With the release of various revelations of Tanabata Brocade, many small partners have expressed their concern about the brocade gift box market led by LangTaosha. So, let's analyze it with the well-known financial event "Dutch Tulip"!
First, the famous "Dutch Tulip" financial event
In the mid-17th century, tulips were introduced from Turkey to Western Europe, when the price was low and high, and was regarded by the upper class as a symbol of wealth and glory, and speculators saw the business opportunities in it and began to hoard tulip bulbs and push prices up. In 1635, the frenzy of buying tulips spread into a national movement, and people no longer bought tulips for their intrinsic value or for ornamental purposes, but hoped that their prices would rise indefinitely and thus profitably.
In 1634, because a large number of foreign merchants heard that the Dutch tulip trade was very prosperous, they rushed to the Netherlands to participate in tulip speculation, resulting in the price of tulip bulbs, which was already sky-high. So far, this tulip mania has lasted for more than 30 years. In order to satisfy the frenzied trading of tulips, the Amsterdam Exchange has set up a trading venue for this purpose.
On February 4, 1637, the tulip market suddenly collapsed, and within six weeks, prices fell by an average of 90%. The Tulip Incident was the first recorded financial bubble economy in human history, which indirectly led to the decline of the Netherlands, the financial center of Europe at that time.
Second, from the perspective of finance, analyze today's limited Jinyi and Xiangrui markets
In fact, if we apply this incident to the brocade gift box market, it is also possible. At present, there are not only merchants hoarding brocade in the brocade market, but also more or less some "limited gift boxes" in the hands of multi-open and scattered players. Some of these "limited gift boxes" have soared in price (such as Langtao yarn brocade gift boxes), and some have even fallen below the original price (such as non-you Mo Rat gift coins).
To put it simply, the main reason that can affect the price of "limited brocade" has been officially denied, under the premise that all limited brocade will not return to the factory, jinyi and Xiangrui gift boxes also have a certain guarantee value, whether you are hoarding goods or reselling, it will not lose costs (except for individual jinyi and Xiangrui).
But correspondingly, Fantasy Journey to the West is also continuing to launch new brocades. And with the progress of time, technology, and art level, the new limited brocade has a gap with the previous limited brocade, which directly or indirectly leads to the price of some limited brocade and Xiangrui. So no matter which "limited edition" you hoard, you need to understand this.
Third, the classic case - "Langtao Yarn" limited gift box
A limited edition of brocade "Wave Tao Yarn" is a good example. Although this is a "limited edition brocade" released in 2019, the number of characters and gift boxes is very large, but due to the rapid growth of the player base (which can be seen from the surge in the number of fireworks areas), the original large number of "wave tao yarn" has become a "rare product" after 2 years.
At this time, we can always see a lot of news or articles about the "Wave Tao Yarn" brocade gift box being sold at a high price, which makes many small partners have the idea of "taking over" and will put it into action. But for the first batch of people who bought the Langtao yarn brocade gift box, they have earned the "first bucket of gold".
2022 Tanabata limited edition brocade can now be determined to be short, in the face of the upcoming impact, many small partners are holding a "pessimistic" mentality. But most of them are people who belong to the "high position", they initially thought that the wave of yarn brocade would continue to rise, so they took the deposit to take over the order, hoping to make a little more. But what I didn't expect was that the new Tanabata short brocade had the posture of stabilizing the wave and tao yarn.
In fact, although the Langtao yarn brocade gift box will be impacted by the new Tanabata brocade, according to the current mentality of fantasy players, this requires merchants not to sell at a large number of price reductions, and the price can still be stabilized in a reasonable range. After all, whether it is Langtao Yarn or New Brocade, there are different design styles and art styles, and players with sufficient economic ability will naturally "I want it all"!
As for the impact on the brocade of blue and white porcelain, I personally think it is negligible. After all, blue and white porcelain is not only low in ownership, but also the "core" prize of the spring heart budding competition every year, and the only thing that can impact it is "returning to the factory".
4. Summary
In general, the emergence of the new brocade to solve the problem that many small partners do not have a "short brocade", although it has the possibility of impacting the wave Tao yarn brocade market, but in terms of the current number of players and business mentality, its ownership is bound to be much more than the wave Tao yarn. Therefore, its influence is still very limited.
At present, smart businessmen have begun to collect "single fox number", with this unique limited amount of Xiangrui, with their ability, financial resources are enough to stabilize the price of the wave yarn gift box in their hands, here can only recommend that you should judge whether to hoard goods according to your own economic ability. After all, blindly following the trend is an act that is both irrational and risk-taking.