Penalty Manchester City for Arsenal? Gun fans think too much! The Premier League is telling investors: be obedient, it's all business

Another February, Manchester City were once again accused of financial fairness. Winning the case three years ago, "once and for all" solved UEFA's problems, this time facing the Premier League with no retroactive period, can Manchester City easily get out?

Considering that the Premier League has long been a platform for guidance on business goals, there seems to be no reason to be too "embarrassed" Manchester City. This time, the attack is really not for Arsenal and Liverpool to win the title, the spearhead may not only be Manchester City, but more like setting rules.

01. It has been checked for 4 years: "It will be a long time before the results are available"

a. The person in charge of the investigation is the Arsenal member: Liverpool are unlikely to win the previous title

It should be understood that Manchester City's violations, the Premier League has opened an investigation since 2019, the source is because hackers got emails and contracts from Manchester City's senior management, exposing their illegal sponsorship (the nominal sponsor only paid 7.6 million pounds, the Manchester City owner paid the difference of 59.5 million pounds out of his own pocket, and Manchester City invoiced the other party), and there were yin and yang contracts in wages (from former manager Mancini to team manager De Bruyne, there were two salaries, and even the amount received from the UAE was higher than Manchester City).

Interestingly, Murray Rosen, a well-known lawyer who chaired the independent commission of the investigation into Manchester City's irregularities, is also a sports enthusiast and a member of Arsenal Club.

According to Sky Sports, although the official confirmation of the allegations of irregularities against Manchester City, the investigation has been going on for 4 years, and it may not be a result this season, and it will take longer to reach a conclusion.

Because the punishment method includes the case of penalty points. As a result, Liverpool and Manchester United were expected to divide City's six Premier League titles during the alleged period.

However, this claim was quickly refuted, and even the deduction of points will only happen in the current season, and the previous champions will not be affected.

b. Potential penalties in the Premier League: relegation, demerit of points, fines & ban on transfers

Some would question why UEFA sanctioned Manchester City in February 2020 (which was subsequently overturned by the Court of Arbitration for Sport) but the Premier League did not do so until three years later.

This is because UEFA's evidence is valid for 5 years, while the Premier League does not. UEFA also requires that evidence not come from illegal sources (evidence obtained by hackers cannot be used, and Manchester City's refusal to provide the relevant documents requested by UEFA can only result in fines), and the Premier League is also unrestricted.

However, compared to UEFA's decision to ban participation in European competitions, the penalties that the Premier League can give Manchester City will be: relegation, deduction of points, hefty fines, and transfer ban (ban on new player registration).

The likelihood of relegation being used is extremely small, penalties can only have an impact during the season, and Manchester City have a high probability of limiting losses to acceptable limits.

02. The Premier League is coming out with a white paper! Is it an introduction to the old events of Manchester City?

Maintaining the current 'investment climate'

There is an important detail behind the Manchester City incident that cannot be ignored, that is, the British government plans to release a football white paper.

The aim is to create new regulators, review the finances of clubs (the completion of receipts and payments, the ratio of income and expenses, etc.), and prevent Premier League teams from forming new closed leagues with other big teams outside England (eliminating the possibility of the emergence of the European Premier League).

The Premier League relies on investors to spend money to establish a "cornucopia" model that is different from the other four major European leagues.

However, this does not mean that the Premier League will be blindly eager to invest, they do not even want a situation of a single company, but they are looking forward to a hundred schools of thought.

Pep Guardiola once complained: "It's harder to win three consecutive titles in the Premier League than to win the Champions League". This may also illustrate this in some ways.

Liverpool owner Fenway Group has repeatedly complained about the "unfairness" of the Premier League, as a professional sports management team, they attach importance to big data and scientific governance, and every step is orderly.

However, in the face of unreasonable investment madness, it will be difficult for Liverpool to win more titles in the Premier League, which also gave Fenway the idea of selling the team.

A warning to Newcastle and Chelsea: give other teams more chances to succeed

So this time to use Manchester City to attract attention, the Premier League may not necessarily impose a heavier penalty, or it may just be a warning to Newcastle and Chelsea.

After all, the wealth of the Newcastle owner is an existence that no other team combined can match. At present, they do have "rules", but once they get a European match, or even a Champions League place, with the capital to attract big-name players, it is difficult to guarantee that Newcastle will not "act recklessly".

On Chelsea's side, because Abu forgave the team's debts, Burley could "spend as much as it could". However, after such a huge investment, if the team's record is still not good, it seems that it is impossible to really accept defeat directly in addition to additional investment.

To ensure that Chelsea don't get crazier, Manchester City serve as a warning as a lesson from the past.

After all, from the distribution of Premier League owners last season (Abu has left, there are no more Russian bosses), the Premier League has a wide range of investors, even some mid-table teams, there is no shortage of financial helms.

The Premier League is still happy to see dark horses like Brighton and Leicester City rise to make the league more competitive. So how to let them see the hope of success, the white paper standardizes the way of investment, is also a kind of progress.

03. Follow the rules of the Premier League: After Abou, Manchester City became a new example

a. The Premier League wants to be in its own hands here

Judging from past examples, Abou's departure from the Premier League fully shows that the Premier League is not a stage for investors to have the final say.

As long as the Premier League wants to drive you away, the chances of staying are slim. But this time, will the Premier League kill Manchester City? (such as relegation, or consecutive deductions of points for current and future seasons)

Because of the "cultural heritage" of Europe's top giants, after the current oil capital enters Europe, almost no one shoots the old strong team.

Paris, Manchester City to Newcastle, it's no accident. Just like the American owners of Liverpool and Manchester United, who have encountered fan parades and boycotts many times, Fenway has even lowered his voice to apologize to fans many times. (American bosses ask for money and don't want face, they really don't care)

Oil capital is not willing to do such a thing, so many fans of big teams, eager to have an oil boss, may just not see through. At the same time, a team of Manchester City's size is even difficult to find new investors to take over.

If the penalty is too severe, Manchester City investors really leave, the impact on the Premier League is actually very large, of course, the possibility of happening is actually very small.

b. Points are penalized: But this requires a good time

So it is likely that in the end it will happen that the Premier League will give Manchester City a high fine, and impose several penalties.

This time, he said that Manchester City violated the law early, but on the other hand, he revealed that the investigation period will be very long, and there will be no results in the short term, perhaps waiting for a time to punish.

Arsenal have a high probability of winning the Premier League this season, which is good for the Premier League's image of "a hundred flowers". Then Manchester City's penalty, whether it can just "hold the top four", has become a science.

However, after the defeat to Tottenham, Manchester City did not have a big enough lead from fifth in the league.

If the penalty figure is too high, they may not be able to get a ticket to next season's Champions League. Of course, penalties may not be enforced this season, and Manchester City also have the possibility of winning the Champions League this season and getting a ticket to next season.

Therefore, the early announcement of the position, and at the same time the uncertain timing of the punishment, also gives the follow-up more room for maneuver.

Conclusion:

When Manchester City's financial irregularities have reached the point where everyone knows, the investigation and evidence collection itself is more like a show process.

Whether it is UEFA or the Premier League, they chose to officially announce Manchester City's problems in February, so why not to mitigate the impact? After all, attitude is a must, but the board does not have to fall on the ass.