The annual Snooker World Championships are in full swing at the Crucible Grand Theatre. In the early morning of April 19, China's Lu Haotian did not play well in the first stage, temporarily trailing Bingham 3-6, and the situation was very passive. Looking back at the previous matches of this World Championship, no one who fell behind 3-6 in the first stage could turn the tables. Therefore, what is the probability that Lu Haotian will reverse the second master brother?
Lu Haotian
In the matches that have ended so far at the World Championships, there are seven goals in the first stage of the 3-6 score. In addition to Lu Haotian's 3-6 Bingham, the other six games are Jones 3-6 Selby, Gilbert 3-6 O'Sullivan, Murphy 3-6 Maguire, Hawkins 3-6 Page, Highfield 3-6 McGill and Hugel 3-6 Robertson.
Lv Haotian 3-6 Bingham
In these seven games, the second stage of Lü Haotian and the second master brother, Radish and Hu Gil has not yet been carried out, and the other five games have been divided into winners and losses, and all of them are won by the leader. Among them, Selby beat Jones 10-7, the Rockets beat Potato Brother 10-5, The Coat cut the Magic 10-8, Page eliminated Master Huo 10-7, and Mike beat Highfield 10-7.
Five games 3-6 trail have failed to turn over, what is the probability of Lu Haotian reversing the second master brother? Careful analysis shows that the probability is less than 20%. First of all, there is a gap in hard power between the two. Bingham, who ranks far higher in the world ranking than Lu Haotian, won the World Championship in 2015 and defeated Ding Junhui in the first round of last year's World Championships to reach the final four. Compared with the second master brother, Lu Haotian's achievements are not comparable, and the gap in strength is very obvious.
The second master brother is in good shape
Secondly, the second master brother is in good condition and has no loopholes. In the first stage of the game between the two, Lu Haotian was behind by the score, not because he didn't play well or made any mistakes, but because Bingham was really in excellent shape. Many times, the second master brother takes the initiative to get started through the accurate far platform, and after getting the opportunity, he wins with one shot. From the actual battle, it can be seen that in the sixth, seventh and eighth sets of the game, Bingham won with a clean sheet, and did not give Lu Haotian a chance at all. The second master brother in this state, not to mention Lu Haotian, is the rocket, the radish and even the 72-year-old master brother Sun Wukong has come, all of which are a bit laborious. Therefore, to tell the truth, if you don't blow or black, the probability of Lü Haotian, who is behind 3-6, is less than 20% to reverse the second master brother. How do netizens feel about this? Please express your opinions!