Since the beginning of this year, the Sino-US game has obviously moved towards a new stage. Although China still accompanies the United States in "meditating" in the Pacific, it is obviously more accurate and ruthless in dealing with the United States and its younger brother, which may mean that China has made a key judgment.
That is, the time to implement an active defense strategy and take the initiative to promote the reversal of the Sino-US power pattern in the Asia-Pacific region is likely to come. The core essence of active defense is twofold, one is to take the initiative, seize opportunities, and actively create a strategic situation favorable to oneself; The two are to plan and then move, and then to strike, and to make a move to serve the goal of "defense".
These two points have been more clearly highlighted from a series of recent operations in China. In the field of diplomacy, China has fought a beautiful battle against Canada. In the case of Canada's vexatious expulsion of a Chinese diplomat, China quickly took reciprocal countermeasures by ordering a Canadian diplomat in China to leave the country within a time limit.
Expelled Canadian diplomat
The reason for China's tough attitude is also very simple, because the "diplomat expulsion case" concocted by Canada is basically a typical case of collecting negative factors in contemporary European and American politics, and it is a hodgepodge of three elements of "infighting, anti-China, and hype".
Canada's Conservative Party is not willing to lose to Trudeau's Liberal Party in the 2021 election, so it has been clamoring that the election was "manipulated" by China, which is understandable, they can't pull their faces to admit defeat, this pot can't be dumped at home, then it can only be dumped abroad, and we China is the best "dumping pot" object.
Recently, a Conservative MP jumped out and said that he wanted to testify that China was rigging the election, because a Chinese diplomat had offended him when he had jumped out to manipulate the "human rights" issue related to Xinjiang, and later his own political path repeatedly hit a wall, and there must have been Chinese "trick-or-treating" in it.
Prime Minister of Canada
Trudeau knew that this person was making a fuss, but in order to "settle things" and prevent the Conservative Party from playing on the topic, he finally chose to expel Chinese diplomats. If you don't handle your own family affairs well, you will randomly catch a Chinese out to back the pot, and the Canadian government not only lacks professionalism, but also is full of racist colors.
China's fight back is a moral high ground. And most countries in the world, including China, will not be interested in the Canadian election, let alone interfere, Canada is somewhat self-inflicted this time.
Militarily, China has also responded resolutely to the United States' ongoing attempts to expand NATO into Asia, especially the Korean Peninsula and Japan. In addition to the frequent "deep blue" of the aircraft carrier fleet, recently, another "big killer" of the Chinese Navy, strategic nuclear submarines, seems to have made a lot of movement in the South China Sea.
Chinese aircraft carriers
According to the latest military strength report released by the Pentagon, China's 094 nuclear submarines in service have not only begun to be equipped with Julang-3 missiles, but also initially achieved the goal of all-weather and uninterrupted patrol missions in the waters of the South China Sea.
Recently, the Indian media also jumped out to break the news that after Biden announced that he would send a ballistic missile nuclear submarine to the port of Busan for a "visit", China's 094, which has been silently cultivating in the deep sea for a long time, rarely floated off the Philippine Sea, which "opened the eyes" to the US and Philippine navies.
Of course, whether it is the Pentagon or India, in the matter of China's submarines, they can only speculate, and they cannot touch China's bottom, and when they see these news on the mainland network, they are basically reported by the Taiwan media, and the authenticity is quite unreliable. But looking at the fuss, two things are basically certain.
Type 094 nuclear submarine
The first is that China's nuclear submarines have the ability to evade all ill-intentioned eyes and break through the first island chain. The United States and Japan used to frantically spread sonar around China in order to detect the deployment of Chinese nuclear submarines, and now this hand is gradually failing.
This is quite normal, the performance of a country's weapons and equipment is positively correlated with the level of science and technology and industry in that country. In the past, our nuclear submarines had the problem of poor concealment, and some foreign troops even ridiculed our nuclear submarines as "underwater tractors." This shame cannot be endured by our military workers and the People's Navy all the time.
After decades of tackling difficult problems, our army's submarine technology has finally undergone a relatively large upgrade, because the level of secrecy is too high, we cannot know a lot of information, but judging from the reaction of Western troops and military observers, our army's current submarine technology ranks among the first echelon in the world, and the problem is not big, otherwise they would not have hyped up the news of where our submarines appeared.
Chinese nuclear submarines
Second, China's nuclear submarines already have the ability to effectively hit the US mainland, with the range of the Julang 2 being about 8,000 kilometers and the maximum range of the Julang 3 being 12,000 kilometers. That is to say, China's "big black fish", even if squatting at home, the missile range can effectively cover military targets throughout the territory of the United States.
Although China's number of nuclear warheads is far inferior to that of the United States, in the field of triad "nuclear deterrence", it is undoubtedly an opponent who has been able to sit at the card table with the United States and have an equal dialogue. China has made an all-out diplomatic and military move, turning to active defense and fighting Canada, a "backbone boy" who has nothing to do.
The use of the "big black fish" to show off its muscles is likely because China sees the key fighter to reverse the "offensive and defensive trend" between China and the United States. Although the current United States has a full posture, on the whole, in Asia, it is actually engaged in a set of strategies to let cannon fodder go to the front and quickly withdraw by itself.
Great Waves 2
The United States has recently promoted Japan's rearmament and made South Korea "cold warized", and in essence, it is arming the "little brother". To put it bluntly, the United States itself does not want to fight, to let other countries and regions charge ahead, to maintain the Indo-Pacific layout of the United States, that is, to create several areas similar to the Wudong region in the first island chain.
Of course, there are also countries like Japan and South Korea that are rushing to be cannon fodder, of course, they will not really be to maintain the Indo-Pacific layout of the United States, Japan in the final analysis wants to "turn over" and use the expansion of force to achieve their so-called "national normalization".
And South Korea has recently behaved quite "down", Yoon Seok-yue has completely lost face, "kneeling and licking" the United States and Japan, he did this, it is nothing more than to quickly solve the domestic economic problems, from the United States and Japan to ask for more scraps from the cold sea.
South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue
Second, the United States has hyped China's military power more and more frequently in recent years, seemingly exaggerating the theory of the China threat, but in fact preparing public opinion for its possible "war avoidance" posture. Isolationism has always been an important part of the American people's thinking, and the stronger China's ability to "strike at the United States", the less likely it is that the United States will personally interfere in Asia-Pacific affairs.
For China, this withdrawal of the United States is both a challenge and an opportunity. The challenge is because this approach of the United States has indeed put "nails" around China. There is no shortage of ambitious countries around China, especially Japan.
As mentioned earlier, this country has been eager to overturn the world pattern established after World War II and turn itself from a defeated country to a "normal country". Therefore, in the short term, the relationship between China and neighboring countries will inevitably experience a new round of shock and running-in period.
Prime Minister Japan
Opportunities are said because these "nails" used by the United States to contain China, whether it is Japan, South Korea or the Philippines, and there is a difficult gap between China and China from the perspective of economic strength or military strength. Compared with the United States, in the economic field, China's relationship with these countries may be closer.
Therefore, as long as the "retreat" posture of the United States is maintained, and these countries can see that the United States "can't do it", after holding each other for a period of time, the final choice of these countries will most likely not be to fall to the United States in an all-round way like Eastern European countries, but to completely liberate their free will, stand on the standpoint of the interests of their own people, and deepen exchanges and cooperation with China.
In human terms, these countries may end up defecting. The withdrawal of the United States is an excellent opportunity for China to show its strength and "draw the way" again in the Asia-Pacific region, especially the first island chain.
Biden
China's development is too fast, so although it has become the undoubted number one in Asia economically and militarily, due to historical reasons, its voice in Asia-Pacific affairs has never reached a step that matches its strength.
To change this situation, it is certainly not enough to blindly seek perfection. Only by showing strength can we break the illusion of Japan and South Korea, which once comprehensively suppressed China's discourse power in modern times, "seek hegemony and hegemony" in Asia, and return to their original historical position.
China's strengthening of the construction and demonstration of "nuclear deterrence" forces is also to ensure that this "retreat" trend of the United States will not change. Because the longer the United States maintains this wait-and-see posture, the longer the opportunity period for China to seize the strategic initiative in the Asia-Pacific region. The United States itself feels that pushing "cannon fodder" is consuming China, but as everyone knows, this practice of dumping the pot has become a new starting point for China to reshape the Asia-Pacific pattern.