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The issue of the "lost Taiwan soldiers" on Kinmen's "Erbang Island" has made the Taiwan authorities anxious, knowing that they are in Xiamen, but there is no way to obtain authoritative information.
When Qiu Taisan, chairman of Taiwan's so-called "Mainland Affairs Council," was questioned earlier by Chen Yuzhen, the "Mainland Affairs Council" of Kinmen, he was a supporter.
Chiu said that he did not know the latest situation of the matter from any department on the mainland, and the only suggestion was that according to the internal regulations of the Taiwan military, if the soldier could not return to the barracks within a week, that is, before the 15th, he would be treated as a "deserter" and a wanted warrant would be issued.
So what is the current state of the soldier? Will it be sent back?
On the surface, the sudden appearance of the soldier of Kinmen "Erbang Island" in Xiamen is an accidental event, but its symbolic significance is considerable.
On the whole, the spiritual impact of this "wandering" incident surrounding the soldier in Kinmen is far greater than the specific impact of the incident itself.
From the perspective of inductive analysis, from the moment the soldier swam to Xiamen, we can judge what kind of mental state the current Taiwan army as a whole is, that is, it is sluggish and has no will to fight.
Of course, it also has certain significance from a military point of view, for example, although the "Erbian Island" where it is located is too small and does not have much military information value, he can help us determine whether his behavior comes from the pressure generated by the change of tactics of the US and Taiwan outlying islands, and then help us judge the military strategy of the United States and Taiwan.
I believe that this is what the relevant departments must be understanding.
The marginal effect of the incident was to completely shatter the illusions of some groups on the island who still had luck in resisting reunification with force, and also made the stubborn "Taiwan independence" elements like Wang Dingyu weak.
So, for now, the matter of the first part of this incident has been resolved. It should be said that we have been given great initiative.
And the next question is, what is the best way to dispose of this soldier?
First of all, it should be made clear that this Taiwan soldier is not a "debt problem" or "personal relationship problem" as the rhythm of Taiwan's green media belt, and the reason for swimming to Xiamen comes from a kind of "disappointment" within the Taiwan military or the "fear" caused by tactical adjustment mentioned above.
Then the soldier's wishes should be respected, and if he expresses his willingness to stay, suitable conditions can be created for him to be resettled as Taiwan compatriots; And even if the soldier has a request to return to the island, he will not be returned to Taiwan by "repatriation".
In fact, properly resettling this Taiwan soldier is the best way to do so, because there are 180,000 Taiwan troops on the entire island who are watching the progress of this matter.
If the soldiers surnamed Chen can get a good ending, it will definitely have a great appeasement effect on these Taiwan troops and have a huge encouraging effect on them not to become accomplices of "Taiwan independence" leader Tsai Ing-wen, and they will give up or reduce their willingness to confront mainland compatriots for the sake of US interests because they have a new "choice."
However, Wang Dingyu, a diehard "Taiwan independence" element, arrogantly shouted that the mainland should return the soldier to the island. He also threatened to arrest the soldier as a "deserter" with a maximum sentence of death.
It's really arrogant!
At present, except for Chen Yuzhen, the "Mindynasty" of the Taiwan side, who has determined through private channels that the soldier is in Xiamen, the mainland still has not publicly responded to this matter.
Therefore, it is the Taiwan authorities who are really anxious now.
The more inconclusive this incident is, the more it will continue to ferment, and the greater the impact on the morale of the entire Taiwan military.
Then let's take a look at another key event that affects the situation in the Taiwan Strait, that is, Tsai Ing-wen's sneaking beauty.
Recently, there have been foreign media broadcasting various details of Tsai Ing-wen's "transit" to the United States, and from the perspective of time, the trip began to leak so early that it was intended to test the mainland's "mouth".
But what is even more strange is that while the Western media and the United States and Taiwan continue to stir up Tsai Ing-wen's sneaking up the issue of the United States, we have not made much move, whether it is words or actions.
In the Taiwan Strait, the PLA has not sent fighters to approach Taiwan Island through the so-called "middle line" for two consecutive days.
Obviously, China's uncharacteristically attitude has made the United States also confused.
The United States appeared to be trying to cool Ms. Tsai, and Price, who was about to step down as State Department spokesman this month, said, "This is nothing new, nor is it a new breakthrough." (It seems that being a U.S. government spokesman who lies every day is indeed too stressful.) ）
Moreover, some Taiwan media sources revealed that Tsai Ing-wen may have two public speeches at the Reagan Library in California and the "Hudson Think Tank", respectively, and Biden will review the manuscript in advance.
But is it possible that Tsai Ing-wen will come to a "live play" when she gets carried away? With Tsai Ing-wen's ability to misjudge the situation, the serious consequences still exist.
Sykes, a researcher at a U.S. think tank, said Ms. Tsai's quest for the United States "will definitely be countered by Beijing no matter what." ”
It used to feel like we were talking more and doing less, but now it's time to say less and do more.
And there is a hunch that this Tsai Ing-wen may really become the fuse that ignites some major historical emergencies.