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The Taiwan Strait issue is a difficult problem in relations between the People's Republic of China and Taiwan, and it also has important implications for the stability of the Western Pacific region.
Historically Chinese mainland advocated that the two sides of the strait should resolve this issue by themselves, and on the basis of adhering to the consensus of '92, they did not accept the intervention of third-party forces, but some third-party forces always intervened in it.
The United States has always maintained close ties with the "Taiwan authorities." This kind of contact is not only reflected in the fact that he has participated in Taiwan's arms purchases many times in recent years, but also actively invited Taiwan's leaders at all levels to visit the United States and said that they would provide them with a large amount of military assistance.
These actions sought to contain Chinese mainland in the Asia-Pacific region and became a strategic center for the United States.
Although Chinese mainland strongly opposes foreign interference in Taiwan's affairs, the United States will not stand idly by. Some "hawkish" politicians want to use the war in the Taiwan Strait as a strategy to contain China's rise.
1. The United States is unrealistic in its assumptions, and is sober that the Taiwanese people do not buy it
The United States believes that by controlling India and Vietnam, it can stimulate the development of its military industry to solve its own economic problems. However, Taiwan does not fully agree with this assumption of the United States.
It can be said that the United States has been immersed in its own world for too long, and he thinks that everyone must go according to his plan, but as everyone knows, Taiwan is not willing.
Although a small number of elements in Taiwan have been brainwashed by the United States, there are still many more people of insight who have a sober mind. They understand that the mainland and Taiwan are connected by blood, and they understand better that the United States is just using Taiwan.
Therefore, this part of the Taiwanese people does not buy it.
At the same time, for the majority of Taiwanese people, in the event of an armed conflict with the mainland, the most injured will definitely be themselves. Taiwan is too close to the mainland, but the United States is too far away from the mainland and is less influenced by the mainland.
Therefore, this act of the United States will arouse the worry and panic of the Taiwan people to a certain extent. Although Taiwan has become more relaxed since the "unrest" was lifted in 1991, most people genuinely say they hate war and are even more reluctant to join the army.
2. The United States wants to start a war and contain China's development
Some people think that such an action by the United States is too anxious and will outweigh the losses, but in fact, it is not difficult to understand all this.
After all, China has grown stronger, and the United States sees it as a threat to its position. Against this backdrop, it is not difficult to understand the intentions of the United States, which is concerned about China's military strength.
Therefore, in order to reverse his economic decline, he began to curb China's development in the Asia-Pacific region to fight back.
One of the most effective ways is to see the PLA go to war with the Taiwan Strait authorities as soon as possible, and hope that Japan and Vietnam will follow suit into chaos.
At the same time, the United States is gradually losing out to China in terms of inflation and economic growth. Therefore, the United States hopes to divert domestic economic contradictions by starting a war and other means to prevent China's economic take-off.
Against this backdrop, the United States can weaken the other side by co-opting them into the war to expend a lot of resources, energy, and national strength.
When the other party is caught in the war and takes care of himself, he can accumulate a lot of wealth, improve his economic strength, and consolidate his position as a big boss.
The United States wants to see the situation in the Taiwan Strait deteriorate rapidly and involve Japan and Vietnam in order to dismantle the power of the three countries and thus consolidate its Asia-Pacific status.
Of course, this will lead to huge costs, not only for the collapse of the forces of the three countries participating in the war, but also a threat to the lives of the people of the three countries, and it is also a blasphemy to world peace and development.
As China's national power grows, it becomes more difficult for the United States to contain China in the Asia-Pacific region.
As a result, the United States is planning to deplete the national power of countries such as China, Japan and Vietnam by intensifying the situation between the People's Liberation Army and Taiwan in order to reverse the decline and contain China's rise.
In the U.S. vision, Japan and Taiwan would be America's pawns in this war. For China, it is necessary to defend shipping routes and territorial integrity in the East and South China Seas with the last ammunition.
It is worth mentioning that neighboring countries such as Vietnam and India have territorial disputes and are important agents of the United States on land borders. They will help the United States distract China and hinder its further development.
3. The US vision is in vain, and the situation in the Taiwan Strait is stable
The U.S. idea of Vietnam's intervention in the Taiwan Strait burst like a bubble.
Because the contradictions between Vietnam and China are mainly concentrated in the South China Sea, the ownership of the territorial waters, the attention is not high, and Taiwan independence is not supported. Vietnam also pursues balanced diplomacy and opposes interference in China's internal affairs by any force.
The United States is also unable to guarantee a rapid deployment of forces in wartime, because the most important naval and air forces in the western Pacific are in Japan and the Philippines, which are not enough to confront the PLA.
In order for the United States to intervene in the situation in the Taiwan Strait, it needs to deploy more troops, but it will take a long time. In addition, the United States lacks sufficient confidence to defeat the other side in the Taiwan Strait in the face of the challenge of the PLA, which relies on shore-based forces for defense.
As China's military gradually increases, U.S. aircraft carrier tactics are difficult to effectively contain China, and their ability to influence the situation in the Taiwan Strait is also limited.
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