Recently, vicious shootings have broken out in many parts of the United States, and almost all of them have shown characteristics for African-American and Asian-American populations.
In the context of the covid-19 pandemic, which has killed millions of people and plunged into high inflation in the United States, this shooting with obvious racial antagonism is actually brewing a huge terror, which will not only affect the stability of american domestic society, but also implicate the entire world situation and develop in a more turbulent direction.
So, what does this frequent, vicious incident similar to "terrorist attacks" in the United States specifically represent? And how will it affect the world situation?
First of all, from the perspective of the United States, since the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008, although the United States has exported the economic crisis to the world by relying on unlimited printing of money, it has maintained its own stability.
But under the surface of calm wind and waves, the bane of social unrest has actually been laid. The middle class is hollowed out, the poor are getting poorer and richer, the trend of racial antagonism is obvious, and society is in the ultimate tearing and unable to unite.
After the new crown epidemic, these problems were completely exposed, so at the end of Trump's term, he preferred to let the epidemic get out of control rather than implement strict containment measures, the most fundamental reason is that once the US economy loses this superficial prosperity, then the problems accumulated in the past will be immediately detonated.
This can be seen from the limited prevention and control that the United States had to force in 2020 to promote a series of incidents such as "black life is expensive" and "zero yuan purchase" in the whole society.
In the end, Trump had no choice but to drink and quench his thirst, and in just over a year, he released $7 trillion in water again, saying that it was needed to fight the epidemic, in fact, it was to directly send money to the people to alleviate the contradiction.
But money is not unlimited, and when the Biden administration came to power, the dollar depreciated, and the level of domestic inflation has forced the Fed to tighten monetary policy and prepare to raise interest rates. In other words, the dollar's "banknote capacity" is temporarily out of service.
At this time, the White House still has to delay the outbreak of contradictions in American society, and can only think of another way. Provoking the Russo-Ukrainian war, absorbing European capital into the United States, maintaining the apparent prosperity of the US economy, and then the Fed taking the opportunity to raise interest rates and re-accumulate the vitality value required for "banknote capacity" is the Biden administration's strategy.
To put it bluntly, whether it's Trump or Biden. In fact, all the policies they have adopted in the international arena are to act as "fire captains" for the institutional problems in the United States. Its core logic is that if it does not harvest other countries and divert the attention of the American people, then the problems in the United States will be "detonated."
Sanctioning Russia, harvesting the European Union, and taking advantage of the opportunity by the United States to divert attention is theoretically no problem. But for now, the Biden administration is clearly overestimating the domestic endurance of the United States and the global influence of the Russian economy.
After the start of the Russo-Ukrainian War, Europe and the United States imposed extreme sanctions on Russia, which indeed forced EU capital to run to the United States to "take risks". However, due to the ban on Russian energy exports, Saudi Arabia and other oil producers as allies of the United States are unwilling to increase oil exports, resulting in a surge in global energy prices, which has eaten the United States itself.
Before the russo-Ukrainian war began, the White House must have thought of this. But they should not have imagined that sanctions against a Russia that is almost decoupled from the U.S. economy can have such a big impact on the U.S. economy.
So the situation now is that Russia is weakened and the European Union is almost squeezed out of oil and water. But the problem of inflation in the United States has not been resolved for a long time. Inflation has been as high as 8 percent for two consecutive months, directly affecting the livelihoods of the American people.
So the situation returned to the end of Trump's term, where domestic racial confrontation was serious and vicious incidents occurred in an endless stream. Simply put, this is the endurance of the American people, and it is once again at the tipping point. If the Biden administration cannot think of ways to alleviate inflation as soon as possible, then the "thunder" that has been detonated by successive US administrations since the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis is likely to explode during Biden's term.
What is even more unfortunate is that the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the raging new crown epidemic have undoubtedly increased the "hostility" of the entire society, and many small contradictions that can be tolerated under normal conditions cannot be tolerated at this time.
It doesn't matter if one person can't stand it, but now the United States is nearly 100 million infected, 1 million people have died, and their immediate family members have reached 9 million. These 9 million people who have lost their loved ones in the epidemic, if they can't live because of inflation during this time, the anger in their hearts will converge, which will aggravate the turmoil and unrest in American society.
For the whole world, once the US government realizes that they may be unable to hold on to the domestic thunder, then it is a high probability to cause greater turmoil in the international community and use external crises to divert domestic contradictions.
In this sense, the probability of the current escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian war is increasing infinitely as the tolerance of American society decreases. This is perhaps a more dangerous thing for the world than the Russo-Ukrainian War itself.