According to official data, the probability of the original god role pool, after the small guarantee, is 50% of the probability of crooked and not crooked. And if you look at it with big data, it is indeed the same, which fluctuates between 49-51%. Considering the problem of the number of samples, it can be considered that from the perspective of the whole game, the probability of a small guarantee is indeed 50%.
One, 50% is true, you did not draw up, have been sucked away by the European emperor
But as everyone knows, A+ B averages two meters in height, C + D averages tens of millions of dollars a year, and the so-called big data is really just big data. Maybe in general, almost, but specific to the individual, or even to a player with bad luck, the so-called not crooked, is not 50% at all.
In Gu Ying's own terms, the probability of Xiao Bao's bottom being crooked is far greater than not being crooked. After calculation, in fact, the probability of a small guarantee not being crooked is only 36%. That is to say, every time you twist the bottom twice, you can exchange it for one time without being crooked. So the question is, since someone is non-committal, how did the 50% probability come from?
There is only one answer, that is, when the European emperor draws the card, he "Ou" for the non-chief. To put it bluntly, the reason why some people have a small bottom continuously crooked is because the up role of the small bottom has been sucked away by the European emperor.
With that said, is it possible to understand the meaning of the previous ABCD story? To be precise, the content of big data is true, and the mechanism is also true, but when it comes to individual players, it is not the same thing at all. To paraphrase a player's phrase, "A grain of dust in probability is a mountain that falls on a person".
Second, if the non-chief is not at the same time, the European emperor is more European, can it be accepted?
Since some people have raised the problem, naturally some people have proposed solutions. Of course, from a practical point of view, mhy has added a rule to the weapon pool, which is already a change in the meat cutting level. Modify the bottom of the character pool again, and the possibilities are infinitely close to 0. But even that doesn't stop the player from thinking about it, right?
For example, the small guarantee is crooked, and the big guarantee is not crooked, which is crooked. So the next time you draw the card, can you not be crooked? That is to say, a player will not be between two big guarantees, but will only be crooked once. But obviously, in this way, the non-chief is not wrong, but the European emperor is more European. So this has evolved into a classic problem:
Suppose Tenri gives you a chance to make a wish, but your neighbor will get a double reward for your wish. For example, if you and Tenri need to have a carved qing (of course, the live-action version), your neighbor will have two carved qing; if you and Tenri make a wish for a group of jade pavilions, your neighbors will get two group jade pavilions.
So some people choose to give up one of the existing five-star roles in exchange for neighbors giving up two five-star roles. This is certainly a lose-lose choice, but from the perspective of human nature, this choice is not incomprehensible. And once the guarantee mechanism is modified, as said earlier: non-chiefs may not be wrong, but the European emperor is more European. If you were a non-chief, would you choose that?
For many people, this is actually a dilemma. But fortunately, at least in the original gods, this does not happen. Because mhy, which is higher than the celestial level, will not allow such a thing to happen at all. Therefore, although the 50% probability of not being crooked has little to do with the individual, it has to be said that it is impossible to modify.
Finally, Gu Ying still wanted to ask, if you could, how would you choose the wish-making opportunity of Tianli?