worried many people.
At the same time, if the "non-green alliance" joins forces to fight Lai Qingde, the winning rate will be greatly improved.
If Hou Youyi wants to save his support rate in the polls, he must correct his attitude and take practical measures to be convincing in front of the public. Failure to do so will have serious adverse effects.
Conversely, if the "non-green coalition" itself is not united, then there is also a possibility that the DPP will remain in power. And if the KMT really makes the decision to "change the marquis", it is likely to trigger political turmoil within the KMT.
In this process, factional and power struggles within the KMT will become intense, adversely affecting the unity and stability of the KMT itself.
Especially at the point of the general election, it is easy to cause confusion and dissatisfaction among voters, further lose the trust and support of voters, and turn to other political parties, which is seriously unfavorable to the election situation of the Kuomintang.
Judging from the experience of many "marquis" in the past, this is not a good political choice.
To be sure, the impact of political change is also complex and volatile. It remains to be seen what changes Hou Youyi will make next and how the situation in this election will develop.
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