Xianlin, Liangzhu and Sandun North, the real estate industry is customarily called "Pan-Future Science and Technology City".
Under the continuous soaring housing prices in the central area of Weike, these places have gradually become a haven for many ordinary yard farmers in large factories, and have thus turned red, and some have also got rid of the reputation of "ten thousand years pit" in one fell swoop.
However, with the wave of layoffs and market value declines in China's Internet industry this year, the second-hand house prices in these "pan-weike" sectors have also been affected, and the market is sluggish.
01
"Brother Zhang, I'm afraid that tonight's contract will not be signed, and the buyer will regret it."
"Twenty thousand yuan deposit is not needed?" "Yes, there was a problem with the buyer's funds, and I heard that there were changes in the follow-up work."
Zhang Ge's "returned" house, located in the Agile International Garden in Xianlin, is well-decorated 89 square meters, with parking spaces, middle and lower floors, and a price of 2.66 million.
This price, compared with half a year ago, fell by four thousand yuan per square meter.
What makes Brother Zhang uneasy is that this is returned, and then want to find the next pick-up man, I don't know how long to wait.
Agile International Garden
Although last month, the transaction volume of second-hand houses in the xianlin plate picked up a lot compared with February. However, several major residential areas, such as the International Garden, Bamboo Sea Rhyme, Xixi Sea Xiaohai, etc., often exceed the large market of more than 1,000 households, and the monthly transaction is only single digits.
In the first half of last year, the bamboo sea rhyme was a community, and at its peak, it sold an average of 2 sets a day.
"Is it difficult to learn from the landlord of Qingfeng Villa Garden, jump off the property price and sell it?" Brother Zhang inhaled a cool breath.
Not only the idle forest, but also the old Yuhang, which is separated by all the way and the house price has risen year after year, the overall market is also declining after the year. Yuhang Mansion, Dahua Haipai style and other major new housing communities, no one buys them without reducing prices.
It is that the price has been reduced, and the transaction cycle has also been greatly extended. "The buyer seems to have made an appointment, and he is not in a hurry to buy a house at once."
02
In the second-hand market, there has never been the most miserable, only more miserable!
Who would have thought that Liangzhu New City (excluding Gouzhuang), which has been born 6 times "ten thousand shakes", has now closed two or three intermediary stores, and many employees are unemployed.
The third phase of Vanke Future City, one of the "Ten Thousand Shakes", was the first to start stampede years later. Owners who are in a hurry to ship, the price is falling again and again.
For example, the third phase of the future city 89 square meters three bedrooms and two bathrooms, even if the floor is good, it can only sell 3.1 million; the floor is worse, the landlord tears more than 2.8 million warehouses.
This price is a fight with the first phase of the future city and the second phase of 89 square meters of three bedrooms and one bathroom.
Around August last year, the third phase of future city was also in the same area section, and the total price was easily sold to 3.4-3.5 million. It's only been half a year, and house prices have fallen by 10%.
According to the convention, the price is exchanged for the volume, and the price drops and the amount rises. But this set is also failing.
According to the data on hand to buy a house, since the lunar year, the future city phase one, two and three, the network signature plus a piece of only 9 sets, but not the first phase of last year's single month transaction volume.
Rongxin Lantian, the age of the room, since the shipment of several sets of low-cost houses, the agent told me that there are also more than half a month of no deal.
As for the sub-new house north of National Highway 104, the days are even more difficult. Kunlun Huafu hardcover 89㎡ three bedrooms and two bathrooms, the landlord listing price directly dropped to 2.75 million, equivalent to only 30,000 unit price.
It is foreseeable that if the big market does not rise, the stampede of Liangzhu New City will only be further aggravated. By May, poly rongxin and light dust two changes are completed, and more landlords will sell.
Just over a month after the year, the number of houses that have been certified by The Light Dust Fan has soared from 9 sets a few years ago to 68 sets today. (Data from shells to find a house)
Now, the owners of Heguang Dust Fan who are in a hurry to escape, the listing unit price has dropped to 38,000-30,0009. Years ago, the listing unit price generally exceeded 40,000. Rao is so, still has not seen the net signature.
03
In the western territory of the city, the second-hand house price is still "firm", and only the north of Sandun, which belongs to the West Lake District.
However, the current second-hand house price is still a long way from the high.
One of the "Three Duns North Shuangxiong", China Railway Built West Lake International City, at the high point of the middle of last year, the 88㎡ rough house could sell for 4.5 million.
In the second half of the year, the landlord 3.70-3.8 million also shipped, almost "jumping price" sale. Now, house prices have barely risen to between 4.1 and 4.2 million.
"If you want to get a quick shot, you can sell at most for more than 4.1 million." An owner of Westlake International City said.
This is still a ride on the "school district room shuttle" in March and April every year, under the aura of Sin Chew No. 2 Primary School and the newly settled Zijingang Middle School Branch, plus Rainbow Xuan's once again restricted sale of "God Assist", second-hand house prices stopped falling and rebounded.
Rao is so, there are still landlords who can't bear to sell at a reduced price.
In these two days, there is an 89㎡ landlord in Seattle, and 4.2 million is rushed out, equivalent to a unit price of 40,000 7. Decoration aside, this price is basically the same as the West Lake International City next door.
Two years ago, the unit price of 89㎡ in Seattle exceeded 50,000 500, and in the middle of last year, the unit price of online signatures rushed to 60,0003.
Don't think that occasionally one or two landlords will cut prices and throw them sharply, which will not make too much waves. Amazon butterflies flap their wings twice, and two weeks later a tornado will be launched in Texas, USA.
Landlords are not stupid, who do not want to maximize profits. Helpless now the market, hanging high 50,000, 100,000 no one to take over, blindly dragging the cost is higher, it is better to drop in place at one time, as soon as possible to fall into the bag for safety.
04
Speaking of several popular sectors in the west of the city after the year, the volume and price of second-hand houses fell together, and the intermediaries were consistent in their caliber:
The entire second-hand housing environment is not good, not only one or two plates are not; last year's "85 New Deal" also had an impact, a large wave of young people's room tickets were stuck...
At a deeper level, it is affected by the tide of price reductions.
Whether it is the xianlin and old Yuhang further west, or the Liangzhu New City and Sandun North to the north, geographically it is the same as the core area of Weike. These pan-vinyl plates have also become the areas where Ali and other young Internet code farmers love to spill over.
Almost every intermediary has several, or even dozens, of young code farmers in the Internet industry.
These "young sons of social security" who have just entered Hangzhou for a long time are not as good as the old employees of P7 and above in terms of income, and the core area of the unke section does not dare to have extravagant expectations; and the limited social security time is either stopped by the new policy, or even the taillights of the red disk cannot catch up, and can only overflow.
Even if the room ticket and down payment are complete, the code farmers are still worried about being fired at any time.
One of my non-scientific code farmer friends, shaken the Hangjun Future Center, before choosing a house, they were still worried: the house is restricted for sale, what can be done in case of repeated layoffs in the company?
Years later, Tencent and Ali's salary cuts and layoffs have been on Sina's hot search for several days. It is even more rumored on the Internet that Ali's layoffs are as high as 30%, including Ali's life service sector, Hema and Taocai, and the large cultural and entertainment sector, all of which have different degrees of salary cuts and layoffs.
Although the actual proportion of layoffs is not as exaggerated as the Internet rumors, according to reliable sources, the number is double that of previous years.
The stocks that helped the price of the code farmer soared, and the market value fell by nearly two-thirds in more than a year.
The wave of layoffs has met the tide of salary cuts, and the code farmers who were originally the main force for buying houses in the unpredicted and pan-unke have now become a new force for selling houses. Many of the neighbors who sell houses with Brother Zhang are unkecode farmers.
Although there is no shortage of high-tech scientific research, biomedicine, new energy materials, equipment manufacturing and other industries, the main force is still the Ali department, zhejiang university department and returnee system.
Hindered by the uncertainty of the Internet trend, investors who loyally believe in "following Ali to buy a house" also take the initiative to choose to stop loss and ship.
For example, a set of 94㎡ three-bedroom in the future was taken over by 7.2 million investors last year, and 5.66 million were directly dumped at the end of the year. In half a year, the net loss on the book was 1.54 million.
05
As early as the date when the three brothers of Xixi Mansion and Weike were sung by the whole city, the fiery market of Panwei branch faded, which can be foreseen.
Spreading from the core area to the edge, it is only a matter of time. It's just that the depth of the ripple is beyond expectations.
The second-hand houses in the Panweike plate, if you want to "make a comeback", there are only two ways at present:
First, it is expected that the second-hand housing market in Hangzhou will pick up in April, and the property market "XiaoyangChun" will restart to boost market confidence.
Recently, for 3 consecutive days (3.31-4.2), the daily transaction volume of second-hand houses in Hangzhou is more than 200 sets, and if this trend can continue after the Qingming small holiday, it will certainly help the confidence of landlords.
Once the balance is tilted in favor of the propertied, it is bound to exacerbate the panic of the proletarians.
Second, the core area of the unkemed area stopped falling and rose back.
Here, not only should we pay attention to the head community in the core areas such as Xixi Mansion and Future Yue, but also the second- and third-level sub-new houses in the area are an important weather vane.
If even the second-hand house prices of Wantong Fashion Mansion and Oaks Future City have been adjusted, then it is not far from the large-scale recovery of Panweike.
Either way, time needs to be exchanged for space.