After the end of the first round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, the Russo-Ukrainian war began to enter a white-hot situation, and the Russian army began to launch an onslaught on the major cities of Ukraine. On March 1, Russian Defense Minister Shoigu issued a statement saying that the Russian military will continue to firmly promote special military operations in Ukraine until the Russian military fully achieves the set goals. Shoigu stressed that the Russian army has no interest in Ukrainian territory. As Russian offensive operations on the Eastern and Northern Fronts continue to escalate, Zelenskiy's illusions of more Western aid are gradually shattered, and sources point out that a new round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine may be held in the coming days. Ukrainian President Zelenskiy wanted to bypass Europe and the United States or other intermediary countries to talk directly with Putin, but the Kremlin side did not comment on the dialogue demands, which made Zelenskiy eat behind closed doors. On the same day on March 1, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi had a telephone conversation with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Culeba, in which Kureba stressed that ending the war is the most urgent task of the current Ukrainian government, Ukraine is willing to negotiate with the Russian side, and hopes that China will come forward to help the two sides complete the task of peace talks. As the Russo-Ukrainian war heats up, Zelenskiy sees China as a real "life-saving straw" and hopes that China will come forward to persuade Putin.
Where have the Americans gone?
Ukrainian Foreign Minister Cullieba's request to China shows that the Kiev authorities no longer have any illusions about the United States. Previously, the US government has been making a big deal out of the upcoming Russian military operations, and even warned that Russia daring to carry out military operations against Ukraine would push itself into disaster. However, when the real military operation of the Russian army began, the American side turned into a spectator. Why doesn't the United States help Ukraine achieve its peaceful goals? Foreign media pointed out five key reasons. First, although the United States is very active, the Regional Issue of Ukraine does not involve US international security interests, the United States has no military bases and no strategic oil reserves in Ukraine, and even from the perspective of bilateral economic and trade relations, Ukraine is not even a trading partner of the United States. From the beginning, the United States lacked the interest motivation to intervene in the Ukraine issue, and the United States preferred the long-term existence of the Ukrainian issue to contain Russia and strengthen the need for NATO's existence. Second, Biden's current lack of direct military intervention capabilities, unlike the end of the Cold War, the current US military in Iraq and Afghanistan for many years of security warfare has made great changes in the structure of this army and the main war weapons, most of the US division-level troops have not adapted to the traditional regular combat environment, the United States currently a limited number of armored forces have been deployed to Europe, but from the scale of these forces are obviously not enough to support the direct conflict between the United States and Russia. Third, the current United States is also reluctant to go to war, and the United States is currently facing the threat of inflation at home, and the US government, which lacks money in its pockets, cannot start a war in Europe. Fourth, the United States and Russia are both nuclear powers, and the Kremlin's nuclear weapons stockpile has always been a card that makes the United States jealous. Finally, the United States made a verbal security commitment to Ukraine, but it had no treaty responsibility, and the United States did not sign any treaties to support its entanglement with Russia in Ukraine. To put it bluntly, the United States in the Chaos of the War in Ukraine has ten thousand excuses, but refuses to promote regional peace and stability, for Ukraine, the EUROPEAN Union countries have now followed the United States to join the ranks of sanctions, as for how to promote regional peace, even if these countries have the will and no corresponding channels, China is one of the few directions that the Kiev authorities can try.
What is not available on the battlefield, can it be obtained at the negotiating table?
Of course, China hopes that peace will be restored in the European region and that the contradictions and differences between Ukraine and Russia can be resolved through non-war means, but the problem is that the current conditions given by the Ukrainian government in the negotiation process are too outrageous to be accepted by Russia. In the current battlefield, although the speed of the Russian army's advance is not as fast as expected, it still has a steady control over the initiative on the battlefield, in this context, how can what Ukraine has not obtained on the battlefield be achieved through the red mouth and white teeth of the negotiating table? What's more, Ukraine also demanded that the Russian army immediately stop moving or even surrender, which is unacceptable to the Russian side. Zelenskiy previously stated that he would not accept any conditions for interference in Ukraine's political system, and that Russian troops should quickly and comprehensively withdraw from Ukraine, including Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk regions, and "return" Ukraine to a unified country. Ukraine should return to reality, and the current public opinion base in Crimea and Donbass determines that Ukraine is unlikely to regain sovereignty over the aforementioned regions from Russia. The outrageous terms for peace talks put forward by the Zelenskiy Government show that the Kiev authorities are not sincere in conducting peace talks. At present, due to the repeated tough stances in the war, Western investigation agencies have found that Zelenskiy's support in western Ukraine has risen to more than 90%, and the strong public support has also made it impossible for the president to abandon the previous tough attitude, which makes the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine basically fall into a "dead knot".
And or war? The russian-Ukrainian conflict is headed
Based on the current information from all sides, it is still unknown whether Russia and Ukraine can conduct a new round of peace talks before the Russian army completes its preparations for the siege of Kiev. Although some media have previously said that Russia and Ukraine will conduct a new round of peace talks no later than March 3, this goal may be difficult to achieve for a while in terms of the current preparations between the two sides. In the direction of the eastern front, the Russian army's all-round offensive has begun, the "Azov" battalion's home Mariupol has been completely surrounded by the Russian army, according to the latest news, the Russian army has now carried out 12 hours of uninterrupted shelling of the city, including 152 mm howitzers, BM-21 rocket launchers and other heavy weapons have been put into combat, the Russian army's current willingness to attack on the eastern front is very strong, trying to eliminate the infamous Ukrainian "Azov" battalion with the fiercest artillery fire in the shortest possible time. In addition, the Russian army requisitioned a large number of hospitals in Belarus, which shows that the Russian army has made up its mind to prepare for the Kiev street battle. The current status quo of the Russian military's firm push for military action in all directions shows that the possible window for negotiations between the Ukrainian authorities is running out, and if Zelenskiy continues to refuse to release the sincerity of the peace talks, the historical capital of Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, may be reduced to ruins because of this war. It is impossible for the European and American countries to provide more effective support to Ukraine, and Ukraine, which faces Russia alone, cannot win this war.