Introduction The situation set off a commodity frenzy again, and Lun nickel rose by more than 70%; the stable economy built a solid bottom line for the market, and there were conditions to achieve "me-based"; a number of pig companies released February sales data.
A quick overview of the morning blockbuster news
1, the situation set off a commodity frenzy! Nickel rose more than 70%
Importance: ★★★★
Lun nickel, soared nearly 80% during the day! As of the early hours of this morning, it closed at $50,905/mt, the highest level since June 2007. Affected by Lun Nickel, Shanghai Nickel continued to rise and fall at night after the daily rise and stop, up 15%, closing at 228810 yuan / ton.
In addition, dry bulk carrier rentals are one price a day, and the BDI index has soared by more than 60% in more than a month. Brent closed up 4.3 percent and WTI added 3.2 percent, both of which hit their highest levels since July 2008.
A wide range of other commodities also rose strongly: Continental European benchmark Dutch gas futures rose nearly 80% during the day, and Uk gas both hit record highs, although late-session gains retreated significantly.
Among the A-share listed companies, there are 9 concept stocks with nickel layout, and the list is as follows:
3. Vocal support for A shares! Stabilize the economy and build a solid bottom line for the market, and have the conditions to achieve "me as the mainstay"
Stabilizing the economy builds a solid bottom line for the A-share market, and the A-share market has the conditions to achieve "me-based", and investors do not have to panic excessively and fall into one-way bearish thinking.
Short-term external factors may lead to the release of financial sentiment. Judging from the statements of all parties at the two sessions, the mainland's economic development and enterprise fundamentals are more certain, and short-term emotional disturbances do not hinder the long-term stability of the market.
4, military budget increased by 7.1% 12 military stocks with high performance were released
Importance: ★★★
This year's military budget is 1,450.45 billion yuan, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points over last year. This is the first time that China's military budget increase has exceeded 7% since 2019. Among the A-share military stocks, Haite High-tech, AVIC Heavy Machinery and other stocks have a substantial pre-increase in performance last year, and the list is as follows:
5. A number of pig companies released February sales data, what is the trend of pig prices? Industry: Optimistic is expected to gradually improve during the year
On the evening of March 7, Makihara shares, Wen's shares and other pig companies issued a February sales briefing, and the price of commercial pigs is still difficult to hide the decline, whether it is month-on-month or year-on-year, showing a downward trend. Industry insiders believe that the current downturn in pig prices is mainly due to oversupply, with the acceleration of the industry's capacity to de-industrialization speed, optimistic is expected to gradually improve within the year, but the specific market trend also depends on the length and depth of capacity de-capacity.
6, Apple new product conference 3 products or into the focus of which companies hope to benefit (list)
Apple plans to hold its first product launch in 2022 on March 9, Beijing time, and the market expects the company to launch a series of new devices, including the first low-cost iPhone that can connect to 5G networks, and perhaps also see a new Mac with better performance equipped with Apple's M1 chip.
Comments: Recently, the news about screens on the market has emerged in an endless stream, and the Mini LED concept has attracted attention.
7. The third round of negotiations has no substantive results, and the consultations will continue.
8. Global grain prices remain high, and many grain exporting countries have successively promulgated new regulations restricting exports.
9. The oil transportation cost of European routes soared to a new high in 4 years, and the oil transportation sector may bottom out and rebound.
10. Continuous feedback from many securities companies: the number of early warning accounts throughout the day has not increased significantly.
11. The conditions for the full implementation of the stock issuance registration system have been met.
12. Illegal fund-raising with new concepts such as metaversities has begun to emerge.
Economic calendar
Walking tips in the financial market, today's polytechnic navigation, Lite optoelectronics, Kangguan Technology, Tengyuan Cobalt and other four new stocks to subscribe, the new shares of China Automobile shares listed.
1. 9:00 The Second "Ministerial Channel" of the Fifth Session of the 13th National People's Congress
2. 18:00 Eurozone Q4 GDP
3. 18:00 Eurozone Q4 Quarter-Adjusted Quarterly Employment Quarterly Rate
4. At 01:00 the next day, the EIA announced its monthly short-term energy outlook report
5. At 02:00 the next day, Apple held a spring new product launch
Opportunities to see in advance
In the financial market, it is found that the concepts of the Internet of Vehicles and electrolytic aluminum have a high degree of attention.
1. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a guide to the construction of the Internet of Vehicles Security to support the healthy development of the industry
On March 7, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the "Guidelines for the Construction of the Network of Vehicle Network Network Network Security and Data Security Standard System", proposing to initially build a network security and data security standard system for the Internet of Vehicles by the end of 2023. Focus on basic commonality, terminal and facility network security, network communication security, data security, application service security, security assurance and support and other standards, and complete the development of more than 50 urgently needed standards.
The policy is good for the development of the Internet of Vehicles, with the gradual completion of 5G coverage, the Internet of Vehicles industry will usher in development.
2, the european energy prices are high to push up the price of aluminum domestic electrolytic aluminum profits will increase
On the 7th, the LME aluminum plate exceeded 4,000 US dollars / ton, a record high. In terms of upstream costs, Germany's one-month electricity futures rose 19 percent and the Netherlands' wholesale gas contracts rose 7.3 percent in April, both at record highs.
The continuous rise in the price of natural gas in Europe has led to an increase in electricity prices, corresponding to the serious loss of aluminum and zinc production in Europe, while China's domestic electrolytic aluminum smelting profits are rising, and due to strong consumption, aluminum rod inventory has been destocked for three consecutive weeks.
Under the overseas high premium market, the demand for export orders for aluminum processed products may increase significantly, and domestic aluminum prices will also play a role in the rising market.
3. The price of the silicone industry chain has risen, and the related concept stocks are expected to benefit
On March 7, the price of the whole industrial chain of silicone rose, of which DMC quotation rose 2.67% to 38500 yuan / ton, 107 rubber reported 39000 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.63%, raw rubber price rose 2.61% to 39300 yuan / ton. The price of industrial silicon continued to rise, at 22563 yuan / ton, an increase of 0.62%.
March is the traditional peak season for silicone, and in terms of foreign trade, with the gradual recovery of overseas economies, the recent demand for silicone exports is relatively strong.
4. The price of natural diamonds has risen, and there is a wide space for cultivating diamonds
Recently, the global production of rough natural diamonds has continued to decline, and the price of natural diamonds has risen significantly. The 1-carat diamond index rose 5.6 percent in February, up 12.9 percent from the beginning of the year. At the same time, cultivated diamonds are receiving more attention from the market, with rapid recognition and a triple increase in sales in branded stores. Cultivated diamonds have the same physical and chemical properties as natural diamonds, but the price is only about one-third of the latter.
At present, the global cultivated diamond penetration rate is only 4%, and the price-performance advantage is highlighted after the price difference with natural diamonds is expanded, and the downstream demand is expected to further increase. At the same time, the natural supply and demand gap will create space for the increase in the penetration rate of cultivation drills.
5. The military budget has reached the fastest growth rate in the past three years, and many countries around the world have successively increased their budgets
6. Shanghai Mobile accelerated the construction of data centers, and the number of east and west drives industrial investment
7, the world's largest supplier or major variables, fertilizer supply or will appear obvious shortage
8. National Development and Reform Commission: Promote the reform of the feed-in tariff formation mechanism for gas-fired power generation and nuclear power
After-market research and investment strategy
The sharp rise in energy has triggered stagflation concerns, focusing on the main line of stable growth; the possibility of the bottom of the two stock indexes is greater.
1. The surge in energy has triggered stagflation concerns, focusing on the main line of stable growth
At present, the dilemma of the global capital market is that the environment that already has a stagflation trend encounters geopolitical risks in important commodity-producing areas, which makes investors' concerns about stagflation rise, increase the uncertainty of the post-epidemic economic recovery, and the panic index rises sharply. However, we can still see the disk on Monday, in addition to commodities, the construction, building materials, and real estate in the traditional infrastructure investment industry chain are also relatively resistant to falling or even closing up. Regarding the future market, the agency still maintains the original judgment, and it is recommended to believe in the ability to "ensure supply and stabilize prices" and the determination to stabilize the economy with "me as the mainstay"; it is recommended to adhere to the main line of stable growth and build positions around "low and low valuation".
2, in the high volatility of the market to choose gold to do more logic is still smooth
At present, waiting for the conflict to end, the market will return to the original main line logic. Continuing to chase up war-related commodities is not the best option, and it is more appropriate to increase the oversold equity in the early stage. Gold is a symbol of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and there may be sharp fluctuations in the short term. From the annual dimension, the logic of strategic long gold is still smooth, and the US recession and the Fed's difficulty in raising interest rates more aggressively are the bottom cards of the gold bull market.
3. The possibility of the two stock indexes oscillating to find the bottom is greater
At present, A-shares are greatly affected by the foreign market, especially the Hang Seng Index, and it is expected that before the outer market effectively stops the decline and stabilizes, the two stock indexes are more likely to find the bottom. The mainstream sector has taken turns to decline, and precious metals, non-ferrous metals, medicine and the concept of three children have become the main direction of capital hedging. It is recommended to pay attention to the changes in policy, capital and external markets.
4, the dual factor is good, the power exchange industry is expected to usher in rapid growth
The dual factor is good, and the power exchange industry is expected to usher in rapid growth. 1) The annual sales volume of new energy vehicles in 2025 is expected to reach 6 million units, when the number of ownership will exceed 27.7 million, and the CAGR of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period will be 37.1%, and the demand for related supporting facilities will increase sharply. 2) The power exchange mode is mentioned by the policy because it can solve the bottleneck of electric vehicle development. After the reference charging industry is encouraged by policies, the construction speed is accelerated, and the growth rate of power exchange is expected to be further improved.
Positive and negative announcements of listed companies
In terms of positive announcements, the financial market strolled to remind attention to the blue lithium core to obtain large orders, etc.; in terms of negative announcements, pay attention to degute's reduction of holdings.
Positive announcement
1. Azure lithium core: Obtained Stanley Baide's large order of more than 600 million lithium batteries
2. China Equipment Construction: Won the bid for a total of 660 million yuan of major projects
3. Jiangfeng Electronics: The semiconductor market demand is strong The prices of some products have been raised
4. Guangdong Hydropower: Planning to purchase 100% of the equity of Construction Engineering Group
5. Star Lake Technology: The controlling shareholder plans to reorganize major assets related to the company And the stock is suspended
6. Xin Fengming: Plans to repurchase shares for 150 million yuan to 300 million yuan
7. Yutong Bus: The controlling shareholder and its co-actors intend to increase their holdings by 100 million yuan to 200 million yuan
8. Suning Tesco: Bank of Nanjing intends to purchase 36% of Suning's consumer finance for 341 million yuan
Negative announcements
1. Degut: Qingdao Ivy and Kunshan Ivy plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 6.43%
2. Hesheng Silicon Industry: Shareholder Fuda Industrial intends to reduce its shareholding by no more than 6%.
3. Caixin Development: The controlling shareholder intends to reduce its shareholding in the company by not more than 6%.
4. ST Tianma: Shareholder Tianma Venture Capital intends to reduce its holding by no more than 5%
5. Yihua Health: Shareholder Lin Zhenggang intends to passively reduce his holding by no more than 2%
Performance increased significantly
1. Yuntianhua Performance Express: Net profit of 3.637 billion yuan in 2021 increased by 1236.79% year-on-year
2. Double-ring transmission performance express: Net profit in 2021 rose by 537.45% to 327 million yuan
3. Yunda shares: net profit of 490 million yuan in 2021 increased by 183% year-on-year It is planned to 2.5 yuan for 10 turns and 6 payouts
4. Aimeike: Net profit of 958 million yuan in 2021 increased by 117.81% year-on-year
Performance plummeted
1. Leizhi Group Performance Express: Net profit in 2021 fell by 27.14% to 271 million yuan
2. Northern International Performance Express: Net profit in 2021 fell by 16.97% to 624 million yuan
3. Lijiang shares: the net loss in 2021 reached 37.8032 million yuan, which was a year-on-year loss
Unblock list
From the perspective of the proportion of unbanning, the proportion of gold disk technology to be lifted in the next 5 days will reach 35.79%, followed by the proportion of lifting the ban in the first place are Shenzhen Keda and Bio Valley; from the perspective of the market value of the lifting of the ban, CICC, Zhongwang Software, Gold Pan Technology and other stocks are in the front.
Overseas markets
The three major U.S. stock indexes closed down collectively, with the S&P falling nearly 3% to the biggest decline in more than a year, the Dow and nasdaq both hitting new one-year lows; gold futures hit their highest closing prices since August 2020; and U.S. WTI crude oil futures closed more than 3 percent higher.
A brief description of overseas assets
1, the U.S. stock market: U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Monday. The United States and its allies are considering imposing an oil import ban on Russia, pushing crude oil prices higher, raising fears of hyperinflation and a global recession. Russia and Ukraine began the third round of talks.
2, Chinese stocks: hot Chinese stocks closed mostly lower on Monday, Maverick Electric fell nearly 17%, the financial report showed that Q4 net profit fell by 18% year-on-year; Liulishuo fell more than 17%, Bilibili fell more than 8%, and new energy vehicle stocks fell lower.
3. Precious metals: Gold futures closed higher on Monday and hit their highest closing price since August 2020. The renewed escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has fueled risk aversion, pushing gold futures to break through the $2,000-an-ounce mark on Monday.
Crude oil: U.S. WTI crude futures closed more than 3 percent higher on Monday. Crude oil futures prices were supported as countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom considered banning the import of Russian oil.
5, the European market: The European stock index still continues to refresh the low level in a year, the auto sector, which fell nearly 4%, led the decline, the German stock index, which relies heavily on Russian energy, fell into a bear market, while the oil and gas sector supported by crude oil rose more than 4% against the market.
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