The picture shows Tsai Ing-wen
Before Tsai Ing-wen's visit to the United States, Taiwan's "friends" had one less important country, and Honduras finally decided to sever relations with Taiwan after weighing up, so what happened when Honduras decided to establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland? What does the establishment of diplomatic relations between Honduras and Chinese mainland mean for the DPP? How many so-called "countries with diplomatic relations" are left in Taiwan? Regarding the above three issues, I will give you an in-depth analysis, starting with the recent remarks made by the President of Honduras.
Pictured is Honduran President Fidel Castro
On March 14, the President of Honduras sent a tweet on social media saying that Hong Kong was preparing to establish diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China, and as soon as this news was released, it immediately attracted the attention of many media, and Taiwan media even claimed that this news was equivalent to "dropping a shock bomb" for Taiwan Chinese mainland China and other countries are willing to maintain good relations and achieve true win-win cooperation.
The first question: Honduras decided to establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland.
Honduras decided to sever relations with Taiwan and establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland.
The picture shows the foreign trade port of Honduras
In the process of economic development, Honduras has seen the benefits of establishing diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland. Honduras' economic sources are mainly agriculture, tourism, manufacturing, etc., so if you want to develop the domestic economy, you must maintain good ties with the world economic powers, Chinese mainland as the world's second largest economy, is an important economic and trade partner of Honduras, according to Chinese mainland customs data, in 2021, China-Hong Kong's trade volume has reached 1.62 billion US dollars, and China has also helped Hong Kong undertake various projects with its strong infrastructure capacity, so in the process of economic development, Honduras must hope to further cooperate with Chinese mainland and let more Chinese enterprises invest in themselves.
In terms of political environment, Honduras wants to consolidate its voice in Central America. Honduras, as a Central American power, has always been committed to becoming the leader of the region, in fact, during Castro's presidential campaign, she publicly stated that as long as she was elected president, she would sever relations with Taiwan and deepen cooperation with Chinese mainland, but at that time, Taiwan frantically spent money for diplomacy, and the US government also put pressure on Central America, resulting in Castro not severing relations with Taiwan for the first time after he came to power, but in the long run, Castro chose to establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, It is obvious that he can further enhance his political influence and strengthen his voice in the international community with Chinese mainland.
Influenced by the establishment of diplomatic relations between other countries and Chinese mainland, Honduras changed its foreign policy. As early as 2017, Panama resumed diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, and in 2021, Nicaragua followed closely behind, and also re-established diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, cutting off the "contact" with the Taiwan authorities, for Honduras, which is also a Central American country, naturally saw the benefits obtained by the two countries after the establishment of diplomatic relations with China, with the improvement of Chinese mainland's international status, and under the influence of other Central American countries changing their foreign policies, Honduras decided to change its diplomatic position, which is the general trend.
The second question: What does the establishment of diplomatic relations between Honduras and Chinese mainland mean for the DPP?
If Honduras establishes diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, what will it mean for the DPP?
The picture shows that the Honduran people support the establishment of diplomatic relations with China
The establishment of diplomatic relations between Honduras and Chinese mainland may cause a demonstration effect. Earlier, Panama and Nicaragua in Central America broke off relations with Taiwan, which has made the number of Taiwan's so-called "diplomatic relations" scarce, and Honduras' diplomatic decision has torn Taiwan's "diplomatic territory" in Central America, and now Guatemala and Belize are Taiwan's only remaining "diplomatic relations" in Central America, and after Honduras establishes diplomatic relations with the mainland, the remaining two countries are likely to change their attitudes, which will bring huge international political pressure to the DPP.
More and more countries have established diplomatic relations with the mainland, and the DPP has doubled its pressure, which is difficult to explain to the Taiwan people. In the 10 years from 2013 to 2023, a total of 10 countries have severed relations with Taiwan, and the "countries with diplomatic relations" have continued to lose, on the one hand, it will make the DPP's provocation of "seeking independence" lack international support, and its ambition to put pressure on the mainland through international public opinion will be completely shattered; on the other hand, there are fewer and fewer countries with diplomatic relations, which will also expose the scam of the Taiwan authorities to promote "Taiwan independence", and the public's trust in the DPP will continue to decline.
The cause of China's reunification is unstoppable, and the Taiwan authorities have been isolated from the world. With the development of Chinese mainland's comprehensive national strength, it has begun to play an increasingly important role in international affairs, which is not only conducive to enhancing the international status of the Chinese mainland, but also allows Chinese mainland to establish solid diplomatic relations with more countries.
The third question: How many so-called "countries with diplomatic relations" are left in Taiwan?
After Honduras established diplomatic relations with the mainland, how many so-called "countries with diplomatic relations" are left in Taiwan?
The picture shows the Taiwan people marching
After Honduras established diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, only 13 so-called "countries with diplomatic relations" remained in Taiwan. In the Pacific Ocean, Taiwan's "diplomatic relations" include Palau, Nauru, Tuvalu, and the Marshall Islands, and near the Caribbean Sea, only Haiti, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Saint Nitz and Nevis remain, and in Central America, Belize and Guatemala are the only two "countries with diplomatic relations", plus Paraguay in South America, Eswatini in Africa and the Vatican in Europe, and there are very few "friends" of the Taiwan authorities.
These "countries with diplomatic relations" have established relations with Taiwan for different reasons, and have not established deep relations with Taiwan. Speaking of Taiwan's "countries with diplomatic relations", I have to mention the "golden dollar diplomacy" of the Taiwan authorities, in recent years, in order to be able to win over the so-called "friends", the Taiwan authorities have continuously increased the "diplomatic budget" and smashed money into some bizarre places, in November 2021, the Taiwan authorities paid money to encourage the governor of Malaita Province in the Solomon Islands to target the Chinese mainland and asked him to compete with the local government for leadership, and in January 2022, Taiwan received a batch of Lithuanian rum rejected by the Chinese mainland at a high price, which was bitterly criticized by the people on the island, Ironically, although the Taiwan authorities' "diplomatic funds" are spending more and more, this money relationship is not stable, and Taiwan's loss of "friends" has become an unstoppable trend.
Moreover, these 13 countries have a limited economic level and cannot affect the pace of cross-strait reunification. Among the 13 "countries with diplomatic relations", in addition to the Vatican in Europe has a certain religious influence, the remaining countries are not only small, but also extremely backward in economic level, international influence is negligible, with the increasing dependence of countries on the Chinese mainland economy, Paraguay, Belize, Guatemala also show the idea of wanting to establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, it is foreseeable that in the future, more and more countries will establish diplomatic relations with Chinese mainland, The goal of cross-strait reunification will also be gradually realized.
The picture shows the spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council
Generally speaking, Taiwan's attempt to use the so-called "countries with diplomatic relations" to "seek independence" is just an illusion; whether it is Jin Yuan diplomacy or arch fire opposing cross-strait reunification, the final result will be failure; cross-strait reunification is the common hope of all the Chinese people; no matter how the Taiwan authorities create confrontation and collude with Western countries, the result will only harm China's interests and undermine the process of peaceful reunification of the two sides of the strait.
Author: Xiaoming
This article only represents the views of the author and has nothing to do with this position