Will Russia plunge Ukraine into the ocean of people's war?

Will Russia plunge Ukraine into the ocean of people's war?

Will, already caught up in.

1. Russia's 200,000 troops invaded Ukraine, mostly for the attack of battalion-level units, and there was no attack of the Soviet army corps in 2 battles.

Russian Army battalion-level combat group referred to as "BTG", a battalion-level combat group strength of about 1200 people, from the scale point of view has greatly exceeded the traditional sense of the battalion-level combat units, it can be said that the Russian Army's battalion-level combat group is a deeply strengthened version of the battalion-level combat units.

The battalion-level combat group of the Russian Army usually takes a mechanized infantry battalion as the core, and according to the characteristics and needs of modern warfare, the mechanized infantry battalion is equipped with a self-propelled artillery battalion, a rocket artillery company and a tank company, in addition to strengthening the combat strength of reconnaissance, air defense, electronics, communications and other aspects.

For three days, I have not seen the main force of Russian tanks rushing forward, even if it shrinks into a stream of steel. The terrain of this great plain of Ukraine is unobstructed, and there is nothing Maozi can hide from a fiercely charging main force? Currently, all battalion-level units are active individually. This is the Russian modern method of warfare. Battle of the Hundred Camps? The battalions of the pig turmoil on all fronts are really the main force putin in putin's preparations for this war. There is no main force fully loaded and running wild in the middle of nowhere. But if this is the case, there are no heavy artillery, no air raids, no tanks interspersed, is it a hairy thing? What is this new military doctrine?

2. Russian soldiers are demoralized.

In terms of troops, the Russian army has a large number of 1-year conscripts, and in these few days, the state of these people is very poor. Three Russian troops deserted north of Kiev, stole the cars of ukrainian compatriots, fled all the way to Poland, and were found when they entered the customs. There are also many videos of captured Russian troops on the Internet, and there is a passage that looks like a Chechen bearded prisoner, not very old, bare-chested, white and fat, emotionally stable, and in a big room there are several wounded prisoners lying on hospital beds in a daze. More outrageously, the commander of the tank battalion of the 35th Motorized Infantry Brigade of the Russian Army, Major Leonid Szczekin, was captured, which is a bit unreasonable, and on the morning of the third day of the war, the battalion commander was captured alive. This Leonid was searched for an officer's card, and there is a video, a big man who looks quite strong has been captured, and the hairline should be not small, and the person who sent the video said that he was also a major, but there was no evidence. In the past few days, the Russian logistics convoy has been attacked many times, and many videos of the attack can be seen on the Internet. On the other hand, it also shows that the morale of the small detachments on the Ukrainian side is good and good, and they stay behind the Russian side and take the initiative to look for fighters. At present, the Russian army has given a problem, and yesterday there was also a robbery of gas stations by the Russian army. Maybe it was the chaos at the beginning of the war?

3. The Russian airborne troops are seriously wasted.

There were 30,000 Russian airborne troops, and the airborne troops were divided into hundreds of teams to divide and encircle the Ukrainian army and towns. As a result, a small number of airborne troops were surrounded and wiped out by the Ukrainian army.

The Russian army is particularly active in this airborne troops, and it feels that Putin is a bit over-reliant on airborne troops. The air-lost troops are Putin's family foundation, and the pin of suppressing the chaotic party at a crucial moment can be compared to the pro-soldier family of the general soldiers of the Ming Dynasty, and cannot be squandered at will.

4. The Ukrainian army is flexible.

The complexity of the war lies in the fact that it has too many political backgrounds, and it is difficult to predict the final outcome of the "Russo-Ukrainian War". But leaving aside the war and political factors, only from the battlefield and tactical perspectives, the large number of battles in the past five days, the Ukrainian army has revealed some new tactical elements.

First of all, the Ukrainian army did not carry out a large-scale frontal battle of death. Instead, it dispersed its mobility and blossomed at multiple points, avoiding the passive situation in which its main force might be surrounded by the Russian army at the beginning of the war.

Large-depth assault, ground-air coordination, and encirclement tactics are the ancestral magic weapons handed down by the Soviet Army to the Russian Army, which once went all the way west to conquer Berlin. The Ukrainian army knows that its power is huge, of course, to avoid its sharp edge.

Ukraine was able to do this because it gained an intelligence advantage with the help of the West, and it had a more accurate grasp of the deployment of the Russian army before the war began, and formulated a response plan. Although it was attacked by the Russian army in the first round of preemptive strikes, it was not completely disrupted.

Second, the Ukrainian army secured the core cities and avoided regime change due to the "beheading" of the head of government. However, the Russian army's "decapitation" surprise attack did not work, and the scores and points lost in the past and back stabilized the morale of the Ukrainian people, strengthened their determination to resist, and achieved the current stalemate.

Ukraine's self-made large-caliber howitzer has a range of more than 40 kilometers. This has turned the city into a long-range strike fire base as a traditional fortification area, and the artillery fire control area in the Kiev area can reach about 6,000 square kilometers, forcing the Russian army to mobilize a large number of heavy artillery to attack the city, which will not only delay the war, increase casualties, and bring many adverse effects at the political level.

Third, while defending the city, the Ukrainian army did not passively trap the isolated city, but took the initiative to attack, especially in the northwest of Kiev, tens of kilometers deep, and repeated battles were repeated.

The Ukrainian army adopted a large number of tactics such as small detachment attacks and night raids, and it was equipped with a large number of advanced anti-tank weapons and individual anti-aircraft missiles aided by the West. Rockets such as the NLAW have a simple aiming system, which is far superior to the Russian RPG. The "Javelin" anti-tank missile is a nightmare for combat vehicles, with a range of 2500 meters (extended range type up to 4000 meters), and it does not care after firing, it can automatically lock and hit the target, increasing the chance of survival of infantry anti-tankers.

The Stinger man-portable anti-aircraft missile, which began in the Afghan war in the 1980s, has always been a headache for Soviet fighters (especially Wuzhi). In actual combat, an average of dozens of anti-aircraft missiles can hit a fighter once, but their price is only more than 100,000 US dollars, while the combat maneuver is tens of millions of US dollars.

The night vision goggles aided by the West to Ukraine also caused headaches for the Russian army: the advanced night vision goggles have a longer visual distance at night, clearer imaging, and even have a certain anti-camouflage ability. In the night battle, seeing farther and clearer is a great advantage. The West has also provided the Ukrainian army with encrypted agile frequency radio stations and data communication hubs based on advanced digital technology, giving it the advantages of communication and anti-reconnaissance.

After the Russian army blew up some of the Ukrainian airfield runways, towers, fighters, and logistical support facilities, the Ukrainian army was still able to carry out a certain degree of air counterattack and cause greater losses to the Russian army, which was also unexpected by many military experts. The reason for this is that the Ukrainian army also has drones provided by the West, especially the Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 using American and Israeli technology, which is now emerging in the Ukrainian battlefield after the "Arab-Asian conflict" shined in 2020.

Due to the huge gap in the size of the country and the number of military strength, it is difficult for Ukraine to resist the enemy outside the country's door, and it is also difficult to fight with the Russian army in a frontal decisive battle, so it has no choice but to put the Russian army in and attack its relatively weak flanks and lines of communication, and on the basis of Western high-tech and dexterous equipment, it has organized a small number of regular wars, a large number of mobile warfare, and guerrilla warfare "three combinations" tactics, which has the style of "European-style high-tech new type of national war."