Welcome to Chengwei International Observation, the situation on the Ukrainian side is really getting worse and worse, the latest news, Russian President Putin has signed a document, officially recognizing the two eastern Ukrainian oblasts as independent countries, which is probably a huge loss for Ukraine.
Many people say that history is literally repeating itself, the Crimean crisis 8 years ago, that is, Crimea itself made a referendum, saying that we want to break away from Ukraine and become an independent country, and then Russia recognized it. After that, Crimea joined Russia and became a russian oblast, and then although many countries in the international community did not recognize it, it is undeniable that Russia has actually controlled Crimea, and Ukraine has lost control of Crimea, and today the two states of Ukraine have the same example, to be honest, the eastern states of Ukraine, people became independent a few years ago, but Russia did not recognize it.
For several years, Russia actually wanted to ease relations with Ukraine, so Russia did not make a move to recognize the two eastern states, and Russia also wanted me to give Ukraine more or less face, and then the two sides could sit down and negotiate. However, in recent months, we have all seen that the situation in Ukraine has become more and more critical under the continuous exaggeration of the US media and the US government.
At the beginning, many people still felt that whether the two sides were talking about guns, attacking each other would be over, and there would be no real military action. But let's see what the Americans did. The United States has transported a large number of troops to several countries around Ukraine, the United States has shipped hundreds of millions of dollars of weapons to Ukraine, and it is also known that I have come to help you, and the United States has declared that this place in Ukraine is not safe, the American people should not go, the Americans, the American expatriates quickly withdraw from Ukraine, and you will not even have transportation in the future.
Under the enticing of the Americans, many European airlines said that our planes can not land in Ukraine again, that place is risky at any time, there are a large number of rich people in Ukraine who have fled Ukraine in private planes, and more large sums of money have flowed out of Ukraine, yes, capital is profit-seeking, but capital also needs to hedge, and capital does not dare to stay in a war-torn country.
And today Putin is forced to be helpless, Putin strings have been pulled full, Putin said I do not want to fight, I do not want to invade Ukraine, but you Americans deceive people too much, in 30 years you NATO eastward expansion 5 times, has arrived at my doorstep. You the United States in many of the former Soviet Republics, placed weapons of mass destruction, you are a huge threat to the security of Russia. When the Cuban Missile Crisis was over, the Soviet Union only wanted to put a few missiles in Cuba, and you and the United States would stop doing it, and you would have to fight with the Soviet Union, but now that you have put a large number of weapons on my doorstep, why don't you care about my safety?
So Putin is now also riding a tiger, Putin issued an invitation for peace, but the Americans did not accept, so simply Putin said, then I simply can not admit that the two continents are independent countries, I also give Ukraine some color to see, you and Russia confrontation, what kind of result will be.
So far, let's not say whether this battle can be fought or not, it is clear that Ukraine is the country that has suffered the most losses. Territorially, the eastern states were originally civil wares, and although they declared independence, none of them were recognized by the international community.
But now that Russia has admitted, Russia will definitely pull a few, and the small countries around him will also recognize this matter, and then cause a fait accompli, and even many Ukrainians are worried that the history of Crimea 8 years ago will not repeat itself, will it not be a period of time, these states simply say, I not only want independence, because I am a Russian, I am a Russian-speaking country, so I simply I, I merged with my home country Russia, crimea things repeat, at that time you Ukraine dare to attack, Territory of Russia? Ukraine is likely to completely lose these oblasts after 8 years.
On the other hand, Ukraine's economy is now a mess, think of when Ukraine was just independent, many people are particularly optimistic about Ukraine, you see Ukraine has a very strong industrial base, Ukraine's population and land size in Europe is not small, Ukraine has fertile land known as the big granary of Europe, such a country has an unlimited future for development. Even previous Ukrainian presidents have said that under his rule, Ukraine will be promoted to the top 20 countries in the global economy.
But today we look at Ukraine, its per capita GDP is only about 1/3 of Russia's, and it is clear that the Ukrainian economy is difficult to do well because of the threat of constant war. Even a few years ago, Ukraine also got another nickname, the uterus of Europe, a large number of Ukrainian women were forced to find this kind of surrogacy business, to earn some money to support their families, especially this round of Ukrainian crisis, the United States continued to arch behind the fire, but in fact, when the crisis really came, Ukrainians suddenly found that they were isolated.
So far, the United States has not dared to send a single soldier, The territory of Ukraine, the United States has given some old weapons, and even the angry Ukrainian President Zelinsky complained to his Western allies at the meeting in Munich, whether you want to rescue Ukraine or not, Ukraine is now facing the risk of losing its territory again.
Zelenskiy was forced to even say such a thing, saying that when the Soviet Union had just disintegrated, Ukraine was the world's third nuclear power, to be honest, Ukraine had more nuclear warheads than the mainland than Britain and France, no way, it was part of the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union had a large number of nuclear weapons in Ukraine, so Ukraine was a nuclear power at that time, but Ukraine later destroyed all its nuclear weapons in its territory, and some of them were shipped to Russia.
Zelenskiy said, in order to eliminate these nuclear weapons, several of our countries signed an agreement, you said that if the territory of Ukraine is violated, you big countries whether it is the United States, Britain, France, you want to come to help, you want to prevent my territory from being divided, because I cut off the Great Wall, I took the initiative to destroy my nuclear weapon, reducing the risk of nuclear weapons loss. But today, on the one hand, you are constantly arching your fire, saying that Russia is going to attack kiev, and on the other hand, you have not given any substantial help at all.
To tell the truth, after the Crimean crisis 8 years ago, the United States also gave Russia some economic sanctions, so Zelenskiy said, I can't trust you guys now, if so, why don't Ukraine tear up the agreement of the year, didn't I destroy the nuclear weapons? Can I simply reproduce nuclear weapons myself? The United States, you can't protect me, so I can protect myself by producing nuclear weapons?
Let's say that for Ukraine at that time, the destruction of nuclear weapons was indeed a great good for all mankind. But when we think in reverse, a country like Ukraine, its economic strength, its military strength, it can afford to raise thousands of nuclear warheads.
Let's say that at that time, the control of these nuclear weapons was in the hands of Russia, even if you had control, you had so many nuclear weapons, but your country was so weak, was this a good thing for you? A three-year-old with a kitchen knife, do you say whether he is threatening others or is there a good chance that he will hurt himself?
To tell the truth, not only did Ukraine abandon nuclear weapons, Russia also abandoned nuclear weapons, Kazakhstan also abandoned nuclear weapons, and the number of nuclear warheads in the territory of these two countries was also quite large, but why did these two countries not later encounter the threat of territorial loss? Is Ukraine facing the situation it is today because it does not have nuclear weapons? To tell the truth, if he had not taken the initiative to destroy nuclear weapons, so many nuclear weapons would have been placed there, and I am afraid that he would have encountered the disaster of national annihilation.
Conversely, is it only because Ukraine has encountered such a situation today because it does not have nuclear weapons? If there are a few nuclear warheads in Ukraine today, is it possible for it to get away with the world and not be afraid of the threat of any country, obviously not, let's not talk about Ukraine's economic strength today, he can't build nuclear weapons, even if he has such a capability, even if he gives him a year and a half, he can build nuclear weapons, but do you think that the United States, or Russia, will do things Ukraine immediately has nuclear weapons?
For major powers, nuclear weapons are life-saving, possessing nuclear weapons can be achieved, and nuclear strategy balances nuclear terror. But for a small country, if you have nuclear weapons, that is definitely the beginning of the disaster.
So today Zelinsky may be dizzy, he may also be making a complaint, you look at the Western countries, at that time you promised to be good, I abandoned the nuclear weapons, you guaranteed my safety, and now I am really not safe, I really have territorial losses now, but you have not given me any substantial help.
But Ukraine may really need to go back and reflect on why, over the past few months, it has become more and more passive, it has become more and more dangerous, and even Russia has been forced to recognize those two states as independent states. For the United States, of course, he was very happy to see all of Europe, caught in the panic of Russia, and at the same time, there was no need to send a pawn to help Ukraine intervene in the war.
When the threat of Russia is felt throughout Europe, the United States can legitimately station troops in many countries and continue to lead and so-called protect Europe. It's just a pity that Ukraine has completely become a pawn.
Even if this war is not fought, it is foreseeable that in the future, Ukraine will definitely be the front line of the confrontation between the United States and Russia, and it will absolutely always be in the shadow of the war, so how can such a Ukraine develop its economy, and how can such Ukrainian people worry about it every day, and how can they live a normal life?
Ukraine could have acted as a good barrier, sandwiched between the United States and Europe, sandwiched between the United States and Russia, where the two do not help each other, and if they are on the left and right, they can get support from both directions. And now on the one hand, it is completely out of touch with Russia, and it is possible to be suppressed by the army of others at any time and anywhere, and the United States has never been lip service to the truth, shouting that the war should be fought every day, but every soldier does not really help you, so the angry and corrupt Zelensky can only complain that it would be good not to abandon nuclear weapons at that time, and now I have nuclear weapons again, but is this kind of thinking really able to take Ukraine out of the predicament?