It is noon on July 3, and the great cause of China's reunification has entered an irreversible historical process! Any force that tries to obstruct China's reunification will pay a heavy price! We believe that compatriots on both sides of the strait are longing for the day when China is reunified, and the world will be more peaceful and prosperous because of China's rise!
Let us pay attention to the latest changes in the situation in the Taiwan Strait today
The first news, the latest news of Taiwan's election situation: Hou Youyi wanted to hide the sky and cross the sea, and was denounced as "blue skin and green bones"
The recent election of the leader of the Taiwan region has attracted a lot of attention at home and abroad. Different parties are in battle and the competition is fierce. Among them, the election of Hou Youyi, the mayor of New Taipei launched by the Chinese Kuomintang, has attracted much attention.
His ranking unexpectedly fell to third place, a result that undoubtedly caused heated discussions in public opinion on the island. Mr. Hou, a local political leader with deep political influence in politics, surprised many supporters.
On the other hand, Lai Qingde, the DPP's candidate who had previously ranked second, returned to the first place in polls by other institutions. His rise has not only sparked anxiety among Blue Camp supporters, but also made Green Camp nervous. Lai Qingde's return has made the campaign even more confusing.
In this election, a unique political character, Ke Wenzhe, also became the focus. His upward momentum has been almost remarkable, especially among young voters. Ke Wenzhe has garnered a lot of support for his critical blue-green and unique policy style. However, due to its unique style of political speech, it has aroused the attention of observers about the phenomenon of boomerangs - the "rhetoric backlash" it may face.
It is worth mentioning that the contest between the DPP and the Kuomintang has cast a shadow over cross-strait relations. Although Hou Youyi is a candidate of the Chinese Kuomintang, he has clearly avoided the issue of the "consensus of '92", trying to stabilize the basic situation of the Blue Camp and win the votes of the middle voters and even the Green Camp. Chinese Kuomintang insiders expressed frustration with Hou Youyi, even denouncing him as a "blue-skinned and green-boned." This suggests that his political stance is heavily affecting his electoral performance, with polls now showing that his approval rating has fallen to 17.1%, significantly lower than that of Ke Wenzhe and Lai Qingde.
Looking at this election, Taiwan's political landscape may face a major adjustment. The values of democracy and pluralism will face a real test, and the policy proposition between blue and green will also be greatly challenged in the process of fighting the third force. An in-depth analysis of the island's political environment and media coverage of the election will undoubtedly have a direct impact on the future election situation.
The second news is that 12 PLA military planes and six warships appeared in the Taiwan Strait
With the PLA's continued warship and aircraft activities around the Taiwan Strait, the security situation in the region is becoming increasingly anxious. The "middle line of the strait" has become the focus of heated discussions, and the media has been full of discussions, and the behavior of the PLA Su-30 fighter flying over the test line has triggered a continuous in-depth discussion.
Recently, Taiwan's "Central News Agency" reported that the "middle line of the strait" was hotly discussed, and PLA military aircraft, as the protagonists of this discussion, crossed the "middle line of the strait" and approached the airspace adjacent to the so-called "24 nautical mile line." At the same time, Taiwan's defense department was again clamoring that after any PLA flight or naval aviation entity was invalidated, the Taiwan military would strike at it, which once again aroused the attention and vigilance of the outside world.
However, in the face of such threats, the PLA replied: Only the Chinese People's Liberation Army can defend Taiwan. The continuous training of PLA warships and aircraft around the Taiwan Strait has become a new fait accompli, and it has clarified the situation to the world in its own way. Regarding the situation of this incident, domestic military experts believe that this is the strategic thinking of the PLA, and through regular military exercises, the so-called "last line of defense" of the Taiwan military has retreated again and again. They seem to have written a new rules of maritime travel, which is both a recognition of the PLA's strength and a weak answer to the Taiwan military's "strict monitoring and punishment."
In addition, the PLA's military exercises have also made the public aware of this. The "Penghu Defense Command" recently held a live-fire exercise in the "Zhenjiang exercise," although it claimed that it was the "last line of defense" to protect against the PLA's attack on Taiwan through drills. However, street interviews show that many people have become accustomed to the PLA's regular military operations on the island. In the final analysis, the so-called "middle line of the strait" issue is nothing more than a concern about the balance of power. The PLA's regular actions around Taiwan have created a new fait accompli and initially achieved the effect of countermeasures and deterrence.
Pointing to the future, anyone concerned about security need not worry too much, wait and see, new facts have already pointed to new possibilities. Of course, we know every step of the way. Today, a brand-new picture of the situation has been clearly depicted over the Taiwan Strait, and the schematic map of the activities of the Air Force, together with the tracks of PLA military aircraft and warships, has long buried an overall pattern consciousness, leading us to a new historical node. Thus greeting the future of the cause of cross-strait reunification.
Third, retired lieutenant general of the Taiwan military analyzed that the PLA changed the way it landed on the island? Tsai Ing-wen rarely "softened"
Between Chinese mainland and Taiwan, there was a widespread view that if the PLA chooses to use force to resolve the Taiwan Strait issue in the future, its preferred way would be to land on the island by sea.
However, according to recent analysis by retired Taiwanese lieutenant general Shuai Huamin, the PLA may have adjusted this strategy and sent new strategic signals. According to some of the latest training and weapons demonstrations released by the PLA, especially the technological advancement of drones and missiles, it has shown a significant improvement in its strategic depth and cross-domain integrated combat capabilities. This could mean that the PLA is no longer looking at landing on the island as its main means of resolving the Taiwan issue, but is moving on to other possible solutions.
Against this background, a few days ago, Taiwan leader Tsai Ing-wen said at an event that the Taiwan region will never seek military confrontation with the mainland. Not long ago, however, it arrogantly advocated that the so-called "all the people are soldiers" and that the mainland was "rigid to the end."
Tsai Ing-wen is likely to be well aware that today's Chinese mainland is no longer the China of the past, and its comprehensive national strength, including military strength, has been significantly improved. The direction of cross-strait relations is not decided in an instant, but needs to be actively promoted through the efforts of all parties. The PLA's strategic adjustment and Tsai Ing-wen's softening of attitude may point to the need to find a solution that is more in line with the current situation and more peaceful and stable, both in terms of strategic considerations and political decision-making. This also requires that both sides of the strait be able to find the greatest consensus from it and make continuous efforts to realize peaceful coexistence between the two sides of the strait.
Finally, we would like to remind that the Taiwan issue is an internal issue of China, and the ultimate solution path must be to find a way to share the future with Taiwan compatriots on the premise of resolutely safeguarding the country's sovereignty over the Taiwan issue. It is hoped that the political forces of all parties on the island will actively work for peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait
The fourth news is that when the effect of the military and trade war is not obvious, the United States may abandon Taiwan and change its strategic layout with China.
With the drastic evolution of international geopolitics, the strategic balance between China and the United States has become increasingly tense, and the situation in the Taiwan Strait is even more like an abyss.
However, a recent research report by the RAND Corporation, a US think tank, has significantly revealed new variables, and this in-depth analysis shows that the PLA is implementing key strategic layouts and has made significant progress. This undoubtedly poses a serious challenge to the United States and its allies.
The report details the possibility of China trying to build a global network of bases over the next 20 years, a recursion of historical cases. Array confirmation, graph presentation, China's military strength and strategic deployment, iterative update, step by step. On the other hand
American think tanks have also deduced the simulation of a war in the Taiwan Strait, but the result is embarrassing - "if a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan will be defeated by Chinese mainland within 90 days", and the military strength of the United States and Japan has been seriously damaged. For a long time, although the Biden administration's attitude towards Taiwan was once tilted towards explicit military support, it seems to indicate that the United States will participate more actively in issues related to the Taiwan Strait. But with China's rapid military power and strategic determination, the outcome of the deduction is unsatisfactory, raising questions about whether the government's position will be shaken.
As far as the United States is concerned, both the military layout of the Taiwan Strait and the adjustment of China's economic and trade policy are facing countless hard reality tests. For example, while the major high-end manufacturing industries in the United States are struggling with China's economy, their operating costs continue to rise, making the effect of US trade policy show serious volatility.
Therefore, under the background of China's active completion of key military layouts, as well as the fluctuation of US policy towards Taiwan and the lack of obvious effects of the trade war, the Biden administration may already be quietly "abandoning Taiwan". Whether this is a real policy shift or a chess-playing tactic of spying on opponents, all signs seem to suggest that the Biden administration may have begun to develop a new strategy for the Taiwan Strait. As for the impact of this strategy, we will have to wait and see.