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Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

author:Qin'an Strategy

#普京: If there is external interference + Russia will lightning counterattack # Russian President Putin said in St. Petersburg on the 27th that if someone wants to intervene from the outside and create a strategic threat that Russia cannot accept, Russia's counterattack will be lightning-fast and rapid, and Russia has all the tools available for this. Russia does not boast, but uses these tools when necessary. U.S. Defense Secretary Austin, who has just visited Kiev, insisted in response to Russian remarks that the United States "did not go to war with Russia." In this kind of situation, one tough and one instigated, will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia? #普京: If there is external interference, Russia will counterattack with lightning #

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

Putin's statement is not unusual, and it is a further and violent reaction to the current situation of the Crisis in Ukraine. Previously, Russia launched the world's strongest missile, and all 22 "doomsday planes" took off, all of which were similar actions. Only this time, the difference is that Putin is trying to stifle the attempt of American politicians to wipe the sidelines.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

A large number of Russian special aircraft took off from near Moscow

The three main points of his speech are very unusual: First, the conditions for counterattack: external intervention creates a strategic threat that Russia cannot accept, which is to warn the United States not to rub the edge, and the result of Russia's loss is the destruction of the United States; the second is the way to counterattack: lightning-like, rapid attack, that is, a direct blow without warning; and the third is the weapon of counterattack: all the tools. Putin stressed in particular that Russia will not boast, but will use these tools when necessary, apparently a nuclear strike.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

Why is Putin once again issuing the highest level of warning? It is necessary for us to analyze the important characteristics of the current situation and see what tricks biden are playing.

First, the United States and NATO have gathered more forces to provide strength support for Ukraine to fight a protracted war, and the G-40 meeting is a landmark action. U.S. Defense Secretary Austin No. 25 made an inflammatory statement in Poland that "the United States wants Russia to be weakened." On the 26th, it ran to the Ramstein Air Base in Germany to host the international defense ministers' meeting of "military aid to Ukraine", with more than 40 countries participating. This is basically a "crowdfunding weapon" for Ukraine, that is, the long-term consumption of Russia, but also to reduce the burden of the United States, the typical "wolf tactics", but also the usual trick of the United States to intervene abroad.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

Second, the US Secretary of State and The Defense Secretary both visited Kiev, and some NATO and EU leaders visited Kiev to cheer for Ukraine's protracted war. This is an important move before the "crowdfunding weapon". Biden ran to the Polish border on March 25, looking at Kiev, but did not dare to step into Ukraine. Later, British Prime Minister Johnson, EU President von der Leyen, including the heads of state of many other NATO countries have visited Kiev, and Ukrainian President Zelenskiy has also explicitly requested Biden to visit, and can not come empty-handed. This wave of operations by NATO leaders is actually to provide Zelenskiy with "spiritual food" to support him and Russia in fighting.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

Third, the Russian military's military strikes have been smoother, and missile strikes and strong attacks on key points have further demonstrated overwhelming military superiority. Since the withdrawal from Kiev, the Russian army has fought a missile war and a strategic offensive battle. Compared with the first stage, it greatly reduced its own losses and was further in a more advantageous position militarily. This is also an important reason for the "crowdfunding of weapons" in the United States and NATO countries. They were afraid that Zelenskiy would not be able to hold back the surrender, which was the last thing they wanted to see.

Fourth, the United States and Ukraine frequently talk about biological and chemical weapons and even tactical nuclear weapons, and the Russian side says that the United States is trying to risk using weapons of mass destruction and planting stolen Russia. Both the director of the CIA, the deputy secretary of defense, and the Ukrainian president Zelenskiy echo each other's rhetoric that Russia may use tactical nuclear weapons. Russia, for its part, has exposed the U.S. attempt to use weapons of mass destruction and then planted a Russian ploy. This shows that both the United States and Russia are considering the use of extreme means.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

In this situation, the United States and NATO are actually at a disadvantage in the Battlefield of Ukraine, and there is a bit of a taste of dogs jumping the wall. In terms of sanctions and counter-sanctions in the same dimension, they have encountered the one-trick enemy of the "ruble settlement order", as well as the two tricks of oil and gas and grain, so Biden is very much looking forward to making a breakthrough in the low-latitude Ukrainian battlefield and dealing a heavy blow to Russia.

But the problem is that Biden adopts the "three noes principle" of "no war, no establishment, and no dispatch", that is, not to go to war with the Russian army, not to set up a no-fly zone in Ukraine, and not to send peacekeeping troops to Ukraine, so that his confrontation with Russia is inferior and less than one move. Therefore, the 40-plus-power meeting is actually a rallying cry in an attempt to bring Ukraine into the counter-offensive phase.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

In the calculations of U.S. politicians, when the Russian army launched an all-out attack in the first month, Ukraine was strategically defended; the Russian army withdrew from Kiev to carry out missile strikes and attacks on Mariupol, especially the Azov steel plant, for strategic stalemate. This time, the 40 countries collectively sounded the rallying cry of the Ukrainian strategic counteroffensive, hoping that Ukraine would launch a full-scale counteroffensive until it was the last person in Ukraine.

Specific to the external interference that Putin warned, it will contain at least the following. One is intelligence support. Especially for target guidance and even battlefield command, the United States even provided battlefield communication systems for the Ukrainian army. The second is the participation of special forces in the war. The third is to provide more powerful offensive weapons. The fourth is the use of weapons of mass destruction to plant stolen goods against Russia. Fifth, Poland took military action to test Russia's response. In fact, shots had been fired at the Belarusian border checkpoints.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

According to Putin's speech, as long as these external interventions pose an unacceptable strategic threat to Russia, a lightning counterattack will be carried out. This lightning strike is nothing but a resolute nuclear strike.

The question here is, what is an unacceptable strategic threat? Is it just a risky venture by the United States and NATO to use weapons of mass destruction?

If U.S. and NATO politicians think so, it is a major strategic miscalculation. To understand this, look at the new nuclear deterrence strategy signed by Putin on June 1, 2020. There are four scenarios: First, Russia suffers a nuclear strike. The second is that Russia's allies have suffered a nuclear strike. The third is any act of blocking Russia's nuclear strike capability. The third is other attacks that Russia cannot afford.

Putin warned that lightning will fight back against external interference, how will it be fought? Will there be a direct conflict between the United States and Russia?

That is, with the continued support of Russia's nuclear strike range, including the United States and NATO, the Ukrainian counterattack led to the complete defeat of the Russian military. This is a "warm boiled frog" trick to stifle the Biden certificate's nuclear deterrence against Putin. We'll see how Biden concedes defeat and how Russia cuts off U.S. and NATO arms lines. Biden does not have the guts to directly clash between the United States and Russia, but it is not impossible for Russia to destroy American aircraft entering Ukraine to transport weapons.

In a word: if there is no Russia, what else does the world need to do? Biden don't play the "warm boiled frog" trick and have the guts to go straight up! Also, remember the famous Chinese saying: don't say it is unpredictable!

Qin An, April 28, 2022, Beijing Four Seasons Qing.