If we want to deduce when the Russo-Ukrainian War will end, we should first start with why there was this war and what the purpose of the countries involved in this war is.
Let's start with the aims of the Ukrainian side. Other countries around the eu that have joined the European Union are now living a very moist life. Looking at the economy of your own country, the per capita GDP is only more than 3,000 US dollars. You can imagine how poor the Ukrainian people are now. There is nothing wrong with wanting to make yourself rich by joining the European Union. But there is no way, its geographical location is too special compared to Russia, which is doomed to be an impassable road.
Let's look at the Demands of the Russian side: the de-militarization of Ukraine, the de-Nazismization, and the recognition of Russian sovereignty over Crimea, as well as the sovereignty and borders of Donetsk and Luhansk. Judging from the current russian military progress in Ukraine, basically there is not much of a problem, don't look at the current negotiating table Zelenskiy is still hard, the fist is the final right to speak.
Let's look at the European Union. As the world's second-largest economy, it simply doesn't want war to happen on its doorstep, let alone rely heavily on Russia's natural gas resources. The EU's initial attitude toward Ukraine and Russia was to negotiate peace, not war.
From the perspective of Russia, Ukraine, and the European Union alone, these three countries involved actually do not want to have a war. Obviously, the only people here who most want war in Ukraine are the United States.
The huge debt accumulated in the United States in the past decade and the frenzied printing of money during the epidemic have led to a record high in domestic inflation. And this time inflation is not like the previous crisis, which can be solved by raising interest rates and shrinking debt. In fact, the United States also wants to learn from China and engage in large-scale infrastructure to solve problems. This can be seen from biden's efforts to promote large infrastructure as soon as he took office. After all, Lao Mei can't quickly pass the infrastructure policy and implement it like the mainland, no way, this is a problem in the system, the fetal belt, can't be solved. Of course, in general, large infrastructure is invested by the state, the yield is not high or the yield is zero, and even more the yield is negative, and the state is going to lose money in it. But its advantage is that it can pull the economy and employment on a large scale, although some projects seem to be at a loss, at least it can solve the urgent need, in the long run, at least it is convenient for the people and optimize the investment environment, but also for the future economic development to provide a strong basic guarantee, and also respond to the slogan of common prosperity.
As a capitalist country, the United States does not have absolute interests in it, and it is undoubtedly impossible to promote large-scale infrastructure projects, and it is even more impossible to reach an agreement among various political parties. So what to do? Isn't there a better solution for the United States? The answer is definitely yes, and the United States has been using it. That is to start a war and confuse other countries.
First of all, the cost of war is very large, which brings huge benefits and orders to the US arms interest groups, which will also boost the economy and employment. To use an image analogy, the orders and benefits brought by the war are equivalent to large-scale infrastructure projects for the United States, and they are still profitable. Moreover, messing up other countries, especially competitors, will cause money to flow back to the United States, invest in the United States, and buy dollar assets. This will also achieve the purpose of pulling the economy and reducing inflation.
Analyzing this, I think everyone has understood. The Russo-Ukrainian war, only the United States most wanted to see. Ukraine, Russia, the European Union don't really want that to happen. However, the United States has cultivated the ability to stir up for many years, and in the end the Russian-Ukrainian War still comes.
Back to the main topic, when will this war end, it is clear that other countries except the United States are eager to end it immediately. So when it will end depends on when the United States achieves its goal of reducing inflation and reviving the economy.
So, the day when inflation and the economy in the United States began to return to normal, that is, the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War. Of course, there is another possibility, and it is also a very likely outcome, that is, the United States still retains the seeds of war, and when a large-scale war ends, small frictions will continue, which is also what the old United States is most willing to see.
The other is that Russia completely subdued Ukraine and forced it to sign at the negotiating table, but in this time of subduing Ukraine, the old United States should have achieved its own goals. After all, they are all trapped in the trap of old beauty.