Summary:
The Shanghai Composite Index remained weak and volatile today, while the ChiNext Index fell into correction throughout the day due to the drag of new energy. Combined with the state of the broader market, the bear line of the average stock price last Friday should have been surging in a favorable atmosphere in the periphery today, but the renminbi continued to depreciate intraday (because there was no significant outflow from the north, so it was still dominated by institutional domestic capital smashing), coupled with the negative feedback effect of new energy, resulting in today's contraction shock. At this time, "confidence is more important than gold", and from tomorrow it will be combined with the main control plate to do the upward rollback of stocks that continue to rise in the mid-line.
(Image source: Win-win Software)
From the perspective of plate rotation:
(1) Artificial intelligence:
Artificial intelligence made a strong force in the morning, the AI application end became the biggest outlet, the media and entertainment branch took the lead in attacking, Tiandi Online advanced to the 3rd board with the "risk warning", Fantuo Digital Impact 20cm, and Youzu Network Anti-Nuclear. Driven by the AI application side, other branches have gradually made efforts, the rapid increase of Hongbo shares of NVIDIA concept, the surge of AI security Oriental Hengxin, the concept of ChatGPT, CPO optical module, large model, etc. have all been pulsed.
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Transmission Strategy:
Continue to adhere to the direction of AI application, AI media, AI games, AI film and television "dragon two waves", select the current strong stocks to do the limit relay, and AI medical, AI e-commerce, AI education, AI design and other branches wait and see, because the market shrinks, there is not much money to diverge. In addition, low-level themes such as the recent frequent good news of AI security can also be tapped. Finally, everyone is most concerned about the CPO optical module, flash memory and other concepts, the current funds "high cut low", the branch that rose too much in the early stage needs to be pulled back and washed, waiting for the opportunity to roll back the layout.
(2) Medium special estimate:
China CITIC Bank rose more than 4% intraday, but the performance of the securities industry and the insurance industry was flat, Chinese Life and Oriental Wealth fluctuated underwater throughout the day, and the performance of large infrastructure was not strong, especially PowerChina was dragged down by new energy and "news of lifting the ban", and once fell more than 7% during the session. The only remarkable performance is the "China Shipbuilding System", stimulated by the news of the "Sino-US ship conflict" and Russian military exercises, CSSC Hanguang once rose by more than 8%, and CSSC Technology and Chinese Shipbuilding followed suit.
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Transmission Strategy:
The market value of the special estimate is too large, in the "immeasurable market" is a high probability will not have too conspicuous performance, first cautious on the "big finance" "big infrastructure", the only short-term capital game is still the "China Shipbuilding System" we have been talking about earlier, follow-up observation after the opening of whether there is a chance of low absorption, intraday to do T-based. Finally, there are "Chinese character head + AI" dual-attribute stocks, the recognition of funds is relatively good, and the follow-up is expected to go out of the trend market.
(3) Large consumption:
The opening of large consumption is directly differentiated, short-term funds are piled up in the morning pulse of tourist attractions, Emeishan A anti-package, Changbaishan once rose to the limit, and the collective decline of food and beverages, the brewing industry fell sharply, and the wine industry was directly affected by the "annual sales guarantee target reduction".
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Transmission Strategy:
This year's overall economic recovery situation is less than expected, so large consumption has been adjusted for many days, even if you want to dig the bottom, there is no need to rush, especially the food and beverage branch of the institution's heavy position, large funds are not a joint force, then the subsequent even if it rises is a super fall rebound. At present, the risk of short-term game is in the attraction tourism, the game sector that has been talked about a few days ago, the recent cumulative increase is too large, and the opportunity to pull back.
(4) Other branches:
Transmission Strategy:
Coal nonferrous cyclical stocks, real estate: over-bearish rebound-based, typical chicken rib sector, follow-up is not big.
Medicine: Attach importance to the "concept of traditional Chinese medicine" rollback low absorption opportunities, this year is expected to get out of the general trend market, in addition, some pharmaceutical e-commerce or stimulated by AI medical treatment or uninterrupted "virus" news, is also a key branch of short-term emotional game.
Semiconductor: Today, with the help of the good news of the weekend, the point of follow-up is still in the AI-linked memory chip and computing power chip, which can be low-absorption and open a position when the rollback is successful.
New energy: "big scumbag" is the "culprit" of today's ChiNext plunge this year, especially after a day of rebound of new energy vehicles, it is a negative decline and digestion today, but the power industry and charging piles are quite beneficial, and can do speculative ideas of "main line differences".
- Nuggets Tiger Chart -
Today institutions bought Innovative Medical, GCL Energy Technology, Hongbo Shares and Tiandi Online, sold Yakang Shares and Shede Liquor.
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Aofei Entertainment (Tour Capital Exit + Tibetan Mastiff Relay + AI Game Dragon)
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Judging from the Dragon and Tiger list of Aofei Entertainment, institutional chips were exchanged at a high level, Xin Yi and Chen Xiaoqun made money to reduce their positions, and Tibetan Mastiff entered the relay. Aofei Entertainment is the popularity leader of this wave of AI games, which has a great impact on the entire sector, from the stock today's dragon and tiger list is bearish, tomorrow if there can not be a "four-line flowering", then you need to drop a part of the bag, wait for the rollback intelligent auxiliary line to observe.
Hongbo shares (institutional chip exchange + new one position + NVIDIA concept + server computing power leader + record high)
(Image source: Win-win Software)
Judging from the dragon and tiger list of Hongbo shares, institutional chips continue to be fully exchanged at a high level, and the institutions and floating funds in the market continue to be dominated by T, indicating that there are still certain expectations for the stock. The stock is NVIDIA's hashrate server provider, and tonight it will be interesting to see if NVIDIA can continue to rise. Finally, today's volume acceleration anti-package broke through the historical high beyond market expectations, but in the case of the overall computing power branches are weak, the subsequent stock is likely to be "difficult to support alone", those with positions can continue to sell high and absorb low, and other low-level artificial intelligence computing power stocks without holding positions are better.
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【Risk Warning】The views of this article are compiled and edited by Chen Dingzhu (Practice Certificate No.: A1120621060007), the above content is for reference and learning only, not as a basis for trading, investors should make their own decisions according to their own circumstances and bear their own investment risks. The market is risky, investment needs to be cautious!
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