At 23:00 Beijing time on March 24, the national football team will sit in Sharjah, UAE and Saudi Arabia in the 9th round of the round of 12. Judging from the various analysis before the game, the national football team will send Saudi Arabia into the World Cup, the probability of losing is about 70%, the probability of winning the cold is only about 10%, and Li Xiaopeng is basically sure that he will suffer 3 consecutive defeats in the official game after taking office. And the national football team is looked down on at least losing 2, and is given 0-7 loss odds.
After the 8 rounds of the round of 12, the situation of the two groups has been very clear, the national football team is in the group, Saudi Arabia, Japan and Australia compete for 2 direct qualifying places, and the remaining 1 team will enter the Asian play-offs. The top team in the group, Saudi Arabia, and the 9th round of the national football team, as long as Saudi Arabia wins, it will go straight to the Qatar World Cup. Therefore, Saudi Arabia prepared very carefully before the game, and spent 3 days in the closed training camp of the eight-star hotel in Abu Dhabi, and arrived in Sharjah the day before the game.
In the first round of the game, Saudi Arabia defeated the national football team 3-2 at home, but the situation changed after the national football team sent a naturalization group to fight in the second half, but in the second round of competition, the naturalized players in the front court of the national football team were collectively absent, leaving only Jiang Guangtai 1 defender naturalized international. Therefore, all the analysis before the game is looking down on the national football team.
In the initial session of a website, the odds of winning the national football team were 9.00, the odds of a draw with Saudi Arabia were 4.33, and the odds of losing were only 1.36, which were converted into probabilities, and the probabilities of winning, drawing and losing of the national football team were 9.82%, 21.55% and 68.62% respectively. As the match approaches, the odds for winning and losing are adjusted to 9.00, 4.33 and 1.40 respectively, and the corresponding probabilities are adjusted accordingly: 9.51%, 22.58%, and 67.91%.
Judging from the analysis of major data websites, the probability of winning the national football team is around 10%, in other words, Li Xiaopeng suffered 3 consecutive defeats after taking office is a high probability.
From the score analysis, Saudi Arabia's odds of winning 2-0 are only 5.50, and winning 3-0 is only 8.00, both lower than the score odds of a draw. The odds of a 1-0 win in the national football team reached 15.00, which is basically an impossible goal. From the analysis point of view, the national football team in this game is to win less, or to fight for a draw.
In addition, the highest score scored by the national football team was only 3-0, and the odds for Saudi Arabia to win 6-0 and 7-0 also meant that the national football team could suffer a big defeat.