With the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, people began to worry about the arrival of the three wars, and even Kissinger, who was over 100 years old, issued an early warning:
"We must make good preparations for war and be small in our hearts about the third world war."
Kissinger also predicted that if World War III breaks out like this, Japan is very likely to be the first to attack the three countries.
What are the three countries in Kissinger's mouth?
1. The Japanese military is dead but not stiff
Many people feel that after World War II, Japan has not been able to threaten our country enough, but after all, this country is a defeated country, and not only has the entire army been disbanded, but even the military organs have been abolished.
However, many people do not know that after the outbreak of the Korean War in 1950, the United States intended to support Japan's military strength.
After more than 70 years of development, Japan has regained its possession of a well-equipped and powerful armour.
Japan calls it the "Self-Defense Force," with a total of more than 240,000 people, mainly divided into three parts: the Maritime Self-Defense Force, the Air Self-Defense Force, and the Ground Self-Defense Force, with a large staffing ratio of about 1: 1 : 3 。
First of all, the Japanese Maritime Self-Defense Force.
Although the number of people is small, the number of ships and tonnage are quite shocking; the number of capital warships alone exceeds 160 and the tonnage exceeds 500,000 tons, ranking fourth in the world.
Not to mention that Japan still has a large number of advanced destroyers and submarines, which are called "the first in the world" in anti-submarine operations.
If we want to say that the Japanese navy is deficient, it is that there is no aircraft carrier.
However, Japan already had the ability to build aircraft carriers during World War II, so there were quite a few "small aircraft carriers" in China with the name of destroyers, and their strength was not bad.
The second is the Japanese Air Self-Defense Force, which is not many in number, but it is still that sentence and is well equipped.
At present, Japan has more than 800 fighters capable of fighting, of which nearly 300 are third-generation aircraft.
Although the installation time is relatively early, and some aging conditions have appeared today, the overall strength is still at the top of the world.
Moreover, with the support of the United States, Japan is also in the forefront in the self-developed development of fighters.
For example, based on the F 1 6 fighter, the F 2 fighter was developed, and the self-developed C 1 and C 2 transport aircraft.
Relying on this air force strength, the Japanese Air Force occupies a place in the world and should not be underestimated.
Finally, let's talk about the Japanese Land Self-Defense Force.
This unit not only has a large number of people, but it is also fully equipped, equipped with thousands of armored vehicles and main battle tanks, and is also equipped with various advanced large-mouth guns.
Although the unit price of Japanese Tanker is extremely high, compared with the unit price of the 10 type 10 as high as tens of millions of US dollars, it has also fed an entire Tanker industrial production chain and promoted the development of its own research and development technology.
If we want to say that Japan's military strength is the only deficiency, it is the lack of sufficiently powerful attackers, such as missiles, aircraft carriers, and nuclear weapons.
Based on the above three self-defense forces, Japan has already possessed the ability to "fish in troubled waters."
Once the third world war breaks out, Japan is very likely to jump out of the way and start the attack.
As for the countries that Japan is attacking, there are nothing more than three: the United States, Australia, and China.
2. Hitting the United States: Strengthening, Talking, and Pulling Out Nails
The attack on the United States here is not to attack the US territory, but to attack the US military stationed in Japan and the surrounding US military bases.
As the saying goes: "How can you snore and sleep in a couch?" ”
Japan's original agreement with the US military stationing in the United States is a necessity.
After all, without the backing of the United States, the whole of Japan is very likely to be divided, let alone the preservation of the emperor system.
However, this by no means means that Japan will forever be shackled by the United States.
Once a large-scale war breaks out in the event of a three-war war and the US position is threatened, Japan will generally "bite back."
During a large-scale survey conducted by a certain Japanese website a few years ago, more than 80 percent of Japanese netizens hoped that the US troops would withdraw, and 4 percent of netizens directly suggested that Japan use military means to expel US troops stationed in Japan.
So the question arises, can the Japanese Self-Defense Forces defeat the US military stationed in Japan?
The answer is firm because the total number of US troops stationed in Japan is just over 50,000.
Although it is said that the United States has many bases in Japan, such as the Iwakuni base and the Kadena base, these bases are not always in a state of war readiness.
Under normal circumstances, nearly half of the ships in these bases will be in a state of docking and resting.
Japan only needs to mention the former deployment, and without leaking information, it can use blitzkrieg to smoothly occupy these base areas.
After the Japanese army occupied the US military base on Sunday, the first good thing was "reinforcement."
We mentioned earlier that Japan lacks offensive equipment, and whether it is a missile or an aircraft carrier, the US military base is not lacking.
If Japan does not take action against US troops stationed in Japan today, it is not because it cannot do so in terms of strength, but because the current situation does not allow it.
After all, under the current circumstances, as soon as Japan strikes, it will certainly be bombarded by the United States.
However, if World War III breaks out, the situation will be very different, and instead of being afraid of the United States, Japan will fully display its own strength and use this as a bargaining chip in negotiations with the United States.
This kind of practice has become common for Japan, which was what the Japanese army thought when it attacked Zhenzhu Port.
After all, Japan did not show satisfaction with the United States during the Nomen War in 1939, and even years of war have hollowed out Japan's own wealth, and it is very difficult for the United States to squeeze anything out of it.
Therefore, from the middle of 1941, the United States froze its trade with Japan, the most important of which was stone.
In order to force the United States to lift the embargo on transportation, Japan directly sneaked up on Zhenzhu Port and dragged the United States into the water.
Although the final result is not satisfactory to the Japanese people, this is not enough to regard this as a historical lesson for Japan, which is accustomed to "betting on national fortune."
Japan also engaged in this operation during the Sino-Japanese War in 1894 and the Russo-Japanese War in 1904.
Although it was ultimately unable to get a good deal from Russia, did Japan not still impose a heavy plan on the United States during World War II?
In addition, the essence of the United States is to "bully the soft and fear the hard, and make war money."
If Japan can really display sufficient strength, there may be room for negotiation between the United States and Japan, and this will increase the probability of Japan's move.
In fact, when viewed from another angle, it is not difficult to understand that Japan will make a move against the United States, after all, there are no eternal friends between countries, only eternal interests.
When World War III broke out, Japan sided with the United States, and in the end, if the United States wins, Japan will rarely gain anything good; If the United States loses, there is no need to say much about Japan's conclusion.
However, if Japan stands on the opposite side of the United States, there will be too many good points.
Not only can it pull out the nails planted by the United States and avoid fighting in its own territory, but it can even get a cup of pie from the United States.
Even if it loses in the end, Japan will not lose anything, and at worst, it will return to 70 years ago, not to mention that Japan can still "change its ways" and return to the United States.
If the US military stationed in Japan is in such danger, it is no wonder that Kissinger warned him.
3. Fighting Macao: Holding Enemies, Claiming Hegemony, and Fulfilling Old Dreams
In addition to the United States, after the outbreak of World War III, Australia may also become Japan's target.
The enmity between Japan and Australia can be traced back to the Palestine Peace Conference after World War I, when Japan, as the victorious country, proposed racial equality on behalf of Asia.
As a result, before the "three giants" could speak, this British follower of Australia jumped out and shouted opposition, which could make Japan hate its teeth itch --
Which turn of this kind of cooperation will open your mouth as a little British brother? Where does a group of prisoners come from the sense of racial superiority?
Perhaps it is precisely because of this origin that Japan will be particularly cruel to Australia in World War II.
During World War II, Japan captured more than 100,000 British troops stationed in Southeast Asia, including 1. 50,000 Australians.
According to the international convention, these captives would be protected.
But who would have thought that Japan would openly violate the convention and would do so. All 50,000 people were killed.
After that, the Japanese army went south and successively attacked Port Darwin and the island of New Guinea, and took the capture of the whole of Australia as a strategic target.
Seeing this scene, the Australians were completely annoyed and engaged in a fierce battle with the Japanese army in their own territory, and it took more than two years to win a victory with the support of the US military.
In August 1945, Japan announced its unconditional surrender.
According to the usual practice, various countries are preparing to send Japanese troops back to Japan, but the situation has changed here in Australia -- they do not accept the return!
"Australia solemnly demands the execution of the Japanese Emperor and the execution of 100 Class-A war criminals on our list! ”
Due to the cover-up of the United States, this demand was not satisfied in the end.
In anger, the Australians directly executed more than 140 Japanese war criminals in China, basically Grade B and Class C.
When Japan learned this, it was also very annoyed, because of the more than 200,000 troops it had dispatched, nearly 190,000 had died in Australia.
The only remaining Australia has not yet been returned, and the two sides naturally cannot do better.
In addition to this feud, Japan has long been full of ambitions for Australia.
After all, Macao has a vast land and rich resources, and its population is still small, which very satisfies the needs of Japanese migrants.
In 1942, the Japanese Navy repeatedly proposed sending troops to attack and occupy Australia, but in the end this plan was not implemented.
First, the army is "dragging its feet," and second, the pressure on the long trek is great.
After all, according to the calculations of the Japanese military at the time, if it wants to capture Australia, at least 1 or 2 divisions will be dispatched, and the number of ships alone will exceed 15 million tons. The Japanese ship is only 21 million tons.
The difficulty of leading so many people on an expedition across thousands of miles can be imagined.
However, there are precedents in history, and it is not surprising that there will be another one, let alone that both sides have accumulated such a deep hatred.
If Japan can really take advantage of the stalemate in the war and occupy Macao, its hegemonic ambitions or real possibility of realization,
However, this matter itself is inherently difficult, and it is even more likely that Japan will perish itself.
IV. Attacking China: The thief's heart is not dead, and the old matter is repeated
As mentioned earlier, if World War III breaks out, Japan may very well stand on the opposite side of the United States, but there is also a possibility that Japan will stand on the side of the United States.
At this time, Japan's top target is China.
Japan is the main perpetrator of the invasion of China and the United States is the accomplice behind the scenes.
According to incomplete statistics, more than 54 percent of the materials used during the Japanese invasion of China in 1937 came from the United States.
It is no wonder that Tao Xingzhi, a well-known educator in China, mentioned in his speech before leaving the United States:
You should remember that if I am killed by a Japanese bomb, then the Americans are 54% responsible! ”
Later, under the pressure of international public opinion, the United States agreed to ban the transport of weapons, and as a result, it sold more aircraft to the Japanese people.
Of course, Japan's sucking of China's blood is hateful, but we must also know that most of that blood has been shed to the United States.
Lessons from the past, how can we not take more precautions? Not to mention that Japan's invasion of China has existed since ancient times.
Not a few people even jokingly claim that invading China is Japan's "national policy," and Japan will certainly take action only if there is an opportunity!
Tracing back to the roots, this has a lot to do with Japan's geographical location.
Japan is a small land and poor in material quality, and the grain produced cannot even meet the needs of its own country, let alone say anything.
Under such circumstances, of course, Japanese people will turn their eyes on China's North China Plain and the Guanzhong Plain, and the result of their red eyes is to bring the war over in a vain attempt to invade.
In addition to the small number of land resources, Japan also has a serious problem, and that is the evil of the environment.
According to incomplete statistics, Japan experiences more than 20000 earthquakes every year, and on average, the house shakes more than three times a day.
Not to mention that there is also a super-sized trench on the side, and once a large earthquake occurs, the whole day may slide into it.
In addition to the terrifying earthshak, Japan also has mountains of fire, which are basically densely packed from north to south.
Coupled with typhoon, cold waves, and blizzards, which often occur, the Japanese people are overwhelmed.
Again, the Japanese people hate the local evil environment and envy the Chinese on the side.
This is also the source of the outbreak of war, and the essence of war is, after all, the plundering of living resources and space.
If other countries or countries are better, but militarism is flourishing in Japan, although after World War II, Japan's militarism was dealt a huge blow, but it was never completely severed.
This can be seen from Japan's many manifestations after World War II.
For example, the Japanese Government has not publicly apologized to this day, Japan has enshrined Class-A war criminals in the Yasukuni Shrine, and Japanese history books have been revised.
All these circumstances show that Japan is not aware of its own problems and mistakes, and still has tremendous ambitions for China.
China must always maintain its superiority over Japan, otherwise it will certainly be bitten back by Japan.
This also warns us that we must always be vigilant and not be paralyzed by our momentary leadership, so that ambitious countries like Japan can take advantage of it.
Of course, Kissinger's conjecture is not always correct.
After all, he himself carries the perspective of the United States, and he will also misjudge some issues, such as the comparison of China and Japan.
It can only be said that we hope that the family will always be vigilant, be prepared for danger, encourage and encourage together, and protect the family together.