Wen 丨 Qing Xin Junyue
At present, the most watched TV series is "The Long Season", which is called "this year's domestic suspense ceiling" by netizens.
For a suspense drama, the most tempting thing is not the final ending - the truth is revealed, but in the process, as the plot extends suddenly, we speculate and analyze according to the clues obtained.
If a suspense drama does not leave the audience this room for speculation and analysis, then no matter how well this drama is filmed, it is worthless.
And "The Long Season" has been very successful in this regard.
To get back to business, before dissecting the "three major mysteries" in the play, let's briefly tell the plot synopsis of this show.
The "long" of the TV series "The Long Season" is reflected in the timeline it spans, not 18 years (1998 to 2016) as it seems, but more precisely 19 years (from 1997 to 2016, the year before the murder).
Instead of unfolding according to the traditional timeline, the plot swings "in a pendulum" manner, oscillating between the current timeline 2016 and the past.
In 2016, Gong Biao, who drove a taxi with his brother-in-law Wang Xiang, secretly bought a "car logo" for 150,000 yuan from his wife Huang Liru, and Wang Xiang found that the taxi was a "bubble car", and at this time, Gong Biao could not contact his "little brother who drank and stopped" - the buyer.
Subsequently, the taxi purchased by Gong Biao was decked, and another taxi that was decked had just hit and run.
In order to help Gong Biao get out of trouble, when the two were looking for the "hit person", they found that the "hit person" fled, and the information registered in the hospital was false. And when I went to look for a "deck taxi", I didn't catch anyone.
Just when all clues were lost, Gong Biao's lover Hu Xuelu accidentally took a photo of the back of the "hitter" who may be the "hit", and Wang Xiang realized that "that person is back" - this person is the murderer of Wang Xiang's heart who killed his son Wang Yang in 1998 and the unsolved corpse case that was to be solved that year.
In this way, the suspenseful plot of the TV series unfolded...
First, silence is not dead
With most suspense dramas focusing on "Is the murderer him, is she, or it?" "Different, the first focus of this drama is actually "who is the victim" - that is, whether the apparent victim is silent or dead?
Silent dead or not? In fact, seeing the seventh episode, it is basically certain that silence is not dead.
There are three reasons for this:
First, the clues that can determine the identity of silence in the shredded corpse case are actually all evidence that silence is not dead.
Although we do not currently have enough basis to bite and kill the murderer of the corpse case, one thing we can be sure of is that the main purpose of the murderer to shred the body and throw the corpse is to cover up the identity of the victim.
But in this way, the logic is contradictory.
As of episode seven, what are the bases that make us suspect that silence is dead?
The forensic doctor dictated that the body was likely to be a young woman, a fragmented limb with "four knuckle lines" and a school bag identified by counselors as a relic of silence. The uncle who contacted Shen Mo has already "killed intent" against Shen Mo (realizing that Shen Mo has lost control and threatened Shen Hui), at a glance, under these clues, we have enough reason to suspect that Shen Mo was killed.
But the question is, apart from the fact that the body is a young woman, can't other clues be destroyed? Whether it is dealing with broken limbs with silent characteristics alone, or burning school bags alone, it is much stronger than this treatment.
If the murderer does not care about being exposed, then there is no need to kill silence with such cruel means to cover up the characteristics of the victim; Since the murderer wants to cover up the characteristics of the victim, even if "the wise man thinks far-sightedly, there must be some neglect", and the neglect to deal with must not be these things that can directly indicate the identity of the victim.
So, it is likely that silence is not dead.
Second, the person most likely to be the murderer could not reach the place where the body was dumped.
As of episode seven, who is most likely to kill Silence?
Wang Yang, who loves silence deeply, can be excluded; Silent's own brother Fu Weijun can also be ruled out; Fu Weijun's companion "Stuttering Sui" did not have the guts, and there was no possibility.
Then the most likely person to kill Silent is the two people who sexually assaulted Silent: Uncle Silent, and the "Hong Kong businessman" (see plot trailer).
Let's first conclude that Silence is dead, and the murderer is one of the two.
But in this way, a fatal problem arises: neither of them has the ability to throw corpses inside the birch steel.
Of course, if it has to be forced, the "Hong Kong businessman" still has the possibility of throwing the corpse in Huagang Steel, provided that he informed Director Song of Huagang about the killing of Shen Mo, and entrusted Director Song to throw the corpse.
But the unrealistic thing about this inference is that the fewer people who know about such things, the safer, and the "Hong Kong businessman" does not dare to tell Director Song, even if the "Hong Kong businessman" said, Director Song also promised to help, and Director Song can only "lead the water east" to throw the corpse elsewhere, and it is absolutely impossible to throw the corpse in his own factory.
Therefore, this inference does not make sense, then it can only show that the dead person is not silent.
Third, it is impossible for a person who has been identified as a murderer to shred the body in silence.
The case of shredding the corpse has been closed, and the so-called "murderer" Fu Weijun has been imprisoned.
The Public Security Bureau concluded that the victim was silent (according to the plot, it is temporarily impossible to determine whether there were other victims), and the murderer was Fu Weijun.
Fu Weijun was sentenced to prison, proving that he confessed to the crime he committed.
But the problem appeared precisely at the point that Fu Weijun "confessed".
As stated in the first point, Fu Weijun can kill anyone, but there is no reason and will never kill his own sister Shen Mo, it can be said that Shen Mo is Fu Weijun's only relative, and it is also the person he wants to protect at all costs.
So, since Fu Weijun did not kill Shen Mo, why did he confess his guilt and admit that he killed Shen Mo?
This question is not difficult to answer, there is only one possibility: silence is not dead.
From this, conclusions closer to the "facts" can be drawn:
Silence is not dead, and Silence is likely to be a participant in the shredding case, or even the main actor, and those items and evidence that can show that the victim is Silent are most likely deliberately left by Silence, intended to mislead and divert attention at the time.
In particular, the finger that can best prove the identity of silence is likely to be cut off by silent himself. The purpose is not just to mislead.
Remember one night by the river, silent conversation with Wang Yang? Silent said, her life written on her hands. And Wang Yang said at that time, your life is in your hands.
Therefore, silently cutting off her fingers may also be to show that her life will be in her own hands in the future, and she will no longer be bullied.
Second, who killed Wang Yang
The reason why the mutilation case of 18 years ago can continue 18 years later. In the final analysis, there is only one reason: Wang Xiang has been questioning the cause of Wang Yang's death.
The events of that year have been concluded: Wang Yang committed suicide.
But there was another conclusion in Wang Xiang's heart: Wang Yang did not commit suicide, and the murderer was Fu Weijun. At the same time, Wang Xiang also insisted that the back photo of "suspected car accident victim" accidentally taken by Hu Xuelu was "Fu Weijun".
For Wang Xiang's doubts and speculations, Ma Desheng was extremely unconvinced and dismissive, believing that Wang Xiang was talking nonsense, and people were already "devilish". Because, at the time when Wang Xiang said that Fu Weijun killed Wang Yang, Fu Weijun had already been captured. At the same time, after listening to the news, Ma Desheng has also confirmed that Fu Weijun died in prison, so the "back photo" cannot be Fu Weijun.
So who killed Wang Yang has become a big mystery of this play.
To understand this mystery, we must first determine whether Wang Yang's death was suicide or homicide?
Judging from the current seven-episode plot, the possibility of Wang Yang committing suicide is extremely low.
The basis is not Wang Xiang's sentence "he is not suicide, my son I understand", but what kind of conditions need to be considered, Wang Yang may choose suicide.
Through Wang Yang's soullessness and panic during the shredding case that year, and the bloodstained protective clothing hidden under the bed, it is basically certain that Wang Yang is a participant in the shredding case, and it is likely that he is still a corpse thrower. After all, Wang Yang was able to reach the place where the corpse was thrown smoothly (inside the birch steel).
So if this reasoning is followed, under what circumstances, Wang Yang will commit suicide?
There is a clue in the plot trailer of episode 8, Wang Yang said to his father Wang Xiang:
"Dad, you give me two more days, I still have some business, I have to do it."
Wang Yang should have died in these two days, and what Wang Yang wants to use these two days to do is nothing more than two possibilities: kill people who have not been killed, or deal with the "aftermath" that has not been dealt with.
As for which possibility it is, it is impossible to determine for the time being, but according to Wang Yang's attitude, it can be judged that Wang Yang has a certain possibility of turning himself in.
Then if Wang Yang committed suicide, the biggest possibility is nothing more than Wang Yang's persuasion of Shen Mo to turn himself in is ineffective, and he is unwilling to expose Shen Mo, so he chose to commit suicide.
This possibility exists, but if it is so inferred, it is not as likely as another possibility: because Wang Yang died in the river, most likely on the bridge, Wang Yang stopped Shen Mo and asked her to turn herself in with him, but Shen Mo did not agree, and silently pushed Wang Yang off the bridge in the push.
That is to say, under the same inference, the possibility of Wang Yang's suicide is far less likely than the possibility of homicide, and the "murderer" is silent, and the so-called "homicide" is actually silent "manslaughter".
Because he was once by the river, after Wang Yang jumped into the river to "woo" Shen Mo, he said to Shen Mo: "I can't die, now is the dry period, I can't drown people." ”
Therefore, in a high probability, in order to escape Wang Yang's obstruction, in a hurry, Shen Mo pushed Wang Yang off the bridge (if "Stuttering Sui" did not die, it may also be that Shen Mo let "Stuttering Sui" do it), the purpose was not to kill Wang Yang, Shen Mo knew that Wang Yang could swim and escape.
And the reason why Wang Yang drowned in the river, Xu was not a dry period at that time, perhaps Wang Yang was silently pushed off the bridge, and the grief in his heart and the self-blame of crime drove him to give up his will to survive.
As for if Wang Yang is a "homicide", the possibility that the murderer is not silent but someone else is too small.
After Fu Weijun was captured, there were no other voices, indicating that the justice that Fu Weijun and his gang wanted to recover for silence had been "recovered", otherwise Fu Weijun was imprisoned, even if he could no longer avenge Shen Mo, he could tell some people about it and make them stagger to prison, including the silent uncle, the "Hong Kong businessman" who sexually assaulted silent, and the little lover of the "Hong Kong businessman" who coaxed silent classmates.
Of course, this does not mean that there is no one else who may have killed Wang Yang except for silence. There is also a person suspected of killing Wang Yang, this person is Uncle Shen Mo's son - Shen Hui.
Third, the driver of the deck and the disappearing car accident victim
In the TV series "The Long Season", the third mystery, I think, is not the truth of the shredding case that year, but who is the driver of the deck and the victim of the disappearing car accident in the current timeline (2016)?
Without episode 7, it's hard to tell who the driver of this deck is. But in episode 7, when Wang Xiang and the three grabbed the driver who caused the accident and forced to ask who the victims of the car accident were, a sentence said by the driver exposed his identity:
"I'll tell you, my arm has fought with people before, there are injuries, you light."
This is what Gong Biao inadvertently said when he subdued the driver in the taxi. That is, this sentence proves that this driver is most likely the Shen Hui who Fu Weijun and Stuttering Sui went to fight in order to avenge Shen Mo - the son of Uncle Shen Mo.
The basis is that after Fu Weijun and Stuttering Sui found Shen Hui, they broke one of Shen Hui's arms.
So if the driver of the accident is Shen Hui, then it is not difficult to judge the person who hit, the probability is the "stammering Sui" next to Fu Weijun, if you extrapolate so, the silent uncle should have died in the hands of the silent group that year.
And when we judge that the disappearing car accident victim is a "dumb Sui", some details can be clarified.
The reason why "Stuttering Sui" escaped in the hospital was because he did not want to expose his identity information. And the reason why he did not speak when buying medicine from Hu Xuelu, but indicated his needs through the mobile phone screen, was not because he could not speak, but because he was afraid of exposing his "stuttering" characteristics. And the reason why Hu Xuelu will be attacked is not difficult to explain.
At this point, the three main mysteries in "The Long Season" have basically explained, and it is easy to sketch a series of things that happened that year.
18 years ago, the "Hong Kong businessman" asked out Silence through a little lover (Silent's classmate) and took a photo. The person who released the photo to the school afterwards is most likely the little lover of the "Hong Kong businessman", whose purpose is to take revenge due to jealousy. The first person to die that year should be the little lover of this "Hong Kong businessman".
Wang Yang's panic is most likely to see Shen Mo and Fu Weijun kill the little lover of this "Hong Kong businessman", and the person who crushed the corpse is Shen Mo (Shen Mo is a medical student), out of love for Shen Mo, the person who threw the corpse is Wang Yang.
From the time the "photo" was released to the school, it can also be said that since silent killed the first person, she has made up her mind to take revenge on everyone who has hurt her, and it is likely that the "Hong Kong businessman", silent uncle and eldest lady have all been killed since then.
In the process, Wang Yang may have been persuading Shen Mo to turn himself in together after revenge for this series of revenge. But the four have never reached a consensus on this. Finally, Fu Weijun went to confess, and on the bridge, when Wang Yang wanted to take Shen Mo and "Stuttering Sui" to turn himself in, Shen Mo or at the behest of Shen Mo, "Stuttering Sui" pushed Wang Yang off the bridge. Wang Yang died because of this.
18 years later, Shen Hui, who has always wanted to avenge his parents, finally found the whereabouts of "Stuttering Sui", intending to kill "Stuttering Sui" with a deck, but "Stuttering Sui" escaped.
And the back photo taken by Hu Xuelu when "Stuttering Sui" bought medicine made Wang Xiang see the hope of finding out the death of his son Wang Yang that year, so as to solve the case of shredded corpses that have been sealed in dust for 18 years again...
Qing Xin Junyue is an emotional observer, book critic and film critic. Warm you with words, me.