Source: Chaoyang Shaoxia
Nowadays, people rarely see "Made in the United States", but there is one thing that the United States frantically manufactures and sells to the whole world, the Middle East, North Africa, Europe, and now it is going to sell to Asia, that is, "war".
The Wishful Thinking of the United States: to control Europe by sacrificing Ukraine, weaken Russia, and sacrifice the flag to the "hegemonic ZTE". (Comic |.) Liu Rui)
The Conflict between Russia and Ukraine has dragged on for three months and still has not seen the light of day. Some people are bleeding, some people are handing knives; some people are suffering from war, and some people are eager to burn more vigorously. The United States has not only blocked all diplomatic mediation conducive to a ceasefire and a war, and forced the otherwise promising peace talks to a halt, but has also provided Ukraine with increasingly lethal weapons.
Just a few days ago, on top of the original $13.6 billion in aid to Ukraine, the U.S. Congress voted to approve another $40 billion in military and economic aid to Ukraine. 53.6 billion US dollars, this figure has exceeded 70% of the combined military expenditure of Russia and Ukraine in 2021, this is not Ukraine's "life-saving money", but "life-saving money" and "life-saving money".
On May 20, 2022, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed a bill involving about $40 billion in aid to Ukraine by an overwhelming margin of 86 votes in favor and 11 against.
The American bloodthirsty machine has been turned on, and it will not stop until it fights to the last Ukrainian and does not let the blood of Russia dry up. The Wishful Thinking of the United States is to make Ukraine an offering and sacrifice the flag to the "hegemonic ZTE" when the Russian edifice collapses.
History is a fair judge, and it will not wrongfully accuse a good person, nor will it spare an evil person, and there will never be a good end to a war of trafficking. Let us tear off the hypocritical mask of the US "messenger of justice", debunk the ugly face of the US "war peddlers", and restore the four truths of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Will Russia be knocked down by Western intervention sanctions?
At the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, people had various speculations about the outcome of the battle, both the "quick victory theory" and the "surrender theory", and now it seems more like a "protracted war". In his book The Rise and Fall of Great Powers, Paul Kennedy wrote: "In a long war between great powers, victory often belongs to the side with a solid economic foundation. ”
Russia has the world's largest territorial area and strategic depth, all self-sufficiency in key resources such as grain, oil and gas, and a complete and powerful industrial production system, with a very strong economic foundation. Under the "nuclear bomb-level" sanctions of the United States and the West, the Russian economy remains basically stable. The ruble has appreciated by 12% since the beginning of the year and is the best performing currency in the world.
Recently, the Russian ruble exchange rate has rebounded strongly, surpassing the Brazilian real and becoming the best performing currency in the world so far in 2022. (Source | exchargerates.org）
The most dramatic scene in the conflict is Russia's Jedi counterattack on sanctions. Taking advantage of the tense atmosphere of international oil and gas supply, Russia formed a stealth front with gulf countries and US oil capital that are also looking forward to high international oil prices, blocked the Biden administration's oil production increase plan, unexpectedly launched the "oil ruble", pushed international oil prices to a historical high, and solved its own "urgent need".
Russia's current account surplus more than tripled to $95.8 billion in the first four months of the year, the highest since 1994, the Bank of Russia said. This all depends on a group of Russian local financial experts who are not superstitious in the West, see through the seemingly tough but weak nature of the dollar hegemony, find the "Achilles heel" of the Western commodity market, and play with the leverage of the pricing mechanism.
Russia's increased energy revenues were sufficient to cope with military spending while stabilizing the ruble exchange rate, restoring inflation in April to mid-last year levels. The latest domestic polls in Russia show that more than 50% of the population is not afraid of Western sanctions, confidence in price stabilization and economic development is growing, while Putin's approval rating is more than 80%, and satisfaction with government performance is more than 77%.
Europe and the United States are paying a heavy price for sanctions. Germany, Italy and other European countries are Russia's large importers of grain, oil and gas, and sanctions against Russia are tantamount to killing eight hundred enemies and losing one thousand. According to the International Monetary Fund's latest Global Economic Prospects report, the eurozone's economic growth rate is expected to slow from 3.9% to 2.8%, and suffer a more severe decline as sanctions escalate.
On April 21, 2022, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the energy embargo imposed by European countries on Russia is likely to have little effect.
According to statistics, each household in the UK will spend an additional 700 pounds on gas and electricity this year. In response to the continued rise in energy capital, German Deputy Chancellor Habeck went so far as to call on people to reduce the number of baths, and the Minister of Agriculture of Bafu State advised people to turn off heating and wear sweaters in winter.
The U.S. economy grew at a negative 1.4 percent pace in the first quarter, and inflation remained as high as 8.3 percent in April after two rate hikes. U.S. gasoline prices rose 47 percent this month from $2.97 a gallon a year earlier to $4.37. The fact that sanctioners are being sanctioned against each other is truly a spectacle in the history of international relations.
Is Russia really isolated?
The United States and the West have used the hegemony of public opinion to incite an "anti-Russian storm" full of discriminatory meanings, claiming that Russia has been isolated by the world and has become an "international outcast." In fact, only 48 of the world's 233 sovereign countries and regions have participated in sanctions against Russia, and the ratio of people participating in and not participating in sanctions is even lower than 1.1 billion: 6.5 billion, and there are 4.8 billion people who explicitly oppose sanctions alone.
All brics, all SCO member and observer states, and even Latin American countries such as Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, which are in the "backyard" of the United States, have made it clear that they will not sanction Russia. At the BRICS Foreign Ministers' Meeting held a few days ago, the foreign ministers unanimously called on major developed countries to adopt responsible policies to control spillover effects and avoid the serious impact of unilateral sanctions on developing countries and vulnerable groups.
On February 27, 2022, Brazilian President Bolsonaro called Russia and Ukraine a "sister country" and made it clear that he refused to sanction Russia.
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is a complex issue involving multiple contradictions, and the resistance to US and Western hegemony is undoubtedly the main contradiction of the problem, and NATO's eastward expansion is the main aspect of the main contradiction. Serbian President Vucic said angrily, "They (the West) demand that we respect the sovereignty and territorial integrity of others, but what about ours?" "Not just Serbia, but Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya, including China, people have the same questions, the same anger. History has repeatedly proved that US hegemony is the "natural enemy" of the sovereignty of all countries.
Who is the lion, who is the donkey, who is the judge? (Comic |.) Xu Zihe)
Although the United States has launched diplomatic coercion around the world and prohibited countries from mentioning "NATO's eastward expansion" in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the truth cannot be hidden. More and more countries are seeing that it is Russia that has suffered hegemonic humiliation first, and then it has to fight back. Pope Francis acknowledged that IT was NATO's "roar" at Russia's doorstep that led to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. South African President Ramaphosa said the conflict could be avoided if NATO heeded the warning and stopped its eastward expansion.
On March 17, 2022, South African President Ramaphosa said the war could have been avoided if NATO had heeded warnings for years and recognized that eastward expansion would lead to greater instability in the region.
Indonesia, Cambodia and Thailand issued a joint statement reaffirming the importance of hosting the G20 Leaders' Meeting, the ASEAN Summit and the APEC Economic Leaders' Informal Meeting, stressing that opportunities will be provided for "all member countries and economies".
In the face of true multilateralism, the obscenity of hegemony is not effective, and if the United States and the West continue to viciously exclude and exert maximum pressure on Russia, they will cut themselves off from the international mainstream and the multilateral system.
Is the United States a real tiger that eats people?
Historical experience shows that hegemonism eats people without blinking, and the United States was once a living tiger, an iron tiger, and a real tiger. But many acts of injustice will kill themselves, and the United States will eventually become a dead tiger, a paper tiger, and a tofu tiger.
The United States single-handedly manipulated the Russian-Ukrainian conflict behind the scenes, thinking that it could take advantage of the chaos to divert domestic contradictions, feed the military-industrial complex, hinder European strategic autonomy, consolidate the hegemonic position of the United States, and become the biggest winner. However, clear-eyed people pointed out that the United States is nothing more than "internal diseases and external treatment", using offshore manipulation of proxy wars to cover up and transfer domestic contradictions.
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The French newspaper Le Monde commented that although the United States denied it, it had in fact completely "taken over" the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The new strategic goal of the United States is to weaken Russia, let Russia taste "strategic failure", and even seek a "large-scale short circuit" of the Russian regime, which is very dangerous and worthy of vigilance.
The "battlefield" in the United States is filled with smoke and flames. The Biden administration has suffered a crushing defeat on the battlefield against the epidemic. The death toll of COVID-19 in the United States has exceeded 1 million, and the death knell of Washington Cathedral has been heard 1,001 times. The US economy and society are also full of crises, and the sanctions imposed on Russia have made the already high inflation in the United States worse, and the people are miserable.
Nicholas Jordanor, a professor of American political science, quipped: "When we see inflation, infant formula shortages and empty shelves, it feels more like being in Venezuela than in the United States." ”
The U.S. recently suffered an infant formula crisis, with a 43 percent out-of-stock rate of milk powder in the U.S. in the first week of May, and prices soaring 18 percent compared to the same period last year.
Recently, Biden's approval rating has repeatedly declined. Of the Americans who took part in the polls, 56 percent were negative about their work. Ironically, 53 percent of the population believe it would be better to remove Biden than putin. After the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump played the "inflation card" and "people's livelihood card", and the market was obviously bullish. Polls expect him to beat Biden 45 percent to 43 percent in the next election.
Today, the Conflict between Russia and Ukraine is expanding, complex and long-term, and the influence of political factors is increasingly exceeding that of military factors. One of the most critical political factors is whether American public opinion supports prolonged and large-scale intervention in Russia. If Biden is "lame" because of the loss of the midterm elections at the end of the year, if Trump completely controls the Republican Party, if the political infighting in the United States intensifies, if public opinion is more concerned about milk powder than anti-Russian, can the war in Ukraine still get the unlimited support promised by the United States?
On April 23, 2022, former U.S. President Trump slammed Biden at a rally in Ohio, claiming that "America is going to hell, and Biden had no idea what was happening.
Trump's "America First" and the breaking of the treaty and withdrawal of the group make the world remember it vividly, and the fierceness of the brothers who clearly calculate the account and plan to withdraw from NATO has made NATO allies have a lingering feeling. If Trump does make a comeback in 2024, what will be the outcome of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict? Anything is possible, and the drama is yet to come.
Are the United States and Europe really monolithic?
Geopolitics has a law: the longer the front, the more weaknesses there are. Recently, Finland and Sweden have abandoned their neutral position and submitted applications to join NATO, which has become a new coordinate of the "great unity" of the West, and has also given the United States and the West a new target for close deterrence and attack on Russia. But is it really worth it for the rich Nordic countries to go from buffer countries to frontline countries, to collide with the nuclear power Russia, and to hand over their lives to the United States?
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, NATO was shocked from "brain death", and Finland and Sweden lined up to give NATO a blood transfusion. (Comic |.) Vitaly Podvitski）
Let's take a look at what the United States, the "leading big brother," has done in this crisis. Ignoring Europe's efforts to mediate for several years, the United States has directly instigated the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and wrapped European countries into a crisis that does not have to happen. After the crisis broke out, the United States forced Europe to work together to impose comprehensive sanctions on Russia and military aid to Ukraine, resulting in a high fever, but what was the effect?
The high-priced oil, high-priced grain, and high-priced weapons of the United States were shipped to Europe one after another, and a large amount of European capital returned to the United States after the two interest rate hikes. With such a teammate who is willing to sacrifice and dedicate, the United States is really counting money to the point of being soft, dreaming until it wakes up with a smile.
After the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, some people said that NATO was miraculously resurrected from "brain death", but the dream of EU unity and self-improvement was "brain dead", and there was no hope. In the big chess game of the great power game, should Europe and Russia fight to the end and become stepping stones for US hegemony, or should they play an active role in the process of persuasion and promotion of peace and talks, and reconstruct a balanced, effective and sustainable new framework for European security?
In October 2021, Clare Daly, a member of the European Parliament, said that Europe should play an independent and peaceful role and avoid further marginalization.
Multipolarization is the only way out for the world, becoming an independent pole is the right choice for Europe, and negotiating and reconciling is the historical responsibility shouldered by Russia and Europe. The dream is ahead, the road is at the foot, "the brothers who cross the robbery wave are here, and they meet and laugh and hate each other."
On issues of core interests involving China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, China has no room for compromise.
Lenin said that "imperialism is war," and successive wars since the 21st century have repeatedly proved that "hegemonism is war" and that anti-war must be opposed to hegemony. The vast majority of Chinese eyes are shiny and their minds are clear. China does not choose sides in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but it is by no means ambiguous in its opposition to hegemony.
What deserves high vigilance is that the United States is trying to direct the flames of war from Europe to China and to the Taiwan Strait. What needs to be seriously warned to the United States is that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China's sovereignty and sacred territory, and as long as hegemonism dares to extend the claws of aggression and intervention to Taiwan, the Chinese people will certainly exercise their sovereignty without hesitation, realize the complete reunification of the motherland, completely bankrupt the war traffickers, and completely defeat hegemonism! Chinese do what you say!