The Russo-Ukrainian War in the Eyes of a Small Civilian

On February 22, Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly announced his recognition of the Luxk and Donetsk Republics he had created, and within two days, Russia had dispatched more than 200,000 troops to its neighbors from the north, central, east, and south. The North Road, through Belarus, the army, sea, air and air forces were all dispatched, the iron current was rolling, interspersed with attacks, and within a day they had encircled Kiev, destroyed the Ukrainian navy and air force in one day, and seized Ukraine's air supremacy. As a result, Chinese Simplified websites and self-media are full of Russian fans, Ula, Putin the Great, and the clamor of the fighting nation, and rarely can hear the voice of reason. The reason is that, in addition to the factors of political correctness, Russian fans only have a position and no right and no morality, and most people either do not care about this war twenty thousand miles away, or prefer to be humble dust silently, rather than be a twisted maggot rather than easy-going.

Now that the war has been going on for almost half a year, and with the war in a phase of stalemate, it is time for an ordinary citizen to share his views on the war.

First, the nature of the war.

This is a war between justice and injustice, between aggression and counter-aggression. As long as you have a little bit of human conscience and international knowledge, you will be able to distinguish between the unjustified and unjustified war of aggression waged on the Russian side by the political acumen and power of Putin. On the Ukrainian side, on the other hand, it is entirely an anti-aggression war to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity and defend its homeland. No argument for Russia to wage war is worth refuting.

1, Russia and Ukraine are both Members of the United Nations, have normal diplomatic relations, and in accordance with the UnIntended Charter, which is universally recognized, should respect each other's sovereignty and territorial integrity and respect each other's chosen path of development. Moreover, when the Soviet Union collapsed 91 years ago, the leaders of Russia and Ukraine promised each other their borders, and later Ukraine abandoned its nuclear weapons and signed the Budapest Agreement, and Russia was also the guarantor of Ukraine's security. Now that a Member State of the United Nations is openly tearing up past commitments and hundreds of thousands of troops invading another country, what is the difference between that and Saddam Hussein's annexation of Kuwait? What can this be called aggression that blatantly breaks the international order?

2, Putin said that Ukraine wants to join NATO, threatening Russia's security, this kind of reason is so strong that people laugh their teeth off, look at the small countries that NATO has joined in the eastward expansion, which one has not been brutally ruled by polar bears, and now they are just hugging together to keep warm, which country can pose a threat to Russia as a superpower? The gap between the size and military capabilities of Russia and Ukraine is huge, and Ukraine can threaten Russia's security, which only ghosts believe.

3, another statement of the Russian side is that Ukraine is facing the European Union, and joining NATO limits Russia's development space. So, how much room does Russia have to develop? Russia's land area is almost the sum of the two major powers of China and the United States, the vast coast faces the three oceans, and no country can compare with the unique resources of all kinds, do its own family work well, develop its own economy, and no country in the world dares to provoke this polar bear. What about the restrictions on Russia's living space?

4 Look at putin's openly declared goal at the beginning of the war, in addition to the goal of wanting Ukraine to cede Crimea and recognize the two republics of Luton, there is also a goal of de-militarization. Such unreasonable demands on neighbouring countries can only be uttered by the most shameless. Putin also called this large-scale military invasion a special military operation, bombed the whole of Ukraine from east to west, created millions of refugees, destroyed countless lives and property, and named himself a good-faith invasion.

5, apologists for the war of aggression said that Russia launched this war because Russia was oppressed by the United States, and this war was carried out to break the current international order and rebuild a fair new world. Yes, the current international order is based on the Atlantic Charter and the Uncommission of the United Nations, which is led by the Americans, but the former Soviet Union is also a participant in the UN Charter, and this order has enabled the great powers to live in peace in war for eighty years, putin wants to build a new international order, then first show your new order Lando for everyone to see, you are oppressed by the United States, then it is good to fight against the United States, Russia and the United States are also neighbors, and the narrowest part of the Bering Strait is only more than ten kilometers. What logic is it to take a knife from a weak neighbor in Ukraine? If this logic holds, and the strong can de-militarize their weak neighbors in the name of special military operations, then what is the system of the world?

Second, the current state of the war

Although the Russian side used all means except nuclear weapons, Ukraine was not conquered, and the battle line was only within a hundred kilometers of the Russian-Ukrainian border. There is no Russian side's momentum to break through the bamboo or the Ukrainian side's collapse, but it is in a state of strategic stalemate, as a strong Russian offensive has become the end of the strong crossbow, as a weak Ukrainian side, because the size and military strength of the two sides are too different, although the Ukrainian side of the three armed forces are used, it is difficult to form a real counterattack.

Here is a brief description of the course of the war.

In the first stage, the Russian army carefully prepared, the four services went all out, killed the Ukrainian navy and air force, seized the air supremacy, and then rushed thousands of miles, and the steel torrent directly hit the city of Kiev. It was to replicate the Prague model of the past six or eight years, to capture the leaders of the Ukrainian side, to force people to sign an alliance under the city, and then to quickly end the war according to the conditions of the Russian side. But this combat readiness goal has clearly failed. Due to the failure of the surprise attack on kiev airfield, the stubborn resistance of the Ukrainian side, and the lack of logistical support, the large army that had rushed thousands of miles was in the attack of the Ukrainian army, and the weapons and equipment were heavyly damaged. The army that invaded the west of Kiev and the army in the middle of the north had to be shrunk back, and in this first stage, the Ukrainian defense of Kiev was successful, which made the Russian side lose the quick decision and quick battle, thus winning the time for the Ukrainian side to obtain US and European aid.

Phase II.

The Russians shrank their fronts with the aim of capturing Udong-Luhansk and Donetsk. In this regard, because the Russian side has absolute fire superiority, and is backed by the Russian mainland, and the logistical support is very sufficient, the Ukrainian side fought very hard, the loss of personnel and equipment was huge, and the Russian side occupied all of Luhansk and most of Donetsk, and achieved a tactical victory at this stage.

In the third stage, that is, at this stage, with the weapons assistance of the United States and Europe in place, the two sides began to be in a state of calm in artillery, Ukraine seemed to have restored a certain degree of air supremacy in terms of airspace, and the war losses of several months were also a bit unbearable for Russia, so although the Russian side was on the offensive, it had reached the end of the crossbow. Due to the large difference between the size and strength of the Ukrainian side and the Russian side, it cannot organize a similar offensive. The two sides are generally in a stalemate.

Third, when will the war end?

I don't know, but don't listen to the tricks of the experts. This war is destined to be a very boring war like the Iran-Iraq war. As long as the United States and Europe do not lose patience and continue to provide arms assistance and financial support, the war will continue. Until both sides are exhausted and bored.

Fourth, the outcome of the war.

To be sure, double lose. Russia has suffered a severe loss of national strength, an unprecedented isolation in the international community, and the image of that superpower has been smeared. Ukraine, on the other hand, was so beaten that it could only slowly lick its own blood and recover hard. Society goes back at least two decades.

Therefore, a politician and leader who bears the heavy responsibility of the country and the nation must not speak lightly of war and start a war lightly. Peace is the hope of all mankind!